NFL Conference Championship Odds
Sean Chaffin
Updated: Jan 24, 2025
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It’s always funny to see politicians insert themselves into the world of sports, and these instances can bring some real uncomfortable moments.
That was the case this week when Philadelphia mayor Cherelle Parker had some real struggles in leading the famous “E-A-G-L-E-S, Eagles!” chant.
Philadelphia's mayor Cherelle Parker led an Eagles chant today, but misspelled Eagles 😅
— DraftKings (@DraftKings) January 21, 2025
"E-L-G-S-E-S"
(h/t NBC Philadelphia) pic.twitter.com/4qjMHYVwde
The team certainly plays better than the mayor spells and Philly faces a tough up-and-coming Washington Commanders team in this week’s NFC Championship game.
The matchup brings together the top two teams in the NFC East. Can the Commanders dethrone the Eagles the top to beat in this conference?
Washington only punted one time last week against the Lions and will be hoping to match the offensive explosion the squad found against the Lions.
A massive matchup also awaits in the AFC, a repeat of the 2020 championship that saw the Chiefs come out on top 38-24 and go on to win the Super Bowl.
A year later, the two battled again in a thrilling divisional playoff that ended in a Kansas City 42-36 victory in overtime. Look for plenty of fireworks as these playoff regulars square off again. It should be quite a Sunday!
Also, read our NFL Conference Championship Round props and parlay picks for more info regarding the upcoming action.
Matchups to Watch
Just four teams remain and a trip to the Super Bowl is on the line. Can the Bills finally break through or will the Chiefs have a shot at a three-peat?
Can Jayden Daniels lead the Commanders to the promised land as a rookie? Or will the Eagles make a return trip to the big game after winning in 2018 and losing to the Chefs in 2023?
Here’s a quick look at this week’s games.
Commanders (13-5) at Eagles (14-3)
What’s not impressive about Daniels? Through two playoff games, the rookie QB has a postseason completion percentage of almost 70% with four touchdown passes and no interceptions.
Washington has the top offense of the four remaining teams in the postseason, averaging 284 passing yards per game and 132 on the ground. But the defense is giving up almost 26 points per game in the playoffs, while the Eagles have given up an average of just 16.
Philly also has been less solid offensively, averaging 320 yards per game on offense with 227 of that coming on the ground. Commanders coach Dan Quinn’s defenses struggle at times against the run (see his Dallas Cowboys performance last postseason against the Packers), so seeing if he can slow down Saqon Barkley will be interesting to watch.
Another interesting caveat is that Jalen Hurts may be a bit banged up with a knee injury and will be limited with his legs. Rookie cornerback Quinyon Mitchell is also nursing an injury, but is expected to play.
The rowdy Philly crowd should play a role in this one, but don’t look for snow this week – the temperature is expected to be around 40 degrees.
Chiefs (16-2) at Bills (14-4)
These two teams are headed for a real collision in Kansas City, where temperatures are expected to be around 34 degrees and snow-free. KC just keeps winning, but totaled only 212 yards of offense against the Texans – and found some favorable calls from the refs.
Can that keep happening against a talented Buffalo team? The defense has at least been strong to keep the mojo going, sacking C.J. Stroud eight times last week. But the Buffalo offensive line is better and quarterback Josh Allen can be a tank when he tucks it and runs.
The Bills defense produced an interception, fumble recovery, and two sacks against a good Ravens bunch. Another nice note is that the Bills only committed a single penalty. This squad comes ready to play.
On the special teams side, Harrison Butker is one of the best kickers in football and was three for three last week. Tyler Bass was also solid for the Bills, booting in two for two and is five for five in the playoffs, including one over 50 yards.
Those guys could play a major role this week. Buckle up for quite a showdown in Kansas City.
Championship Round NFL Odds
Ready to make those selections for the championship games? Here’s a look at this week’s odds, courtesy of FanDuel.
Matchup | Betting Line | Moneyline | Total |
Commanders at Eagles | Eagles -6.5 | Commanders +230 Eagles -280 | 47.5 |
Chiefs at Bills | Chiefs -1.5 | Chiefs +108 Bills -126 | 47.5 |
Interesting Prop Bets
Last week, we said Jayden Daniels would have a decent day throwing the ball, but that was quite an understatement, apparently.
He put up 299 yards, two touchdowns, and zero interceptions in leading the Commanders to a 45-31 win over the No. 1-seeded Detroit Lions.
That put him easily over 234.5 yards for a payout of -114. He also added to the Lions problems by chipping in another 51 yards on the ground.
This week, look for Saquon Barkley to find the end zone against the Commanders with a payout of -250. For the Bills, look for Josh Allen to pass for more than 230.5 yards for a payout of -114.
Picks for the People
We notched a 4-3 record last week to get back on the winning side, bringing our season record to 83-65-1 for the entire season.
The Lions certainly didn’t deliver, but we nailed the Bills win at home as an underdog including the Moneyline selection. Just two games remain and here are a few selections for this week.
- Commanders (13-5) at Eagles (14-3) – Hurts may be at about 75% and limited in chipping in to the running game. The Eagles will probably win, but look for the Commanders to cover the 6.5 and the under to hit in this one in a game that reaches a score of somewhere in the 21-17 range.
- Chiefs (16-2) at Bills (14-4) – The Chiefs just seem to be playing with fire too much. Everything seems to go their way (see last week against the Texans), but that can’t last forever – especially against a talented and motivated team like the Bills. Take the Bills and the 1.5 points, and look for the under to hit in this one as well.
Good luck with your own picks this week, and enjoy the postseason!
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