NFL Offensive Player of the Year Odds 2025
We are entering Week 8 of the 2025 NFL season and the race to win the Offensive Player of the Year Award has seen significant movement over the last few weeks. An injury…
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Smith-Njigba is currently on pace for 1,989 receiving yards this season, which would eclipse the single-season record of 1,964 set by Calvin Johnson in 2012. He is also on track to shatter every receiving record in Seahawks history, proving he is more than capable of being a true number one wide receiver after two years alongside Tyler Lockett and D.K. Metcalf.
The man standing in his way, however, may already have a stranglehold on the award. Jonathan Taylor has been nothing short of outstanding all season long.
Taylor enters Week 8 with the shortest odds to win Offensive Player of the Year at -140 after scoring three touchdowns in his third game out of the last five. He currently leads the league in rushing with 697 yards and 10 touchdowns and is on pace for a 1,700-yard, 24-touchdown season. If running backs received more consideration in the MVP race, Taylor would be a heavy contender there as well.
Before diving into the rest of the Offensive Player of the Year chase, here’s a look at the odds entering Week 8.
Week 8 NFL Offensive POTY Odds Report
| Player | Current Odds to Win NFL OPOTY | Odds to Win NFL OPOTY Entering Week 6 | Odds to Win NFL OPOTY Entering Week 4 | Preseason Odds to Win NFL OPOTY |
| Jonathan Taylor (Colts) | -140 | +320 | +300 | +4000 |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba (Seahawks) | +430 | +1200 | +1800 | +4000 |
| Christian McCaffrey (49ers) | +650 | +600 | +850 | +2000 |
| Bijan Robinson (Falcons) | +1000 | +550 | +1500 | +1500 |
| Puka Nacua (Rams) | +1300 | +200 | +550 | +2000 |
| Ja’Marr Chase (Bengals) | +1500 | +6000 | +3500 | +900 |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown (Lions) | +3000 | +1400 | +1800 | +3000 |
| Jahmyr Gibbs (Lions) | +4000 | +2700 | +1400 | +1000 |
| James Cook (Bills) | +6000 | +2700 | +2200 | +3500 |
| Justin Jefferson (Vikings) | +6500 | +2200 | +3500 | +1600 |

The Favorite
Jonathan Taylor (-140) – RB – Indianapolis Colts
A few weeks ago, Taylor was the second-shortest favorite behind Rams wide receiver Puka Nacua. However, Nacua went down with an ankle injury, missing most of Los Angeles’ Week 6 win against the Ravens and then sitting out their Week 7 matchup in London against the Jaguars.
That, paired with Taylor rushing for 217 yards and four touchdowns over the last two weeks, has made the Colts’ star back the overwhelming favorite to win his first NFL Offensive Player of the Year Award. His odds now range from -105 to -140 entering Week 8.
It is clear that Taylor will remain the focal point of Shane Steichen’s offense, and if he can stay healthy and avoid the fate that sidelined Nacua, he may put this award out of reach before long.
Best OPOTY Betting Odds: BetMGM Sportsbook (-105)
The Contenders

Jaxon Smith-Njigba (+430) – WR – Seattle Seahawks
All season long, while Puka Nacua was drawing most of the attention and praise among wide receivers, we kept pointing out the man right on his heels was delivering incredible performances of his own.
That man was third-year Ohio State product Jaxon Smith-Njigba, who spent much of the early season flying under the radar in the Pacific Northwest. He is no longer under the radar, largely because he has been the best receiver in football this year.
Smith-Njigba enters his Week 8 bye with nearly 200 more receiving yards than the next closest player, Bengals wideout Ja’Marr Chase, and he has been Sam Darnold’s favorite target from Day 1. That connection sets him up for several more big performances as the season progresses.
If Jonathan Taylor stumbles in the weeks ahead, Smith-Njigba is the player to watch in the race for Offensive Player of the Year.
Best OPOTY Betting Odds: BetMGM Sportsbook (+500)
Christian McCaffrey (+650) – RB – San Francisco 49ers
In an ironic twist of fate for Kyle Shanahan, the Niners offense has been absolutely ravaged by injury through the first seven weeks of the season, yet Christian McCaffrey looks as good as ever and has been the teams most durable weapon to start 2025.
CMC has been instrumental in the Niners hot start to the season, in particular when it comes to giving Brock Purdy or Mac Jones a reliable threat in the passing game. McCaffrey currently has 516 yards receiving, which not only leads the 49ers and all running backs, but it also puts him eighth in receiving yards in the entire NFL. He’s also third in the NFL in receptions, with 53 on the year, making him a dream RB for PPR fantasy leagues and showing just how ravaged the Niners receiving corps has been all season long.
As the Niners get healthier, that only strengthens CMC’s potential to post big numbers in 2025. If he can stay on the field for the rest of the season, McCaffrey is a very enticing sleeper to eventually win this award.
Best OPOTY Betting Odds: FanDuel Sportsbook (+650)
Names To Watch

Bijan Robinson (+1000) – RB – Atlanta Falcons
Bijan Robinson enters Week 8 with the fourth-best odds to win NFL Offensive Player of the Year, in large part because of how dynamic of a threat he’s been for the Falcons attack this season with 524 yards rushing, 390 yards receiving, and a combined four touchdowns on the year.
While Bijan is certainly a viable candidate to win the OPOTY Award, he has an uphill climb with Taylor and McCaffrey above him, not to mention the explosive play of Smith-Njigba to emerge as the NFL’s top receiving target through the first seven weeks of the season.
However, no team may rely on a single player for success more than the Falcons do with Bijan Robinson, and if Atlanta can get on a hot streak and emerge as a threat in the NFC, you cannot discount his chances entirely to come out on top.
Best OPOTY Betting Odds: FanDuel Sportsbook (+1000)
Puka Nacua (+1300) – WR – Los Angeles Rams
As we’ve mentioned a few times throughout this article, Puka Nacua was having himself quite the season before an injury knocked him out for most of the last two games.
However, Nacua should not be down for long, with Sean McVay indicating that he believes he will be ready to return to the Rams lineup following their bye week in Week 8.
Despite missing his last two games, Nacua still is third in the league in receiving yards (616) and second overall in receptions (54). Should he return in Week 9 as expected and post the same numbers he was doing prior to his injury, grabbing him at 13-1 could be a very enticing wager.
Best OPOTY Betting Odds: FanDuel Sportsbook (+1300)
Ja’Marr Chase (+1500) – WR – Cincinnati Bengals
Turns out maybe Jake Browning was that terrible after all.
It took just two games with Chase playing alongside Joe Flacco to remind everyone that Ja’Marr Chase is pretty darn good at this football thing.
Chase went from being a 60-1 long shot to win NFL Offensive Player of the Year back to 15-1 in the two games he has played with Flacco under center and is coming off of a Week 7 performance that saw the former LSU superstar grab a franchise-record 16 passes for 161 yards and a touchdown, this after grabbing 10 catches for 94 yards and a touchdown in their loss to the Packers.
Flacco has rejuvenated a Bengals’ offense that looked absolutely dead in the water with Jake Browning at the helm, and the 41-year-old grizzled vet will continue to feed him the football in the coming weeks making Chase a very live sleeper candidate at 15-1 to capture the OPOTY Award.
Best OPOTY Betting Odds: FanDuel Sportsbook (+1500)
How Is The NFL Offensive Player of the Year Decided?
Each season, the Associated Press, known by many as the AP, gives out the NFL Offensive Player of the Year Award to the offensive player they believe has performed the best throughout the course of the regular season.
A panel of 50 sportswriters and media members rank their top five choices for the award at the end of each NFL season, with the winner being the player who receives the most votes as determined by where they are slotted in each respective writer or media members top five.
In other words, the more first place votes a player receives, the higher the likelihood they will be named NFL Offensive Player of the Year.
While we mentioned above how the NFL Most Valuable Player Award has morphed into an achievement dominated by quarterbacks, the NFL Offensive Player of the Year Award is more of a mixed bag.
Dating back to the 2000 season, here’s a position by position breakdown showing who has brought home this award over the last 25 seasons of NFL action.
| Position | OPOY Awards Won Since 2000 |
| Running Backs | 13 |
| Quarterbacks | 9 |
| Wide Receivers | 3 |
As you can see, running backs have recently fared very well in winning this award, with the last two winners of this award (Saquon Barkley and Christian McCaffrey) also being running backs.
While wide receivers appear to pale in comparison to their quarterback and running back friends, consider those three winners of the award have come in the last six seasons, adding further evidence that the tide is changing on who ultimately wins this award.
Recent NFL Offensive Player of the Year Winners
| Season | Player | Position | Team |
| 2024 | Saquon Barkley | RB | Philadelphia Eagles |
| 2023 | Christian McCaffrey | RB | San Francisco 49ers |
| 2022 | Justin Jefferson | WR | Minnesota Vikings |
| 2021 | Cooper Kupp | WR | Los Angeles Rams |
| 2020 | Derrick Henry | RB | Tennessee Titans |
| 2019 | Michael Thomas | WR | New Orleans Saints |
| 2018 | Patrick Mahomes | QB | Kansas City Chiefs |
| 2017 | Todd Gurley | RB | Los Angeles Rams |
| 2016 | Matt Ryan | QB | Atlanta Falcons |
| 2015 | Cam Newton | QB | Carolina Panthers |
How To Bet On The NFL Offensive Player Of The Year
To bet on the OPOY award, you must:
- Log into your sportsbook.
- Look for the NFL betting odds tab.
- Click on the ‘Players Futures’ category.
- Select the OPOY award to display the odds.
- Choose the player you want to wager on.
- Submit it from the bet slip window on the right-hand side of the screen.
Editor’s Note: All odds were correct at the time of writing. All odds, unless otherwise stated, are courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook.







