2025 AFC East Betting Odds
If you wondered just how crazy the 2025 NFL Season has been through the first seven weeks of the season, one needs to look no further than the AFC East.
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Just three short weeks ago, the Bills entered Week 5 with a perfect 4-0 record on the season and sat at a whopping -1500 to win the division.
Entering Week 8, the Bills are coming off of a bye and now sit at 4-2, and look a whole lot more vulnerable than they did at the start of the season. Their odds to win the East are still the shortest in the division, but they are now down to -180 to capture the division, a number that’s lower than it was to start the season.
So what changed?
Simply put, the Patriots have been en fuego.
Drake Maye has been playing out of his mind over the last four weeks with the Patriots going from getting thoroughly outplayed in the season opener against the Raiders and starting the season 1-2 to rattling off four straight wins, one of which came on the road against those very Buffalo Bills, and New England suddenly sits atop the AFC East with a 5-2 record.
For all those fans that hoped the Patriots would be an afterthought for the foreseeable future, it appears as though Mike Vrabel and company have other plans this season.
The rest of the AFC East is far less interesting, with the Dolphins and Jets going a combined 1-13 to start the 2025 season and the lone victory between these two teams was when Miami narrowly edged the Jets in Week 4.
The only captivating thing when it comes to either the Fins or Jets is what week will they fire their coach, because Mike McDaniel is a dead man walking and Aaron Glenn, despite being just seven games into his Jets tenure, isn’t very far behind.
Before we dive head first into the rest of the division, here’s a quick look at the current odds to win the AFC East entering Week 8.
Odds to Win 2025 AFC East Entering Week 8
| Team | Current Odds to Win AFC East | Odds to Win AFC East Entering Week 5 | Odds to Win AFC East Entering Week 3 | Preseason Odds to Win AFC East |
| Buffalo Bills | -180 | -1500 | -1000 | -270 |
| New England Patriots | +150 | +1300 | +1100 | +500 |
| Miami Dolphins | +10000 | +10000 | +3500 | +750 |
| New York Jets | +10000 | +10000 | +5500 | +1800 |
Needless to say, this is a two team show, and all eyes will be on Week 15 when the Bills visit Foxboro looking for revenge and to avoid the season sweep at the hands of the Patriots. If, for some unknown reason, you decided to bet on the Bills at -1500, this is really what you deserve for making that bet because now you have to sweat out your $150 bet to win $10.
On the other hand, if you missed out on the Patriots at 11-1 or 13-1, well, you’re probably not getting close to that ever again this season.
The Jets and Dolphins odds to win the division are set at 100-1 but should truly be set at a million to one because there is no way in Hades that they will be remotely within striking distance of competing for a division crown.
2025 AFC East Win Totals
There’s no better display of the trajectory of the AFC East this season than looking at how the win total projections have fluctuated throughout the season.
Just three weeks ago, the Bills were heavy favorites to win at least 14 games this season. That win total has been sliced back to their preseason total of 11.5, again with lower juice on the over than you would have had to lay before the season kicked off.
That’s how crazy the recent hot streak from the Patriots has been as the Bills seem to have hit a pothole on their road to Santa Clara.
Here’s how the rest of the win totals in the division shake out as we enter Week 8.
| Team | Current Win Totals and Betting Odds | Win Totals and Betting Odds After Week 5 | Win Totals and Betting Odds After Week 3 | Preseason Win Totals and Betting Odds |
| Buffalo Bills | O/U 11.5 | (-140/+120) | O/U 13.5 | (-160/+135) | O/U 13.5 | (-105/-115) | O/U 11.5 | (-160/+135) |
| New England Patriots | O/U 10.5 | (-140/+120) | O/U 8.5 | (+100/-120) | O/U 7.5 | (-140/+120) | O/U 8.5 | (+105/-130) |
| Miami Dolphins | O/U 4.5 | (+120/-140) | O/U 5.5 | (-135/+115) | O/U 5.5 | (-105/-115) | O/U 7.5 | (-105/-115) |
| New York Jets | O/U 2.5 | (-160/+135) | O/U 5.5 | (+120/-140) | O/U 5.5 | (-120/+100) | O/U 6.5 | (+125/-145) |
- As mentioned above, the Bills win total has shifted back to the same number you could have grabbed them at the start of the season. While the Bills last few games have been a bit rocky, their schedule remains very forgiving. A 12-5 season still feels like it’s within reach and you never know what the trade market could yield.
- The Patriots resurgence has many sports bettors kicking themselves (myself included) for not jumping into any in-season betting markets, but there is still pretty good value on the Patriots winning 11 games this season. The Patriots finished 4-13 a season ago, so that means they benefit from a last-place schedule in addition to three games against the Jets and Dolphins. They’re very likely going to win 11 games this season.
- The Dolphins win total has cratered from 7.5 in the preseason to 4.5 now, with heavy juice towards the under meaning oddsmakers believe this team is going 4-13 this season. If you look at Miami’s remaining schedule I don’t know how you can find this team winning more than two more games this season. The under here feels very promising.
- For those wondering, the Jets to win under 1.5 games is +380.
2025 AFC East – To Win Super Bowl 60 Odds
I’m not sure the Patriots have enough to win the whole thing, but if you have a futures ticket in your hand, especially one where they were offered at 125-1, you’re surely excited at their recent hot start. Entering Week 8, the Patriots odds to win the Super Bowl are the lowest they’ve been in the post Brady era at 35-1.
While that number still places them in that middle of the road sleeper territory, the movement here has been something to behold.
After dropping two straight games the Bills moved from being the short favorite to win the Super Bowl back to their preseason number of +750. If you missed out on them at the start of the year and still like their chances to go on a run and win it all, now is probably the time to jump on them as they have a winnable game on the horizon with a trip to Carolina before their big matchup against the Chiefs.
Here’s how the entirety of the AFC East looks as far as their Super Bowl Odds entering Week 8.
AFC East Teams – Super Bowl LX Odds
| Team | Current Odds to Win Super Bowl LX | Odds to Win Super Bowl LX Entering Week 5 | Odds to Win Super Bowl LX Entering Week 3 | Preseason Odds to Win Super Bowl LX |
| Buffalo Bills | +750 | +440 | +550 | +750 |
| New England Patriots | +3500 | +12500 | +12500 | +7000 |
| Miami Dolphins | +40000 | +40000 | +25000 | +8000 |
| New York Jets | +40000 | +40000 | +35000 | +22500 |
The Dolphins haven’t won a Super Bowl since 1972 when they completed their infamous perfect season. It’s hard to picture this team being anywhere near Super Bowl LX unless they attend the game in person.
The Jets haven’t won a Super Bowl since defeating the Baltimore Colts in Super Bowl III. That was 56 years ago. You might as well make it 57 years and counting, because this team is not winning the Super Bowl.
2025 AFC East – Player MVP Odds
The AFC East now features two of the stronger candidates to win the MVP award through the first seven weeks of the season as Drake Maye has absolutely rocketed up the odds board in the last three weeks.
Maye was tabbed as a 70-1 longshot for the award entering Week 5 and now has the third-shortest odds at +700 to win his first career MVP in just his second season as a pro.
Josh Allen moved from the odds-on favorite to win MVP to the second-shortest odds to win MVP at +350. Allen has been edged out by Patrick Mahomes, which has been a familiar theme throughout a lot of Josh’s career.
If you want to bet on Tua or Justin Fields to win MVP, you may have a head injury and should probably contact a physician. And you can’t bet on them anyway because they have no odds.
| Player | Current Odds to Win NFL MVP | Odds to Win NFL MVP Entering Week 5 | Odds to Win NFL MVP Entering Week 3 | Preseason Odds to Win NFL MVP |
| Josh Allen (Bills) | +350 | -105 | +310 | +600 |
| Drake Maye (Patriots) | +700 | +7000 | +7500 | +6000 |
| Tua Tagovailoa (Dolphins) | NR | +40000 | +15000 | +6000 |
| Justin Fields (Jets) | NR | +40000 | +15000 | +15000 |
Step-By-Step To Bet On Divisional Winners
1. Go to your favorite sportsbook and log in.
2. Look for the NFL tab.
3. Click on the Division’s tab from the drop-down menu.
4. Choose the odds and team you will bet on.
5. Place your bet from the bet slip window—usually—on the right side of the screen.
Betting Odds For AFC Divisions
2025 AFC West Division Odds
2025 AFC South Division Odds
2025 AFC North Division Odds
