Thomas Snodgrass
Updated: Oct 13, 2023
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The Baltimore Ravens and Tennessee Titans both suffered close defeats in Week 5, and both clubs will look to get back on the winning side at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London this week.
If these squads want to get into the win column, they’ll need some promising performances from their star players.
Ravens’ QB Lamar Jackson is looking for a bounce back game after throwing an interception and losing a fumble on a strip sack on back-to-back drives in the fourth quarter in last week’s loss to the Pittsburgh Steelers.
Titan’s running back Derrick Henry tallied a measly 43 rushing yards on 13 carries (3.3 yards per carry) in last week’s loss to the Indianapolis Colts.
Jackson and Henry will both need to show up big in London.
Besides these two stars, there are plenty of players looking to make their mark across the pond.
Let’s find some legs for a solid Same Game Parlay in this Ravens-Titans matchup.
This parlay will be placed on FanDuel.
Lamar Jackson – OVER 227.5 Passing Yards (-114 FanDuel)
Although Lamar Jackson is largely known for what he can do with his legs, he can also move the ball downfield with his arm.
Lamar Jackson's 7-yard touchdown pass to Mark Andrews was the NFL's most improbable completion of Week 4.
— Next Gen Stats (@NextGenStats) October 3, 2023
Catch all the numbers behind @Lj_era8's most improbable completions from the @Ravens' 28-3 win over the Browns! 📽️#BALvsCLE | #RavensFlock pic.twitter.com/zSIBDQQn78
Jackson is averaging just 206 passing yards per game this season, but Tennessee’s passing defense should allow the mobile quarterback to find some open receivers.
The Titan’s defense is allowing 263.4 passing yards on average (23rd in the NFL), and that number could be even worse if not for the last two weeks.
In Week 4, Cincinnati Bengals’ QB Joe Burrow threw up a dud against the Titans, only throwing for 165 yards, massively lowering the passing yards against average for Tennessee’s defense.
In Week 5, both Anthony Richardson and Gardner Minshew of the Colts totaled 253 passing yards, slightly lowering the average again.
Here’s how the Titans’ defense did against opposing QBs in Weeks 1-3:
- Week 1: Derek Carr (NO) – 305 Passing Yards
- Week 2: Justin Herbert (LAC) – 305 Passing Yards
- Week 3: Deshaun Watson (CLE) – 289 Passing Yards
The first three weeks saw Tennessee’s defense allow an average of 299.7 passing yards per game.
In Week 6, Tennessee’s defense will be without cornerback Elijah Molden, and could be without cornerback Caleb Farley and safety Amani Hooker; both are currently questionable to play.
This Titans’ defense is very beatable through the air, and while Lamar Jackson probably won’t throw for 300+ yards, I do believe the over on his passing yards prop is easily reachable.
Zay Flowers – OVER 56.5 Receiving Yards (-114 FanDuel) AND Anytime Touchdown (+190 FanDuel)
Ravens’ tight end Mark Andrews has been the No. 1 target for Jackson over the last few years, but rookie wide receiver Zay Flowers is starting to become a big point of focus in this Baltimore passing attack.
Flowers has 40 targets in his first five career games, that’s a solid 28% target share of all of Jackson’s passing attempts.
Tennessee has had an issue halting opposing wide receivers, allowing 984 yards to wide receivers in their first five games, that’s an average of 196.8 yards per game – only to wide receivers.
Flowers has eclipsed 60 receiving yards in three of his five games this season, and has a solid opportunity to go over 60 yards again.
As I previously mentioned, the Titans’ defense could see some players sit out, and the intercontinental travel could play a part in whether or not some of these players even suit up.
Zay Flowers vs. a Tennessee defensive secondary that may not even be a full unit in Week 6 appears to be a potentially profitable play.
Derrick Henry – OVER 63.5 Rushing Yards (-114 FanDuel)
Baltimore’s rushing defense has done a fine job stopping opposing rushers, allowing just 91.4 rushing yards per game (7th in the NFL).
Derrick Henry is one of the best running backs in the NFL, so even in this matchup, I feel comfortable taking the over on his rushing yards prop.
If Tennessee has any chance of winning this game, they will need Henry to have a solid performance on the ground.
In both games the Titans have won this season, Henry has received at least 20 carries.
Maybe the secret to winning games is putting the ball in the hands of your most talented player.
Derrick Henry 29yd Td Run pic.twitter.com/TsXLdiO6vm
— MADsportSD16 (@MADsportSD16) October 4, 2023
Remember, running back Zack Moss of the Colts shredded the Ravens’ defense in Week 3, rushing for 122 yards on 30 carries in an Indianapolis win.
Indy has given the Titans a blueprint for victory, now they just have to construct the right play calling.
Also, it’s rare to get Henry’s rushing prop at such a low total.
Tyjae Spears – OVER 16.5 Receiving Yards (-114 FanDuel)
There is a very real possibility that Tennessee will be playing from behind, and if that’s the case, then it’s time for the dink-and-dunk passing of Ryan Tannehill.
Tannehill’s shorter passing attack will benefit players closer to the line of scrimmage, much like No. 2 running back Tyjae Spears.
Interestingly, Spears is the third-most targeted receiver on the Titans (19 targets), tied with Nick Westbrook-Ikhine (19), and just behind tight end Chigoziem Okonkwo (22) and receiver DeAndre Hopkins (42).
In last week’s loss to the Colts, Spears caught four balls on five targets for 35 yards.
We only need 17 receiving yards from Spears this week, and that’s not asking for much.
Through five games at least one running back has collected over 16.5 receiving yards against Baltimore.
- Week 1: Mike Boone (HOU) – 3 Rec, 18 Rec Yds
- Week 2: Joe Mixon (CIN) – 5 Rec, 31 Yds
- Week 3: Zack Moss (IND) – 2 Rec, 23 Yds
- Week 4: Jerome Ford (CLE) – 5 Rec, 19 Yds
- Week 5: Jaylen Warren (PIT) – 3 Rec, 39 Yds
I’m going to follow this trend in Week 6.
SGP Legs | Odds |
Lamar Jackson – OVER 227.5 Passing Yards | -114 |
Zay Flowers – Anytime Touchdown | -190 |
Zay Flowers – OVER 56.5 Receiving Yards | -114 |
Derrick Henry – OVER 63.5 Rushing Yards | -114 |
Tyjae Spears – OVER 16.5 Receiving Yards | -114 |
Parlay Odds | +2090 |
FanDuel is currently offering a 50% Profit Boost on this game, and with the boost applied, the odds jump from +2090 to +3136!
Betting NFL Same Game Parlays
Same game parlay is just like a regular NFL parlay bet, except all bet selections come from different wagers within one football game.
The benefit of an NFL same game parlay is achieved by combining multiple bets so you can go for bigger wins as the odds increase.
The more bet selections you add, the more difficult it is to win, but the odds also greatly increase so is the potential winning amount.
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