After leading the Los Angeles Rams to the Super Bowl in 2019, Jared Goff was quickly establishing himself as a franchise quarterback in LA.

Then the Rams lost to the New England Patriots in the Super Bowl, 13-3.

The low offensive output in the Big Game put a target on Goff’s back, and as his production began to take a tumble, Los Angeles traded Goff to the Detroit Lions in 2021 for the more experienced QB, Matthew Stafford.

Stafford then led the Rams to the Super Bowl in 2022 and won, in SoFi Stadium in Los Angeles no less.

It was a successful transaction for Los Angeles, but Goff and the Lions will look to bite back against that deal in Sunday’s Wild Card matchup.

For this wild Wild Card game, I’ll place a Same Game Parlay on BetRivers.

Matthew Stafford – OVER 273.5 Passing Yards and OVER 1.5 TD Passes

Playing at Ford Field in Detroit is nothing new for Matthew Stafford after donning a Lions’ uniform for 12 seasons.

But, in his dozen years as Detroit’s quarterback, Stafford never played a single home game in the playoffs, so the atmosphere may be a little different than what he was accustomed to.

Stafford has an advantageous matchup with a middling Lions’ defensive secondary, with Detroit allowing 268.4 passing yards per game, which is ranked 29th in the NFL.

Detroit has allowed at least 275 passing yards in six games this season, and Nick Mullens of the Minnesota Vikings averaged a hilarious 403.5 passing yards per game in two outings against this defense, so there is certainly a vulnerability to big pass plays.

COOPER KUPP 62 YARD TOUCHDOWN pic.twitter.com/Yhhl2Blra8

— JPAFootball (@jasrifootball) December 17, 2023

Stafford totaled 264.3 passing yards per game this season, but in his old stomping grounds, he won’t want to be bested by the man he replaced.

Stafford should be flirting with 300 passing yards.

Pick: Stafford – OVER 273.5 Passing Yards (-114) BetRivers

Pick: Stafford – OVER 1.5 TD Passes (-157) BetRivers

Cooper Kupp – OVER 70.5 Receiving Yards

If the Rams are going to succeed in the passing game, which is likely based on the Lions’ defense, then Kupp should be a large part of that success.

Kupp had a tumultuous season, dealing with injuries and the emergence of rookie wide receiver Puka Nacua.

Kupp still managed to play in 12 games and collect an average of 61.4 receiving yards per game.

The connection between Kupp and Stafford continues to be a common sighting, with Kupp being targeted 44 times in his last five games (8.8 tgts/gm).

Surprisingly, Kupp only picked up four games this season with more than 70 receiving yards, but two of them came in December, so he may be getting back on track at the right time.

With Nacua pulling focus from defenders, and Kupp pulling focus as well, both Kupp and Nacua should frustrate Detroit’s defense.

Pick: Kupp – OVER 70.5 Receiving Yards (-115) BetRivers

Puka Nacua – OVER 76.5 Receiving Yards

What’s in a name?

Well, for Puka Nacua, it was a fifth-round draft pick out of BYU that put up okay numbers in his college days.

Now, Nacua is the NFL Record-holder for most receiving yards in a rookie season (1,486).

A lot can change in a small amount of time.

Nacua averaged 87.4 receiving yards per game, picking up 119 yards in his NFL debut and never slowing down.

Consistently solid nearly every single week.

Puka Nacua! What a grab without gloves 🔥

📺: #LARvsBAL on FOX
📱: Stream on #NFLPlus https://t.co/pWMED8SAQa pic.twitter.com/fIdTuxE8yy

— NFL (@NFL) December 10, 2023

Even with Kupp running routes, Nacua still sees plenty of targets, and in his last five games with Stafford under center, Nacua is seeing 8.6 targets per game.

Nacua and Kupp share this passing attack along with Stafford and all three should pepper this Lions’ defensive secondary with ease.

Pick: Nacua – OVER 76.5 Receiving Yards (-114) BetRivers

Jared Goff – OVER 256.5 Passing Yards and OVER 1.5 TD Passes

Jared Goff is one of those QBs that always steps up his game in front of the home crowd.

Here’s a look at Goff’s home and road splits:

Goff H/R Split	Comp%	Yds/Gm	TD	INT	QB Rating
Home	70.1%	280	19	6	107.9
Road	64.8	259.4	11	6	89.4

For some added context, Goff’s road QB rating of 89.4 is comparable to Trevor Lawrence’s rating of 88.5 and his home rating of 107.9 is comparable to Dak Prescott’s rating of 105.9.

In short, Goff is Lawrence-like on the road, but Prescott-esque at home.

Even though the Lions passing defense ranks lower than Los Angeles’, take a look at how the Rams’ passing defense has fared against opposing QBs over the last five games (not including Week 18 because it was basically a preseason game).

LAR Opponent	Quarterback	QB Results
Week 13: Cleveland	Joe Flacco	23/44, 254 Yds, 2 TD, 1 INT
Week 14: Baltimore	Lamar Jackson	24/43, 316 Yds, 3 TD, 1 INT
Week 15: Washington	Sam Howell/Jacoby Brissett	19/36, 226 Yds, 3 TD, 1 INT
Week 16: New Orleans	Derek Carr	27/40, 319 Yds, 3 TD, 1 INT
Week 17: New York (N)	Tyrod Taylor	27/41, 319 Yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

In those five games, quarterbacks are averaging 286.8 passing yards and 2.4 touchdown passes per game.

Similarly to Stafford, Goff will not want to be bested by his replacement.

There’s an on-field battle and an emotional battle between these two veteran quarterbacks.

They’ll both be flinging the pigskin.

Pick: Goff – OVER 256.5 Passing Yards (-115) BetRivers

Pick: Goff – OVER 1.5 TD Passes (-137) BetRivers

Amon-Ra St. Brown – OVER 87.5 Receiving Yards

St. Brown produced a fantastic season, reeling in 119 catches for 1,515 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns.

That’s an average of 7.4 receptions, 94.7 receiving yards and 0.63 touchdown catches per game.

In 16 games played, St. Brown hit 100 or more receiving yards nine times, including in three of his last four outings.

An impressive 3rd season for Amon-Ra St. Brown. #OnePride pic.twitter.com/nQDumvc6Y4

— Sunday Night Football on NBC (@SNFonNBC) January 11, 2024

Also, with 164 targets this season, only Garrett Wilson (NYJ), Tyreek Hill (MIA), Davante Adams (LV), and CeeDee Lamb (DAL) saw more targets.

The Lions’ passing game will need to be operating at a high level to keep pace with the Rams’ wildly efficient offense, and the Goff-to-St. Brown connection will need to lead the way.

Pick: St. Brown – OVER 87.5 Receiving Yards (-113) BetRivers

Jameson Williams – OVER 35.5 Receiving Yards

Detroit tight end Sam LaPorta is questionable to play in this game with a knee injury, and in last week’s contest, the Lions lost depth receiver Kalif Raymond, too.

Over the last three games played for Williams, he has collected 43 or more receiving yards and is averaging 5.3 targets and 3.7 receptions per game.

Not the biggest numbers, but in five games this season, Williams has hauled in at least one catch of 20 or more yards, including a 63-yarder against the Dallas Cowboys in Week 17.

Williams only appeared in 12 games this season, so that’s a catch of 20 or more yards in 41.7% of his games, and 20.8% of all of his catches.

As a very fast deep threat receiver, and an uptick in usage, Williams can hit the over on his receiving yards prop with one catch.

Pick: Williams – OVER 35.5 Receiving Yards (-114) BetRivers

LAR vs. DET SGP Legs – BetRivers	Odds
Stafford – OVER 273.5 Passing Yards	-114
Stafford – OVER 1.5 TD Passes	-157
Kupp – OVER 70.5 Receiving Yards	-115
Nacua – OVER 76.5 Receiving Yards	-114
Goff – OVER 256.5 Passing Yards	-115
Goff – OVER 1.5 Touchdown Passes	-137
St. Brown – OVER 87.5 Receiving Yards	-113
Williams – OVER 35.5 Receiving Yards	-114
Rams vs. Lions SGP Odds	+2200

A $10 wager on this Rams-Lions Same Game Parlay would win $220!

Betting NFL Same Game Parlays

Same game parlay is just like a regular NFL parlay bet, except all bet selections come from different wagers within one football game.

The benefit of an NFL same game parlay is achieved by combining multiple bets so you can go for bigger wins as the odds increase.

The more bet selections you add, the more difficult it is to win, but the odds also greatly increase so is the potential winning amount.

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