2024 NFC West Betting Odds

Author

Lawrence Smelser

Updated: Sep 6, 2024

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The San Francisco 49ers have recently dominated the NFC West, winning back-to-back division titles (‘22 and ‘23) and claiming three in the past five years.

In 2023, the Niners and Rams split the season series and shared a combined division record of 10-2, with both reaching the postseason.

San Francisco ultimately lost the Super Bowl 25-22 in overtime against the Kansas City Chiefs.

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2023 NFC West Standings

Team2023 Overall Record2023 Divisional Record
SF 49ers12-55-1
LA Rams10-75-1
SEA Seahawks9-82-4
ARI Cardinals4-130-6

The Rams last won the division in 2021, the same season they triumphed in the Super Bowl.

Seattle narrowly missed out on a playoff spot in 2023 and hopes for better results this campaign.

Arizona was by far the worst team in the division. Starting quarterback Kyler Murray was only available for eight games. The franchise is in the midst of a rebuild under second-year head coach Jonathan Gannon.

In our article below, we discuss:

  • 2024 NFC West – Win Totals
  • 2024 NFC West – Super Bowl Odds
  • 2024 NFC West – Division Winner Odds
  • 2024 NFC West – Player Awards Betting
  • 2024 NFC West – Player Prop Tip

Note: All odds were correct and the best available at the time of writing.

2024 NFC West Win Totals & Key Insights

After the 49ers won 12 games in 2023, oddsmakers have given bettors the option to bet over or under the 11.5-win mark.

Kyle Shanahan’s roster remains largely the same, and many expect quarterback Brock Purdy to continue to improve.

Team2024 Win Total
SF 49ers11.5
LA Rams8.5
SEA Seahawks7.5
ARI Cardinals6.5

My Key Insights

  • Despite winning 10 games in 2023, the Rams’ win total is lower. This is primarily due to defensive tackle Aaron Donald retiring after last season and Matthew Stafford aging. Donald was an eight-time Pro Bowler and one of the most feared defensive tackles to ever set foot on the gridiron.
  • The Seahawks were a slightly above-average team in 2023, and their roster still isn’t on level terms with the 49ers. Geno Smith, just like his team, is slightly above average. He isn’t a superstar quarterback, and as long as he remains, the team will be limited.
  • As we mentioned, the Cardinals are continuing their rebuild and provided Murray with a WR1 after drafting Marvin Harrison Jr. with the No. 4 pick in the 2024 NFL Draft. Murray missed more than half of the season since he was recovering from an ACL injury. All eyes will be on him to perform well this year. The organization might start a new search for their franchise signal caller if he doesn’t.

2024 NFC East – To Win Super Bowl Odds

The 49ers are the second favorite to hoist the Lombardi Trophy behind the Chiefs (+575).

Shanahan has led his team to the Super Bowl twice in the past five seasons (also lost Super Bowl LIV to Kansas City).

TeamSuper Bowl Odds
SF 49ers+625
LA Rams+3000
SEA Seahawks+8000
ARI Cardinals+12500
  • The Rams have the 14th-shortest odds at +3000 to win the Super Bowl. Sean McVay has an experienced roster, but Donald’s shoes will be nearly impossible to fill, leaving a hole in the defense.
  • Seattle and Arizona are extreme long shots to win the big game and will need practically a miracle. 

2024 NFC West – To Win Division Odds

The 49ers are the favorite to win the NFC West at -190 (65.52%). Last season, the franchise ranked second in total offense and eighth in total defense.

NFC West Teams – Division Winner Odds

TeamOdds2023 Divisional Record
SF 49ers-1905-1
LA Rams+3505-1
SEA Seahawks+8002-4
ARI Cardinals+14000-6
  • It’ll be difficult for any of San Francisco’s rivals to stop an offense featuring Christian McCaffrey, Deebo Samuel, Brandon Aiyuk and George Kittle. 
  • On Monday, Aug. 29, Aiyuk agreed to a four-year, $120 million extension with San Francisco. His contract issue was the last remaining question mark heading into the regular season.
  • Los Angeles’ Puka Nacua enters his second season in the NFL and is once again set to play a huge role after his breakout 2023, which showcased 105 receptions for 1,406 yards and six touchdowns.
  • Seattle had the third-worst defense in the NFL last campaign and acquired some pieces via the draft. Their offense (21st) wasn’t great either, and Tyler Lockett isn’t getting any younger.
  • Arizona can show glimpses of excellence, but over the course of 17 regular season games, it’s highly unlikely it will contend for the division.

2024 NFC West – Player Awards Odds

McCaffrey won the rushing yards title in 2023 after recording 1,459 yards (in 15 games) and is aiming to go back-to-back. Sportsbooks list him as the favorite at +650 ahead of Jonathan Taylor (+850), Breece Hall (+1000), Saquon Barkley (+1000) and Bijan Robinson (+1300).

2024 – To Lead The NFL In Rushing Yards

PlayerTeamNFL Rushing Leader Odds
Christian McCaffreySF 49ers+650
Kyren WilliamsLA Rams+1700
Kenneth Walker IIISEA Seahawks+3000
James ConnerARI Cardinals+6000
  • Kyren Williams is the seventh-favorite to win the rushing crown. The Notre Dame product recorded the third-most rushing yards (1,144) in 2023 despite only playing in 12 contests.
  • Kenneth Walker III ended 2023 with 905 yards on the ground but dealt with injuries throughout the season. He’s listed at +3000 due to being Seattle’s bell cow. 
  • At 29 years old, Arizona’s James Conner is considered old for a running back and has a history of injuries. Rookie Trey Benson (third-round pick) lies in wait for his opportunity to potentially become the starter.

Interesting NFC West Bet to Consider

Kyler Murray total regular season passing yards: Over 3,400.5 (-110 at DraftKings)

This prop caught my eye because Murray is finally healthy, and the Cardinals have given him the top-rated receiver in the draft: Harrison Jr.

The line at DraftKings also holds tremendous value thanks to FanDuel listing Murray’s total at 3,525.5 and at worse odds (-112 for the over).

The table below displays how much better the bet is compared to other popular bookmakers.

BookDraftKingsFanDuelPrizePicksCaesarsUnderDogBetMGM
Total3,400.53,525.53,475.53,450.53,500.53,450.5
Over odds(-110)(-112)(-137)(-115)(-137)(-110)

What also makes it enticing is Murray’s ability to easily clear this line throughout his first three seasons in the league.

Murray’s passing totals (first three years in NFL)

  • 2019: 3,722 yards (16 games)
  • 2020: 3,971 yards (16 games)
  • 2021: 3,787 yards (14 games)

The former Heisman Trophy winner didn’t come close to the mark in 2022 due to tearing his ACL and only participating in 11 contests. A year later, he fell short of the mark yet again because he only played in the last eight games while still recovering.

Murray’s 1,799 passing yards in those eight games (2023) gave him an average of 224.875 passing yards per game. Had he played the standard 17 games, he would’ve been expected to accumulate 3,822 yards had he continued his average.

The numbers obviously would’ve been different, but it’s safe to say that had he been fully healthy, he would’ve easily passed the 3,400.5-yard threshold.

Most oddsmakers set the Cardinals’ win total at 6.5, which helps his case for collecting passing yards. When Arizona trails in losing game scripts, the 27-year-old will be forced to throw more and face soft coverages, leading to garbage time yards.

This will also be the former Oklahoma star’s second season working with offensive coordinator Dan Petzing, which has likely made him more comfortable in the offense.

He was able to have an entire offseason with him compared to last year when he was still recuperating from injury.

Using fantasy football models from the top sources in the industry is a useful tool when projecting player props.

Top Model Projections for Williams’ Passing Yards

  • Numberfire: 3,799.24 yards
  • Yahoo: 3,790 yards
  • FantasyPros: 3,711 yards
  • DraftSharks: 3,595.5 yards
  • ESPN: 3,567 yards

All five models feature Murray easily surpassing 3,400.5 yards.

Betting overs on season-long player props holds risk due to how common injuries are in the NFL, so I’m counting on him not to suffer a season-ending or lengthy injury.

Always Shop Around for the Best Odds

As many people know, sports betting is legal in many states, meaning bettors have access to a wide range of sportsbooks.

This enables players to compare lines and select the best odds for every type of wager. You should compare the odds on each and every stake you make.

The Kyler Murray example in the previous section showcases how DraftKings offers, by far, the best odds and total.

If a customer were to place a bet at FanDuel, they’d be hindering their chances of winning due to his total being so much higher. At DraftKings, you’re also paying less juice and improving your chances of hitting.

At BestOdds, we have our own odds shopping tool: The Odds Hub. It lets readers see the best prices across different bookmakers as well as potential payouts.

Shopping for odds helps with preserving your bankroll, saves money and statistically benefits your long-term ROI.

Step-By-Step To Bet On Divisional Winners

1. Log into your sportsbook account.

2. Click on the NFL tab.

3. Select the division from the drop-down menu.

4. Pick the odds, team or player to bet on.

5. Place your wager from the bet slip window—usually on the right side of the screen.

Betting Odds For NFC Divisions

2024 NFC South Division Odds

2024 NFC North Division Odds

2024 NFC East Division Odds

Author

About the author

Lawrence is a seasoned sports analyst with a combined decade of experience in the journalism, sports betting and iGaming industries. His expertise lie...

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