The New York Jets are 4-4, and they are looking to get above .500.

The Las Vegas Raiders are 4-5, and they are looking to get to .500.

Both clubs are fighting to remain relevant in the AFC Playoff picture, and they’re doing so with unexpected quarterbacks under center.

Zach Wilson has taken over for the injured Aaron Rodgers in New York and Aidan O’Connell has taken over for the ineffective Jimmy Garoppolo in Las Vegas.

While the men currently under center weren’t expected to be there when the season kicked off, the running backs are a different story.

For this Sunday Night Football matchup, I’ll be placing a Same Game Parlay on DraftKings.

Zach Wilson – UNDER 206.5 Passing Yards (-130 DraftKings)

The Raiders’ passing defense has been stingy in 2023, allowing just 207.7 passing yards per game, 8th-best in the NFL.

Las Vegas has held an opposing QB to 200 or less passing yards in six of their nine games, and for Zach Wilson, who is only averaging exactly 200 passing yards per game, it could be a long night.

According to BestOdds EDGE, Wilson is projected to flirt with 200 yards, but still below his 206.5 passing yards prop.

Based on the previous matchups in the chart above, asking Wilson to throw for more than 200 passing yards may be asking for too much.

Squaring up against a strong Raiders’ passing defense, I don’t trust Wilson to throw for many yards this week.

Aidan O’Connell – UNDER 206.5 Passing Yards (-115 DraftKings)

Much like the Raiders, the success of the Jets’ defense comes from stopping opposing quarterbacks.

New York’s passing defense is allowing just 189.3 passing yards per game, the second-best mark in the NFL.

In O’Connell’s limited time as QB1 for the Raiders, he’s averaging 223.5 passing yards per game in his two starts.

Chargers DB Asante Samuel with the interception off of Aidan O’Connell. pic.twitter.com/qc2l4jbDpC

— Arye Pulli (@AryePulli) October 1, 2023

O’Connell’s two starts came against the Los Angeles Chargers and New York Giants, and those are relatively easy passing defenses to beat, with the Chargers’ passing defense ranked 32nd in the NFL (313.5 passing yards/game) and the Giants ranked 11th (225.4 passing yards /game).

BestOdds EDGE has O’Connell projected to throw under 200 passing yards, and I agree.

It’s been an up-and-down start for O’Connell, and he could have a bright future in the NFL, but against a tough New York passing defense, it should be a quiet game for the rookie QB.

Breece Hall – OVER 63.5 Rushing Yards (-115 DraftKings) AND Anytime TD Scorer (+100 DraftKings)

Hall is averaging 61.6 rushing yards per game, but he could be in for a big night against a Las Vegas defense that is 31st in the NFL, allowing 138.7 rushing yards per game.

Hall has been a bit of a boom or bust player this season, picking up over 100 rushing yards in two games, but less than 60 rushing yards in the other six games.

Breece Hall has averaged a league-high 1.4 rushing yards over expected per carry this season (min. 60 carries).

Hall has gained +131 rushing yards over expected this season (4th in NFL), despite averaging the 6th-lowest rushing success rate (31.9%).#TakeFlight pic.twitter.com/EMFboXhWDj

— Next Gen Stats (@NextGenStats) November 8, 2023

The breakout for Hall is coming, and it could be in primetime this Sunday.

After averaging only eight carries per game in the first four contests, Hall is averaging 15.5 in his last four, getting a larger workload as the season goes on.

I’d expect Hall to get at least 15 carries in this one, and here’s how every opposing running back that has taken at least 15 carries against Las Vegas has done in 2023:

Opponent	RBs With 15+ Carries	Rushing Yards & TDs
Week 2: Buffalo	James Cook (17 Carries)	123 Yards
Week 3: Pittsburgh	Najee Harris (19 Carries)	65 Yards
Week 4: Los Angeles (A)	Joshua Kelley (17 Carries)	65 Yards
Week 5: Green Bay	A.J. Dillon (20 Carries)	76 Yards, TD
Week 7: Chicago	D’Onta Foreman (16 Carries)	89 Yards, 2 TDs
Week 8: Detroit	Jahmyr Gibbs (26 Carries)	152 Yards, TD
Week 9: New York (N)	Saquon Barkley (16 Carries)	90 Yards

Lots of carries leads to lots of success against this Raiders rushing defense, and Hall will follow that pattern on Sunday Night Football.

Josh Jacobs – OVER 66.5 Rushing Yards (-115 DraftKings) AND Anytime TD Scorer (+100 DraftKings)

Josh Jacobs led the NFL in rushing yards last season, but this year, the veteran running back is yet to have a 100-yard rushing game.

This week at home on Sunday Night Football, Jacobs faces a New York Jets rushing defense that is ranked 30th in the NFL, allowing 137.3 rushing yards per game.

Jacobs has averaged 17.7 carries per game, proving to be one of the true No. 1 running backs left in a game that has been overrun by running back committees.

FEED JOSH JACOBS 🍽️pic.twitter.com/GvKIgDazP4

— PFF Fantasy Football (@PFF_Fantasy) November 5, 2023

Workload isn’t an issue for Jacobs, just whether or not he can find some open grass ahead.

The Jets allow 4.3 yards per carry this season, and when applying the yards per carry allowed, times the average number of carries (17.7), Jacobs would have a very simple projection of 76.11 rushing yards.

Jacobs is only averaging 56.2 rushing yards per game this season, so facing a weaker rushing defense should do wonders for that average.

And with five rushing touchdowns in nine games, and being a focal point of the Raiders’ offense, Jacobs being set at +100 to score a touchdown on DraftKings is a nice value.

DraftKings SGP Legs	Odds
Zach Wilson – UNDER 206.5 Passing Yards	-130
Aidan O’Connell – UNDER 206.5 Passing Yards	-115
Breece Hall – OVER 63.5 Rushing Yards	-130
Breece Hall – Anytime Touchdown Scorer	+100
Josh Jacobs – OVER 66.5 Rushing Yards	-115
Josh Jacobs – Anytime Touchdown Scorer	+100
Jets vs. Raiders SGP Odds	+4200

A $10 wager on this Sunday Night Football Same Game Parlay would payout $430!

Betting NFL Same Game Parlays

Same game parlay is just like a regular NFL parlay bet, except all bet selections come from different wagers within one football game.

The benefit of an NFL same game parlay is achieved by combining multiple bets so you can go for bigger wins as the odds increase.

The more bet selections you add, the more difficult it is to win, but the odds also greatly increase so is the potential winning amount.

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