MLB Best Player Props Today – June 13th, 2025

With a full Friday slate, there are plenty of exploitable matchups to target for MLB player props today. While the focus remains on starting pitchers, we will include a rare hitter prop in this column. Today’s bets feature one total bases prop and two earned runs props. 

We’ll start with Los Angeles Angels’ outfielder Taylor Ward in a favorable spot against the Baltimore Orioles, then move on to Cincinnati Reds’ veteran Nick Martinez in a good matchup due to weather against the Detroit Tigers, and finish it off with Athletics’ righty Luis Severino.

Keep reading to find my best MLB player props for June 13, 2025.

Note: Odds were correct at the time of writing.

Taylor Ward Over 1.5 Total Bases (+150) at bet365

Ward’s overall slash looks underwhelming at .204/.260/.471, but that’s due to a poor March and April. Since May 1, Ward has put up a .535 slugging percentage with 12 home runs in 162 plate appearances. 

We’ve got a projected high-scoring game at Camden Yards, featuring a listed total that ranges from 10 to 10.5 runs. As the Angels’ cleanup hitter, that puts Ward in a good spot to get two or more total bases.

The Orioles are starting Charlie Morton today, a veteran who has registered a 4.41 SIERA and an 8.7% barrel rate this year.

Morton likes to throw his sinker to righties, as 83.1% of this pitch’s usage comes against right-handers, per Baseball Savant. This sinker has a .428 wOBA allowed, so it’s been getting hit hard.

That’s good for the right-handed hitting Ward because he’s registered a .531 wOBA against sinkers this season. Don’t be surprised to see Ward put this one over 1.5 total bases with one swing of the bat.

At +150 odds, you have to like the value here, as this price is as short as +125 on Fliff.

Odds Comparison for Taylor Ward Over 1.5 Total Bases

Sportsbook	Odds
bet365	+150
Hard Rock Bet	+150
DraftKings	+145
FanDuel	+140
Fliff	+125

Nick Martinez Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-125) at DraftKings

Martinez has been a dependable innings-eater for the Reds, putting up a 3.70 ERA and 1.17 WHIP with a 3.53 xERA in 75.1 innings.

This is a flyball pitcher (42.4 FB%) who is in a pitcher-friendly environment at Comerica Park tonight. 

The weather conditions are favorable as well. According to RotoWire, we’ve got 11 MPH winds blowing in, which bodes well for a pitcher like Martinez, who generates flyballs at a higher rate than groundballs.  

We also have to acknowledge that the Tigers’ bats have slowed down lately, putting up a 94 wRC+ in the last 14 days, which ranks 19th in MLB during that stretch.

With that in mind, let’s take a shot on Martinez to go under 2.5 earned runs in this spot.

We’re getting a solid price at -125 odds at DraftKings, as this is as short as -130 at Fliff and Hard Rock Bet.

Odds Comparison for Nick Martinez Under 2.5 Earned Runs

Sportsbook	Odds
DraftKings	-125
Fliff	-130
Hard Rock Bet	-130

Luis Severino Under 2.5 Earned Runs (+105) at bet365

Severino has some of the wildest splits in baseball. The veteran righty has a 7.10 ERA at home but a 0.87 ERA on the road. Tonight, the A’s are in Kansas City to take on an ice-cold Royals team.

The Royals have combined for only five runs during their current three-game losing streak. This team played last night in a game that finished late due to a rain delay.

That’s bad news against Severino, who has given up one run or fewer in five road starts this season.

When you consider the combination of cold Royals bats with Severino’s dominance on the road, you have to love getting this prop at +105 odds at bet365. This is as short as -115 a Fliff, so we’re getting some solid value here. 

Bet on Severino to keep his hot streak going on the road.

Odds Comparison for Luis Severino Under 2.5 Earned Runs (+105)

Sportsbook	Odds
bet365	+105
Hard Rock Bet	-105
DraftKings	-110
Fliff	-115