Lions vs. Ravens Same Game Parlay | Week 7
Thomas Snodgrass
Updated: Oct 20, 2023
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The Detroit Lions visit the Baltimore Ravens in Week 7, and the noise around both of these clubs has differed.
The Lions, who are currently 5-1, a record they haven’t reached to start a season since 2011, can reach 6-1 on Sunday, a record they haven’t seen in the Motor City since 1956.
That was during the Dwight D. Eisenhower administration.
So, it’s been a while since Detroit has seen this level of success and the noise around them is deafening.
Meanwhile, Baltimore has put the mid in Mid-Atlantic.
After starting the season with back-to-back wins, the Ravens have failed to win consecutive games, losing to the Indianapolis Colts in overtime in Week 3, and succumbing to a 41-yard touchdown pass to Kenny Pickett and the Pittsburgh Steelers in Week 5.
With both losses being by a combined score of 10 points, Baltimore has narrowly missed a 6-0 start.
The two losses have quieted the Ravens’ backers.
These two squads will clash in what may very well be the most entertaining game of the week, so this contest makes for a fun option to place a Same Game Parlay.
I’ll be placing this same-gamer on FanDuel.
Lamar Jackson – OVER 216.5 Passing Yards (-114 Fanduel)
Lamar Jackson and the Ravens’ offense was expected to pass more this season under new offensive coordinator Todd Monken.
Seeing that Jackson averaged 186.8 passing yards per game last season and is currently averaging 208.8, I’d say that the progress in the passing attack is showing; even if it’s a slight improvement.
Here’s how Jackson’s passing yards props have played out over the last five weeks, courtesy of BestOdds EDGE:
Jackson is consistently flirting with 200 or more passing yards, and this week, the game script may call for Jackson to fling it more often.
The Lions’ passing defense has been their main weakness, currently listed as the 18th-ranked passing D in the NFL, allowing 242.3 yards per game.
In all six games that Detroit has played, only Baker Mayfield of the Buccaneers failed to hit the over on his passing yards prop.
Quarterbacks that are inferior passers to Jackson, such as Jordan Love of the Packers, Desmond Ridder of the Falcons, and Bryce Young of the Panthers all hit the over on their passing yards prop.
With Jared Goff on the other side, I believe Jackson will have to chuck it.
Mark Andrews – OVER 53.5 Receiving Yards (-114) AND Any Time Touchdown Scorer (+185 Fanduel)
The Lions have allowed the fifth-most receiving yards to fellow tight ends this season, so the opportunity for Andrews to pick up some yards should be there this Sunday afternoon.
One-score game, midway through the fourth quarter, Lamar Jackson makes this big-time throw.
— Ryan Mink (@ryanmink) October 17, 2023
Lamar communicates with his center pre-snap, moves off his initial read, then flicks this pass 36 air yards to Mark Andrews on the money. pic.twitter.com/joOPAOer7B
Andrews also has three touchdowns in only five games played this season, and now fully healthy, he should see a larger target share in the red zone.
Last season, Andrew had a target percentage of 24.3% inside the 20-yard line, currently that number is just 21.7% in a smaller sample, and I’m expecting an uptick here.
Even in 2021, Andrews’ red zone target percentage was 27.4% in all 17 games, which was the sixth-highest mark in the NFL.
For the Ravens to get their offense rolling, the Jackson-to-Andrews combo needs to be more prevalent in their scheme.
This week is a prime opportunity for Baltimore’s QB-TE duo.
Jared Goff – OVER 239.5 Passing Yards (-114 Fanduel)
Goff’s matchup with the Ravens’ defense is not the easiest.
But, with running backs David Montgomery and Jahmyr Gibbs looking like they may be on the sidelines for this game, it’ll be up to Goff to get the Lions’ offense downfield.
The running game may be nixed in favor of short-yardage screen passes as a replacement.
Last week, with Craig Reynolds as Detroit’s starting running back against Tampa Bay, Goff attempted 44 passes, completing 33 of them for 353 yards and two touchdowns.
It should be more of the same this week.
Baltimore’s passing defense is currently second in the NFL, allowing just 163.2 passing yards per game.
That number looks good, but it feels empty, considering the Ravens’ soft schedule against opposing QBs.
Baltimore has faced Dorian Thompson-Robinson of the Browns, Ryan Tannehill and Malik Willis of the Titans, Kenny Pickett of the Steelers and Gardner Minshew of the Colts.
Jared Goff for MVP? 🤔🦁 pic.twitter.com/012r5lVLnl
— FOX Sports: NFL (@NFLonFOX) October 17, 2023
Goff does not share a lunch table with those QBs, and he’ll prove it this Sunday against the Ravens.
Amon-Ra St. Brown – OVER 6.5 Receptions (-114 Fanduel)
Last week, when the running back play for Detroit was scarce, St. Brown saw 15 targets, catching 12 of them.
While I don’t see St. Brown catching a dozen balls again this week, he’ll certainly have the opportunity to.
Baltimore has allowed 82 receptions by wide receivers in the first six games, that’s 13.7 catches per game to opposing wideouts.
The Ravens are allowing just 136 receiving yards per game to receivers, 9th-best in the NFL, but the 13.7 catches allowed to receivers is 22nd in the NFL.
Baltimore’s aggressive defense will keep receivers from picking up yards after the catch, but the catches will still come.
In any one-on-one situation with an opposing defense, St. Brown usually comes out on top.
Amon-Ra St. Brown vs single coverage this season
— PFF DET Lions (@PFF_Lions) October 19, 2023
15 targets
13 catches
200 yards
1 TD
141.0 rating when targeted (1st)
☀️ pic.twitter.com/h89fjOQcXA
As the top target for Goff, with 49 targets in five games played (9.8 targets per game), St. Brown to catch seven balls is a realistic outcome.
A negative game script only increases the likelihood.
SGP Legs | Odds |
Lamar Jackson – OVER 216.5 Passing Yards | -114 |
Mark Andrews – Anytime Touchdown | +185 |
Mark Andrews – OVER 53.5 Receiving Yards | -114 |
Jared Goff – OVER 239.5 Passing Yards | -114 |
Amon-Ra St. Brown – OVER 6.5 Receptions | -114 |
Parlay Odds | +1330 |
This Lions-Ravens Same Game Parlay on Fanduel can win you $133.08 on just a $10 wager!
Betting NFL Same Game Parlays
Same game parlay is just like a regular NFL parlay bet, except all bet selections come from different wagers within one football game.
The benefit of an NFL same game parlay is achieved by combining multiple bets so you can go for bigger wins as the odds increase.
The more bet selections you add, the more difficult it is to win, but the odds also greatly increase so is the potential winning amount.
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