2025 AFC West Betting Odds

If you were told at the start of the season that the Kansas City Chiefs would have the same record after two weeks as the Browns, Bears, and Giants, your natural reaction would probably be..

“Wow, the Browns, Bears and Giants all started 2-0?!”

Despite a tough opening schedule with a trip to Brazil to take on the Chargers followed by a Super Bowl rematch in Week 2 against the Eagles, there weren’t many people who projected the Chiefs would be winless heading into Week 3.

However, for the first time since Patrick Mahomes became a full-time starter in Kansas City, the Chiefs suddenly look very vulnerable.

The Chiefs wide receiving corps has been decimated by injury and bad driving as Rashee Rice and Xavier Worthy have missed most of the first two games, with Travis Kelce knocking Worthy out of the season opener on the very first play from scrimmage.

If you take away Patrick Mahomes’ team-leading 123 rushing yards, the Chiefs running back duo of Isiah Pacheco and Kareem Hunt have a combined 94 yards rushing through two weeks.

Even the usual automatic leg of Harrison Butker has not been so automatic to start the season, making you wonder if Harrison needs to go back to the kitchen and figure it out.

But while we can write page after page about what a surprise it is to see the Chiefs at 0-2 and looking like a shell of the team that went to three straight Super Bowls, the real story that’s developing in the AFC is the emergence of the Los Angeles Chargers as a legitimate Super Bowl threat.

Jim Harbaugh’s group has kicked off the season with a pair of division victories and after a disastrous ending to their 2024 season in a playoff loss to the Texans back in January, Justin Herbert has started the season white hot with 560 yards passing and five touchdowns, not to mention 63 yards on the ground, which would put him second in rushing on the Chiefs.

Defensively, the Chargers have been outstanding as well as they have held their first two opponents to just 283 yards of offense and have intercepted Patrick Mahomes and Geno Smith a combined four times, granted Geno was responsible for three of those.

The Chargers have been a punchline for years and have often been compared to the Clippers of the NFL. However, the punchlines may be coming to an end soon if they continue to play in the manner they are.

Meanwhile, the Broncos and Raiders have each split their first two games with some high moments and a lot of low moments. The Broncos began their 2025 campaign with an ugly win over the Titans and lost a heartbreaker to the Colts thanks to a controversial call on the Colts game-winning field goal attempt.

The Raiders began their 2025 campaign with a beautiful display on offense against the Patriots, only to come out and lay an egg on Monday Night Football against the Chargers to close out Week 2. Fortunately for Pete Carroll and company, most of the country was already asleep by the time the Chargers dragged them up and down the field at Allegiant Stadium.

All in all though, the AFC West looks like it’s going to be a very competitive and entertaining division for the bulk of the 2025 season.

Without further ado, here’s a look at the current odds to win the division and how they’ve shifted since the start of the season.

Odds to Win 2025 AFC West Entering Week 3

Team	Current Odds to Win AFC West	Preseason Odds to Win AFC West
Los Angeles Chargers	+100	+310
Kansas City Chiefs	+260	-105
Denver Broncos	+310	+280
Las Vegas Raiders	+1400	+1200

The Chargers are your new short favorites to win the division at even money, this after opening the season at +310 to break the Chiefs run of nine straight AFC West crowns. 

Despite their 0-2 start, the Chiefs are still only +260 to win the AFC West once again, however you had to lay $105 to win $100 on them winning the division at the start of the year.

The Broncos sit at 1-1 and have been somewhat quiet out of the gates to kick off the season, however, their odds have only slightly worsened from +280 to +310.

Meanwhile, Monday’s home blowout at the hands of the Chiefs has sunk the Raiders odds to +1400 to go from worst-to-first in the division this season.

2025 AFC West Win Totals

There is no better way to understand how a division is perceived by the oddsmakers than looking at team win totals as the season goes on.

Here’s how the AFC West shakes out in the win total department following the first two weeks of the season.

Team	Current Win Totals and Betting Odds	Preseason Win Totals and Betting Odds
Los Angeles Chargers	O/U 10.5 | (-140/+115)	O/U 9.5 | (+110/-130)
Kansas City Chiefs	O/U 9.5 | (-115/-105)	O/U 11.5 | (+115/-135)
Denver Broncos	O/U 8.5 | (-145/+125)	O/U 9.5 | (-105/-115)
Las Vegas Raiders	O/U 6.5 | (-150/+125)	O/U 6.5 | (-125/+105)

• The Chargers have seen their win-total get a bump from 9.5 to 10.5 after opening up the season with a pair of division wins, and given the juice, oddsmakers are suggesting the Chargers are in line for at least 11 wins this season.
  
  
• If you loved the Chiefs winning over 11.5 games, you can now get a win total of 9.5 on Mahomes and company. The last time the Chiefs won 9 games or fewer in a season? Andy Reid’s second season with the team in 2014. 
  
  
• The Broncos were a popular sleeper pick coming into the 2025 season and so far they just haven’t looked like the iteration they were a season ago, however, if there is a silver lining to their rocky (pun semi-intended) start, it’s that they looked pretty paltry at the start of last season too before turning it on and getting into the playoffs. Oddsmakers have slightly adjusted their win total from 9.5 to 8.5.
  
  
• The Raiders win total remains unchanged, however the juice is now heavier in favor of the over, and for good reason! In his entire 14 year coaching career in Seattle, Pete Carroll never won less than seven games in a season.

2025 AFC West – To Win Super Bowl Odds

The Chiefs are routinely amongst the top contenders in the NFL at not only reaching the Super Bowl, but winning it all and getting the confetti shower.

The AFC West figures to be the deepest division in the AFC this season, so three teams in the division have favorable odds to win the Super Bowl.

Here’s how all the odds stack up across some of the major sportsbooks.

AFC West Teams – Super Bowl LX Odds

Team	Current Odds to Win Super Bowl LX	Preseason Odds to Win Super Bowl LX
Kansas City Chiefs	+1300	+800
Los Angeles Chargers	+1800	+2700
Denver Broncos	+2700	+2200
Las Vegas Raiders	+15000	+12500

Despite their 0-2 start to the season, oddsmakers still have the Chiefs tabbed with the shortest odds in the division to win their third Super Bowl in four seasons, however, this is the lowest that number has been in quite some time.

Meanwhile, as expected, the Chargers are the lone team in the division to see their Super Bowl odds improve since the start of the season, with them now listed at 18-1 to win their first ever Super Bowl after opening at 27-1 in the preseason.

The Broncos odds have most remained unchanged, with them moving from 22-1 at the start of the season to 27-1 after their Week 2 loss against the Colts.

The Raiders odds also slightly dipped from 125-1 to 150-1 after Geno Smith mistook Chargers defenders as his primary receiving options in a lopsided MNF loss.

2025 AFC West – Player MVP Odds

After his torrid start to the 2025 season, Justin Herbert enters Week 3 with the third-shortest odds to capture his first career NFL MVP Award, only trailing the last two guys to win NFL MVP on the odds board in Josh Allen and Lamar Jackson.

Patrick Mahomes has seen his MVP odds tumble after his 0-2 start and a sputtering Chiefs offense with his odds dipping from +650 to +2500.

Bo Nix and Geno Smith began the season as deep sleepers to contend for the award and now they’re borderline comatose with odds of 100-1 and 200-1 respectively.

Player	Current Odds to Win NFL MVP	Preseason Odds to Win NFL MVP
Justin Herbert (Chargers)	+850	+2000
Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs)	+2500	+650
Bo Nix (Broncos)	+10000	+6000
Geno Smith (Raiders)	+20000	+10000

Step-By-Step To Bet On Divisional Winners

1. Go to your favorite sportsbook and log in.
2. Look for the NFL tab.
3. Click on the Division’s tab from the drop-down menu.
4. Choose the odds and team you will bet on.
5. Place your bet from the bet slip window—usually—on the right side of the screen.een.

Betting Odds For AFC Divisions

2025 AFC South Division Odds

2025 AFC North Division Odds

2025 AFC East Division Odds