NCAAF Player Prop Bets Week 10

Author

Thomas Snodgrass

Updated: Nov 2, 2023

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The Heisman Trophy ceremony is now just a little over a month away, and a few players will be looking to bolster their case for the hardware in the closing stretch of the 2023 College Football season.

Here’s a quick look at the top-five Heisman candidates based on odds at FanDuel, and which teams the candidates play in Week 10:

Heisman CandidatesOddsWeek 10 Opponent
Michael Penix Jr., Washington Huskies+270No. 24 USC Trojans
J.J. McCarthy, Michigan Wolverines+300Purdue Boilermakers
Jayden Daniels, LSU Tigers+450No. 8 Alabama Crimson Tide
Bo Nix, Oregon Ducks+600California Golden Bears
Jordan Travis, Florida State Seminoles+750Pittsburgh Panthers

Michael Penix Jr. currently has the shortest odds to win the Heisman, and this week, he gets a great opportunity to strengthen his candidacy against a porous USC defense.

It’s a similar situation for Bo Nix as well, facing the Cal Golden Bears at home in Eugene, Oregon.

Jayden Daniels may struggle a bit against Alabama’s defense this week, but if he can produce some eye-popping numbers against the Crimson Tide, that would certainly shake up the Heisman odds.

You can read more about the Heisman Trophy odds here.

Let’s check out some NCAA Football player props for Week 10, whether they have Heisman Trophy implications or not.

And as always, with the best odds!

Michael Penix Jr. – QB, Washington Huskies

As the man with the shortest odds to win the Heisman, Penix is accustomed to putting up impressive numbers in the box score, and this week, Penix faces USC’s 90th-ranked passing defense.

Last week, the USC Trojans beat the Cal Golden Bears by just one point, winning 50-49 in a high-scoring Pac-12 shootout.

The Trojans allowed Cal’s freshman quarterback Fernando Mendoza to throw for 292 yards and two touchdown passes.

USC continues to get shredded by opposing quarterbacks, and there is no way that stops when Michael Penix comes to Southern California.

Penix is averaging 368.1 passing yards per game, and he has thrown for four or more touchdowns in five of his eight contests.

Washington should put up some big numbers on the scoreboard this week, and Penix will be flirting with 400 yards and four touchdown passes once again.

Penix will outduel Caleb Williams, because this is Penix’s season, not Williams’.

Pick: Penix – OVER 368.5 Passing Yards

Best Odds: (-115) DraftKings

Blake Corum – RB, Michigan Wolverines

Corum is one of the best running backs in the country, but it would appear that J.J. McCarthy has stolen all of his thunder.

Despite averaging 75.6 rushing yards per game and scoring a touchdown or more in every game this season, things have become quiet for Corum.

This week, Corum faces a Purdue Boilermakers’ defense that is allowing 153.8 rushing yards per game, which is the 76th-ranked rushing defense in the NCAA.

Assuming that Michigan can get an early lead on Purdue, they’ll just run out the clock, and that bodes well for Corum to have a pretty busy workload.

Corum is averaging 75.6 yards per game, but it’s been a tale of two seasons for Corum.

In his first four games, Corum was averaging 87.75 yards on the ground and scored eight touchdowns, but in his last four games, he’s averaging just 63.5 rushing yards and has scored just five touchdowns.

In an easily winnable game for the Wolverines, I suspect that Corum will get back to his early season ways.

Pick: Corum – OVER 82.5 Rushing Yards

Best Odds: (-114) FanDuel

Silas Bolden – WR, Oregon State Beavers

This week, the Oregon State Beavers look for a bounce back win against the Colorado Buffaloes.

As long as the Buffaloes’ defense continues to relinquish huge passing yard totals, then I’m going to continue to target opposing receivers.

Bolden is the most targeted receiver in the Beavers’ receiving corps, averaging 7.8 targets per game, and assuming Bolden gathers a similar number of targets this week, he should produce a decent yardage total against Colorado.

The Buffaloes have allowed 310.4 passing yards per game, and in their eight games, they have allowed 12 receivers to tally 60 or more receiving yards.

On October 13, against the Stanford Cardinal, Colorado allowed Stanford’s most targeted wide receiver, Elic Ayomanor, to collect 295 receiving yards on 13 catches.

I don’t need Bolden to put up nearly 300 receiving yards, just 67 yards, which is only 22.7% of Ayomanor’s output.

Pick: Bolden – OVER 66.5 Receiving Yards

Best Odds: (-114) FanDuel

Jase McClellan – RB, Alabama Crimson Tide

The No. 8 Alabama Crimson Tide take on the No. 13 LSU Tigers this week, and that matchup is a solid opportunity for Bama running back Jase McClellan to find the endzone.

LSU’s rushing defense allows an average of 155.6 rushing yards per game, which is ranked 78th in the NCAA, and in the Tigers’ eight games, they have surrendered 10 rushing touchdowns.

LSU faced the then-No. 20 Ole Miss Rebels and No. 21 Missouri Tigers in back-to-back weeks in late September and early October, and they allowed three rushing touchdowns in each of those contests.

With Alabama being the most comparable opponent they have faced since, I’d expect similar rushing success from Jase McClellan.

McClellan has just four rushing touchdowns this season, but he has seen his usage climb as the season goes on.

LSU’s defense has allowed a bunch of points and they allow an average of 3.6 offensive touchdowns per game from opponents.

I believe Alabama can score four touchdowns in this game against LSU’s shaky defense, and I can see McClellan scoring half of them.

Pick: McClellan – OVER 1.5 Total Touchdowns
Best Odds: (+320) FanDuel

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About the author

A fan of both the Cleveland Browns and Pittsburgh Steelers, which is rare! Thomas provides sports betting content with the intent to educate and enter...

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