Best MLB Player Prop Bets For Tuesday (June 27)

After a smaller MLB slate to kick off the week, we get a full sampling tonight with a 15-game slate across the diamond.

We’re coming off of a bumpy 1-2 start to the week so we’re looking to bounce back in a big way.

Let’s get the momentum going back in our favor with our four favorite player prop bets on this Tuesday.

Clayton Kershaw OVER 5.5 Strikeouts

Right when you are ready to write off Clayton Kershaw and see him slowly fade away as one of the league’s elite pitchers, the 35-year-old just keeps proving everybody wrong.

The ageless Dodgers’ southpaw continues to fluster batters that stand in his way, the latest example coming in his effort against the Angels where he struck out five batters and only gave up five hits across seven scoreless innings of work.

Kershaw has only given up four runs in the month of June, with none of those coming on the road, and has a gaudy 1.33 ERA as he visits Coors Field tonight where the Dodgers begin a three-game set against the Rockies.

Tonight, we are backing Kershaw to top his strikeout prop that ranges anywhere from 5.5 to 6.5 punchouts depending where you place your bet, and quite frankly we like him to get there regardless of the number you are offered at your sportsbook.

The Rockies have been nothing short of terrible when facing lefties this season, boasting the 4th worst strikeout rate in baseball at just under 27%.

In the month of June, however, they’ve managed to be even worse than that.

Colorado strikes out 29.6% of the time when they face a lefty (second-worst in baseball behind only Oakland) and features the lowest walk rate in baseball at 4.2%.

Basically, Rockies’ batters are more accustomed to walking back to the dugout than to first-base when they take on a pitcher that throws left-handed.

Kershaw enters tonight’s series-opener topping 5.5 strikeouts in 10 of his last 12 starts and in 11 of his 15 starts this season, while featuring a strikeout rate of 28.5% and a 14.5% swinging strike rate.

In other words, that ol’ reliable slider and curve should give the Rockies’ lineup all sorts of trouble tonight.

If you are unable to grab this number at 5.5, the trends at 6.5 become more of a toss-up with Kershaw topping 6.5 in just eight of his 15 starts this season.

However, we do think he will eventually top both numbers leaving everyone happy.

Trust ‘the Claw’ to get it done tonight.

Best Over 5.5K’s Odds: FanDuel (-146)
Best Over 6.5K’s Odds: BetMGM (+120)

Zac Gallen OVER 5.5 Strikeouts

Last week we tempted fate by banking on Zac Gallen to struggle on the road against the Brewers and miss his strikeout total.

Gallen certainly did not struggle, but he did miss his strikeout total, so despite having the wrong hypothesis we still stumbled into the correct answer.

Love when that happens.

Tonight, Gallen returns to the desert to take on the team with MLB’s best record, the Tampa Bay Rays.

However, this looks like the absolute perfect time to back the snakes and fade the best team in baseball.

The Rays appear to be stuck in the middle of their first lengthy slump of the long season and have been a very up-and-down team over the last 30 days, particularly when they leave the friendly confines of Tropicana Field.

17 of the Rays 27 losses this season have come on the road with the Rays playing .500 ball away from home dating back to May 28.

They dropped series to the Cubs and Padres and split a four-game road series against the A’s, and this doesn’t even mention their recent home split against an equally bad Royals team.

Tonight begins one of their biggest road tests of the season to date when they visit first-place Arizona, who are particularly formidable when Zac Gallen takes the mound.

The short favorite to win the NL Cy Young Award (+170 at FanDuel) has been borderline untouchable in his eight starts at Chase Field this season.

Gallen is 7-0 at home this season with an ERA of 1.00 and a blistering strikeout rate of 33.3%.

That works out to a 11.17 K/9 rate in the climate-controlled oasis and could mean a long night is in store for the Rays’ lineup.

It is because of Gallen’s incredible play at home and the Rays’ current swoon that we are backing the Diamondbacks’ ace to top 5.5 strikeouts in tonight’s series-opener.

Gallen has struck out at least six batters or more in all eight home starts this season, while the Rays bats have cooled a bit in the month of June as they are striking out at the 11th-highest rate in MLB against RHP.

No sense fading the Cy Young favorite tonight.

Best Odds: DraftKings (-150)

Alex Verdugo OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI

Another common theme with our picks of late has been in fading Marlins’ pitcher Sandy Alcantara whenever possible.

Alcantara has struggled mightily since the shift was banned, resulting in more ground balls that are now becoming base hits and shorter outings on the mound.

Alcantara has allowed 10 hits in back-to-back starts and has a road ERA of 5.36 with just a 17.7% strikeout rate, the second-lowest rate of his career.

Tonight the Marlins begin a three-game series against the Red Sox and Alcantara will once again have his work cut out for him as he faces a Red Sox lineup that has really come along of late.

One of the major catalysts for the Red Sox’ recent offensive surge has been the bat of Alex Verdugo.

Verdugo has been especially comfortable at home against RHP, going .373 with 4 HR and 11 RBI this season.

It’s for these reasons that we are drinking some juice to take his H+R+RBI prop tonight, a number he has topped in seven straight games and in 26 of 37 home games this season.

Look for Verdugo’s bat to stay hot while Alcantara again struggles on the night.

Best Odds: DraftKings (-170)

Jose Ramirez OVER 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBI

If there is a batter vs. pitcher matchup that will tantalize us enough to nibble on a 2.5 H+R+RBI line, it needs to be as juicy as Jose Ramirez vs. Brady Singer is tonight.

In 20 plate appearances against Singer, Ramirez is batting .438 with a double and two homers.

Jose has been on a torrid stretch throughout the month of June, batting .330 this month with a .416 wOBA and 1.006 OPS.

He also flat out enjoys playing against the Royals, as he hit .357 with 4 HR, 21 RBI and a 1.037 OPS against Kansas City a year ago.

Tonight begins the first series between these two division rivals this season, and while the Guardians’ lineup doesn’t usually invoke a great deal of panic on a team, Royals’ Brady Singer will still have his share of trouble.

Singer is just 2-4 at home with an ERA just under six in nine starts this season.

Look for Jose to continue his success against Singer and for the Royals’ RHP to continue his struggles and don’t shy away from the 2.5 line tonight.

Best Odds: DraftKings (-105)