MLB Best Player Props Today – August 1st, 2025

After an eventful MLB trade deadline, we’re back with a jam-packed slate on Friday, featuring plenty of exploitable matchups to target for MLB player props today. We’re to be focusing on pitchers today, since it’s been easier to project performance on the mound than at the plate. Today’s bets feature two strikeout props and one earned run prop.

We’ll start with Minnesota Twins’ ace Joe Ryan in a tough matchup for him at home against the Cleveland Guardians. Then, we’ll move on to Seattle Mariners’ stud righty Logan Gilbert against the Texas Rangers. Finally, we’ll ride with Guardians’ right-hander Gavin Williams as he takes on the Twins.

Keep reading to find my best MLB player props for August 1, 2025.

Note: Odds were correct at the time of writing.

Joe Ryan Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+100) at BetMGM

Ryan has put together a phenomenal season so far, registering a 2.82 ERA and 0.92 WHIP with 24 walks and 137 strikeouts in 121.1 innings.

We’ve seen Ryan go over 5.5 strikeouts in 12 of 21 starts this season, but I’m riding with the under in this spot against the Guardians.

This is a pitcher who has interesting splits, putting up a 34.0% strikeout rate against righties, but that falls to only 23.3 K% vs. lefties.

The Guardians are projected to have eight hitters batting from the left side tonight (four lefties, four switch-hitters). This includes Steven Kwan and Jose Ramirez, two hitters with low strikeout rates.

With that in mind, you can see why Ryan is listed at 5.5 strikeouts instead of his usual 6.5 for this game. Despite the low number, I’m riding with the under because of those extreme lefty-righty splits.

Odds Comparison for Joe Ryan Under 5.5 Strikeouts

Sportsbook	Odds
BetMGM	+100
FanDuel	-102
DraftKings	-105
Hard Rock Bet	-105
Fliff	-105

Logan Gilbert Over 7.5 Strikeouts (+120) at bet365

Gilbert has taken some time to get rolling since returning from injury, but it appears that he’s back to form, racking up 26 strikeouts in only 16.2 innings in his last three starts.

We’ve seen the veteran perform well at home, where T-Mobile Park is the most pitcher-friendly environment in MLB, as the Mariners’ ace has an impressive 40.5 K% there.

The Rangers are a familiar opponent for Gilbert as a division rival. In two starts vs. Texas this season, Gilbert has 14 strikeouts in only 10.1 innings. While he was stuck at seven punchouts in each of those outings, it was only in 5 IP and 5.1 IP. At this rate, if Gilbert can get to 6 IP, he can soar over this number.

We’re getting a great deal on this prop at +120 at bet365, since it’s +110 virtually everywhere else.

Despite the high number, I’m willing to take a shot on the over given Gilbert’s recent form and overall success at home.

Odds Comparison for Logan Gilbert Over 7.5 Strikeouts

Sportsbook	Odds
bet365	+120
Caesars	+110
BetMGM	+110
Hard Rock Bet	+110
DraftKings	+110

Gavin Williams Under 1.5 Earned Runs (+125) at Caesars

Williams has been in a nice rhythm lately, putting up a 2.81 ERA in 57.2 innings across 10 starts since June 1. During this stretch, the Guardians’ righty has allowed one earned run or fewer in four outings.

At +125, I’m willing to take a shot on Williams shutting down the Twins here. We’re getting a nice price at Caesars, since this is as short as +100 at Hard Rock Bet.

The reason is simple: the Twins have a depleted lineup after the trade deadline. This team just traded Carlos Correa, Willy Castro, and Ty France. One of their best hitters, Byron Buxton, is on the injured list.

Add in the fact that Williams has allowed a .195 wOBA in 48 career plate appearances vs. the current Twins lineup, and you can see why this is an appealing wager.

Odds Comparison for Gavin Williams Under 1.5 Earned Runs

Sportsbook	Odds
Caesars	+125
DraftKings	+120
Fliff	+115
bet365	+105
Hard Rock Bet	+100