Buffalo Bills 2024 Season Betting Preview
Buffalo Bills 2024 Season Betting Preview
Thomas Snodgrass
Updated: Jul 8, 2024
The Buffalo Bills have won the AFC East crown for four consecutive seasons, but with changes in both the on field personnel and on the sidelines with their coaching staff, the Bills may have some growing pains ahead in their attempt to claim their fifth-consecutive divisional title.
Buffalo completed the 2023 regular season with a record of 11-6, but they ultimately lost in the divisional round of the NFL playoffs for the third consecutive season, so changes were necessary. Whether those changes were successful or not will be the anticipation of the 2024 edition of the Bills.
Let’s take a look at some information and betting options for the Buffalo Bills in the upcoming 2024 NFL season.
Bills’ Notable Additions And Subtractions
Bills’ Additions
| Position | Player | 2023 Team |
| WR | Curtis Samuel | Washington Commanders |
| OT | La’el Collins | Cincinnati Bengals |
| WR | Mack Hollins | Atlanta Falcons |
Bills’ Subtractions
| Position | Player | 2024 Team |
| WR | Stefon Diggs | Houston Texans |
| WR | Gabe Davis | Jacksonville Jaguars |
| C | Mitch Morse | Jacksonville Jaguars |
| CB | Tre’Davious White | Los Angeles Rams |
| S | Micah Hyde | Free Agent |
| S | Jordan Poyer | Miami Dolphins |
Obviously the Bills’ biggest subtraction is wide receiver Stefon Diggs.
In his four seasons in Buffalo, Diggs and the Bills won four AFC East titles, so head coach Sean McDermott and company are hoping they can pull it off again without their playmaking receiver.
Diggs averaged 111 receptions, 1,343 receiving yards and nine touchdown catches per season in his time in Buffalo, and it may take some time for the Bills’ offense to fill the Diggs-sized hole in their receiving corps.
There is also a slightly smaller gap created by the absence of wide receiver Gabe Davis, too.
Davis has been a strong red zone target for quarterback Josh Allen over the years, the last four years to be more specific, catching seven touchdowns in three of the last four seasons (six touchdowns in 2021).
Buffalo’s offensive changes may have grabbed more headlines, but their defensive losses have been long-term staples in their defensive backfield.
Tre’Davious White has been one of the NFL’s more dependable cornerbacks when healthy, and Micah Hyde and Jordan Poyer have consistently performed up the middle for the Bills defense for each of the last seven seasons.
Buffalo’s passing defense allowed just 198.7 passing yards per game in 2023 (7th in NFL), so it will be interesting to see how their defensive backfield shakes out in 2024 and if it can remain just as stingy.
After their 10 selections in the 2024 NFL Draft, it appears that the Bills are going to be retooling their current squad with some young blood.
Bills’ 2024 NFL Draft Class
| Round | Pick # | Position | Player | College |
| 2 | 33 | WR | Keon Coleman | Florida State |
| 2 | 60 | S | Cole Bishop | Utah |
| 3 | 95 | DT | DeWayne Carter | Duke |
| 4 | 128 | RB | Ray Davis | Kentucky |
| 5 | 141 | C/G | Sedrick Van Pran-Granger | Georgia |
| 5 | 160 | LB | Edefuan Ulofoshio | Washington |
| 5 | 168 | DE | Javon Solomon | Troy |
| 6 | 204 | T | Tylan Grable | UCF |
| 6 | 219 | CB | Daequan Hardy | Penn State |
| 7 | 221 | G | Travis Clayton | International |
Buffalo split their 10 draft picks to five each on either side of the ball, and with their most notable losses in their receiving corps and their defensive backfield, they bolstered those positions with their top two picks in Keon Coleman and Cole Bishop.
As a Florida State Seminole in 2023, Coleman produced strong numbers in the college ranks as a big play receiver, collecting 50 catches for 658 yards and 11 touchdowns in 12 contests.
Coleman is a big-bodied receiver, standing at 6-foot-4, and could replace Gabe Davis as a top red zone target for Allen.
On the defensive end, Cole Bishop makes for an interesting draft pick out of Utah. In 11 games with the Utes last season, Bishop was all over the field, tallying 60 tackles, three sacks and two interceptions.
Bishop helped lead Utah’s defense to allow just 20.3 points per game (20th in NCAA).
The selection of Kentucky Wildcats’ running back Ray Davis should also provide a nice change of pace rushing attack to current Bills’ back James Cook.
Davis ran for 1,129 yards (5.7 ypc) and 14 touchdowns for the Wildcats in 2023.
Also, Buffalo completed an undrafted signing of Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles’ running back Frank Gore Jr.
Fun Fact: If Gore were to make the active roster and play in a game for the Bills this season, Josh Allen would be the first quarterback in NFL history to play alongside a father-and-son duo at running back; Allen suiting up alongside Frank Gore Sr. in 2019.
Bills’ Notable Player 2024 Season Props
Josh Allen
2023 Statistics: 385/579 (66.5% Cmp), 4306 Pass Yds, 29 TD, 18 INT, 524 Rush Yds, 15 Rush TD
Allen’s 2024 Passing Yards Total – OVER/UNDER 3750.5
Allen has thrown for at least 4,000 yards in each of the last four seasons, so this wager will depend largely on how you see Diggs’ absence looming in this Buffalo offense.
Allen’s 2024 Rushing Yards Total – OVER/UNDER 480.5 to 550.5
| BestOdds: OVER 480.5 (-105) DraftKings | Under 550.5 (-130) bet365 |
Allen’s rushing yards total is set at 480.5 on DraftKings, 485.5 on BetMGM, 500.5 on FanDuel and Caesars, and 550.5 on bet365.
Whether you are taking the over or under on Allen’s rushing total, be sure to shop around for the best odds!
James Cook
2023 Statistics: 237 carries, 1122 rush yards, 4.7 ypc, 2 rush TD
Cook’s 2024 Rushing Yards Total – OVER UNDER 875.5
Cook ran for a career-high 1,122 yards last season, averaging 66 rushing yards per game, and he was used heavily in the Bills’ passing attack after the transition from offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey to Joe Brady mid-season.
Cooks’ growing role in the passing game could help him secure a role as a three-down back, but his limited number of rushing touchdowns suggests that rookie Ray Davis could get plenty of looks around the goal line.
Dalton Kincaid
2023 Statistics: 91 targets, 73 receptions, 673 receiving yards, 2 TD
Kincaid’s 2024 Receiving Yards Total – OVER/UNDER 750.5
| BestOdds: OVER (+110) bet365 | UNDER (-110) DraftKings |
In his 2023 rookie campaign, Kincaid quickly became a strong option for Allen in the passing game with his 91 targets being second on the team to only Stefon Diggs.
With Diggs now in Houston, Kincaid has the potential to be one of the most targeted tight ends in the NFL. That should provide a nice boost to his numbers.
Bills’ 2024 Regular Season Schedule
| Bills’ 2024 Schedule | Opponent (with 2023 record) |
| Week 1 | vs. Arizona Cardinals (4-13) |
| Week 2 | at Miami Dolphins (11-6) |
| Week 3 | vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (9-8) |
| Week 4 | at Baltimore Ravens (13-4) |
| Week 5 | at Houston Texans (10-7) |
| Week 6 | at New York Jets (7-10) |
| Week 7 | vs. Tennessee Titans (6-11) |
| Week 8 | at Seattle Seahawks (9-8) |
| Week 9 | vs. Miami Dolphins (11-6) |
| Week 10 | at Indianapolis Colts (9-8) |
| Week 11 | vs. Kansas City Chiefs (11-6) |
| Week 12 | BYE WEEK |
| Week 13 | vs. San Francisco 49ers (12-5) |
| Week 14 | at Los Angeles Rams (10-7) |
| Week 15 | at Detroit Lions (12-5) |
| Week 16 | vs. New England Patriots (4-13) |
| Week 17 | vs. New York Jets (7-10) |
| Week 18 | at New England Patriots (4-13) |
Bills’ 2024 Projected Win Total
Buffalo’s 2023 Record: 11-6
Bills’ 2024 Win Total – OVER/UNDER 10.5
BestOdds: OVER 10.5 (+130) DraftKings | UNDER 10.5 (-150) BetMGM
The Bills have won 11 or more games in each of their last four AFC East-winning seasons, and unless the Jets, Dolphins, or Patriots (probably just New York or Miami) make a push for a division title in 2024, Buffalo could snag another double-digit winning season.
11 of the Bills’ 17 games in 2024 will be against clubs that produced an above-.500 record last season, including back-to-back matchups against the AFC and NFC Conference champions, sandwiching their Week 12 bye.
Bills’ Super Bowl 59 Odds
Here’s a look at Buffalo’s odds to win Super Bowl 59 across the books.
| Sportsbook | Super Bowl 59 Odds | Odds Ranking |
| bet365 | +1200 | t-4th |
| BetMGM | +1400 | t-5th |
| Caesars | +1700 | t-8th |
| DraftKings | +1200 | t-4th |
| FanDuel | +1500 | 7th |
Even through a series of changes, Buffalo is still viewed in high regard from the NFL, the sportsbooks, the fans, and the betting public.
For any member of the Bills Mafia out there, if you believe in the Bills to hoist the Lombardi Trophy after Super Bowl 59 in New Orleans, place your bet at Caesars, as they have the best odds of +1700.
As long as Josh Allen remains healthy, and this new-look defense can fortify throughout the season, it would appear that the Bills still have a decent shot of bringing the Lombardi Trophy home to Western New York.
All odds are as of July 8th, 2024. All lines are subject to change.
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