MLB Best Player Props Today – April 30th, 2025

Author

Frank Ammirante

Updated: Apr 30, 2025

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It’s a full slate of action for MLB player props today, so there are plenty of opportunities to find value with player props. What’s great is that there’s not too much rain delay risk for today, so we can safely target any of the games.  

Today’s player props focus on two pitchers in tough spots, including Cristopher Sanchez vs the Washington Nationals and Nathan Eovaldi vs the Athletics. We’re also targeting Pete Alonso to keep it rolling against the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Last week, we had a bad beat on Logan Gilbert over 18.5 Outs against the Miami Marlins, as he was pulled early due to injury while in the middle of a terrific start. Let’s try to go 3-0 this time around. Read on to find my best MLB player props for April 30, 2025.

Note: Odds were correct at the time of writing.

Christopher Sanchez Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+100) at bet365

Sanchez has delivered on preseason hype so far, posting an impressive 29.5% strikeout rate, which is a significant increase of 9.2% from last season.

However, this feels like a spot to fade Sanchez, targeting his under 5.5 strikeouts at an appealing price of (+100) odds at bet365.

This is a tough spot vs the Nationals, who have registered a 14.8% strikeout rate vs lefties in the last 14 days. When Sanchez faced Washington last year, he put up only 13 strikeouts in 20.1 innings.

It’s also worth noting that Sanchez left early in his last start due to left forearm soreness. While this injury didn’t force the Phillies’ lefty to miss a start, he was pushed back by one day, which is a slight disruption in routine. 

There’s also the outside chance that Sanchez could still be affected by this injury. Even though the team says he’s fine, it’s not uncommon for injuries to be downplayed. Just look at Justin Steele of the Chicago Cubs – originally his injury looked short-term, but he’s now out for the season.

With that in mind, let’s take a shot on Sanchez to go under 5.5 strikeouts in this spot.

Odds Comparison for Cristopher Sanchez Under 5.5 Strikeouts

SportsbookOdds
bet365+100
DraftKings-105
FanDuel-106
Caesars-109
Hard Rock Bet-130

Nathan Eovaldi Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+100) at bet365

Eovaldi is on quite the roll so far, putting up a 2.21 ERA and 0.74 WHIP with a 27.1% strikeout rate in 36.2 innings. 

The Rangers’ righty has gone over 5.5 strikeouts in four of six starts this season. In those outings, he’s put up at least seven punchouts. With that said, I’m on under 5.5 strikeouts for Eovaldi tonight.

Not only are we getting a nice price at bet365 with (+100) odds, but this is quietly a difficult spot for strikeouts. The Athletics have put up a 19.3% strikeout rate vs righties in the last 14 days, which ranks 8th in MLB during that stretch.

We’ve seen Eovaldi show a low floor in strikeouts at times this season, putting up four punchouts against the Cubs and only three vs the Mariners.

Even with the hot start, this is not exactly a prolific strikeout pitcher, as highlighted by a 23.9 K% or lower in each of his previous three seasons.

I like that we get this prop at plus money, so let’s take a shot on Eovaldi under 5.5 strikeouts.

Odds Comparison for Nathan Eovaldi Under 5.5 Strikeouts

SportsbookOdds
bet365+100
Fliff+100
Caesars-103
FanDuel-104
DraftKings-105

Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Total Bases (+125) at FanDuel

Alonso has been scorching hot so far this season, slashing .346/.462/.664 with seven home runs and 11 doubles in 132 plate appearances.

We’ve seen the Mets’ slugger cut down on his strikeouts, trimming his K% from 24.7% to 15.2% so far this year. This is a good sign because it shows that he’s putting the ball in play more consistently, which bodes well for his over 1.5 total bases prop.

It’s also worth noting that Alonso is crushing the baseball, demonstrating excellent batted ball metrics, as highlighted by a 20.5% barrel rate. Hitting the ball hard is another positive for getting to two or more total bases.

On top of that, Alonso has had success vs Corbin Burnes throughout his career, homering three times with one double in 16 plate appearances.

We’re getting nice value at FanDuel at (+125) odds, making Alonso worth a look to keep the hot streak going vs Burnes and the Diamondbacks.

Odds Comparison for Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Total Bases

SportsbookOdds
FanDuel+125
Caesars+120
DraftKings+115
Fliff+115
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