Sean Chaffin
Updated: Nov 19, 2024
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Many NFL fans will be watching this season to see if the Kansas City Chiefs do what no team has done before in the history of the league – win three Super Bowls in a row.
The team is once again the betting favorite to win it all this year, checking in at +550.
When it comes to the AFC as a whole, several other talented teams will be looking to make a run to the title themselves – including playoff contenders from last season like the Buffalo Bills, Baltimore Ravens, and Houston Texans.
Here’s a look at what to expect when betting the AFC this season.
Teams’ Odds On Winning The NFL AFC Conference
2023 AFC Division Winners
Team | Record | Division | 2024 Odds to Win Division |
Buffalo Bills | 11-6 | AFC East | +195 |
Kansas City Chiefs | 11-6 | AFC West | -270 |
Baltimore Ravens | 13-4 | AFC North | +145 |
Houston Texans | 10-7 | AFC South | +105 |
Beyond the Chiefs, the Ravens are +1100 to win the Super Bowl with the Texans at +1500 after CJ Stroud had such a great rookie season.
But are these teams in a position to win?
The Ravens have flamed out over the last few years and the Texans are still an up-and-coming squad.
The Bills are at +1700 and each of these divisions looks highly competitive as the season was set to kick off.
The article below covers everything related to AFC betting for this upcoming NFL season.
- 2024 AFC Win Totals
- 2024 AFC Super Bowl
- 2024 AFC Division Winners
- 2024 AFC Player Awards Betting
- Intangibles
2024 Win Totals
The Win Totals bet allows players to make a selection on any team’s number of regular season victories, simply betting over or under the win total.
The Ravens had the highest total in 2023, winning 13 games before losing to the Chiefs in the conference title game.
The Bills and the Chiefs both scored 11 wins as well and will once again be among the conference favorites.
Here’s a look at each team’s win total set by sportsbooks as the odds to win the entire conference.
2024 AFC – Win Totals & Key Insights
Teams | Win Total | Odds To Win AFC | 2023 Record |
KC Chiefs | +11.5 | +350 | 11-6 |
CIN Bengals | +10.5 | +750 | 9-8 |
BUF Bills | +10.5 | +900 | 11-6 |
BAL Ravens | +10.5 | +550 | 13-4 |
HOU Texans | +9.5 | +800 | 10-7 |
MIA Dolphins | +9.5 | +1000 | 11-6 |
NY Jets | +9.5 | +850 | 7-10 |
CLE Browns | +8.5 | +1700 | 11-6 |
LA Chargers | +8.5 | +2100 | 5-12 |
JAX Jaguars | +8.5 | +2300 | 9-8 |
PIT Steelers | +8.5 | +2500 | 10-7 |
IND Colts | +8.5 | +2500 | 9-8 |
LV Raiders | +6.5 | +6000 | 8-9 |
TEN Titans | +6.5 | +6500 | 6-11 |
DEN Broncos | +5.5 | +7500 | 8-9 |
NE Patriots | +4.5 | +10000 | 4-13 |
My Key Insights
- The Chiefs have had a fairly easy road to the division title in the AFC West. It will be interesting to see if an improved Broncos team can find some footing under coach Sean Payton and rookie quarterback Bo Nix.
- Despite the Ravens winning 13 games last season, the North should again be competitive as the Browns, Steelers, and Bengals all had winning records last season. Many will be watching to see if the Bengals and Joe Burrow can bounce back. Burrow’s season was hampered by injuries, including a torn wrist ligament that ended his season.
- The South also looks highly competitive. The Jaguars’ Trevor Lawrence will also look to compete again after the quarterback underwent an injury-plagued season. The Texans hope to build on a surprising season from last year led by second-year quarterback CJ Stroud.
- The Dolphins bring an explosive offense into the AFC East, but again face a tough opponent in the Bills, who just edged out Miami for the division crown. The return of Aaron Rodgers also has Jets fans and bettors excited to see if the team can see some major progress.
2024 AFC – To Win Super Bowl Odds
The Chiefs just seem to keep winning and a great defense and offense led by Patrick Mahomes and Travis Kelce could once again had the team back in the Super Bowl last year.
But can Kansas City make it three in a row? That remains to be seen but oddsmakers are giving the squad the edge once again at +550.
Contrarians may decide the odds seem stacked against the team and look for other options.
The Chiefs re-signed standout defensive end Chris Jones and also added linebacker Drue Tranquill on that side of the ball as well. The offense has added wide receiver Marquise Brown for even more firepower.
The Ravens have been a perennial favorite to compete for the title as well, but the team and quarterback Lamar Jackson have struggled in the playoffs.
Despite that, Baltimore remains the second favorite in the conference to win the Super Bowl at +1100 and is looking to break through this year.
Buffalo once again came up short in the 2023-24 playoffs, losing by a field goal to the Chiefs. Can Josh Allen and his teammates finally get over the hump this year?
The franchise brings back plenty of talent and will be looking to find a path to the big game. Here’s a look at the top contenders for this season’s Super Bowl.
AFC Teams – Super Bowl Odds
Team | DraftKings | FanDuel | Caesars |
KC Chiefs | +500 | +550 | +575 |
BAL Ravens | +1000 | +1100 | +900 |
CIN Bengals | +1300 | +1500 | +1300 |
HOU Texans | +1600 | +1500 | +1300 |
BUF Bills | +1600 | +1700 | +1700 |
NY Jets | +1900 | +1800 | +1700 |
MIA Dolphins | +2200 | +2200 | +2500 |
Most sportsbooks seem to have the top five with pretty similar odds, although there is a bit of a range for Bills and the Bengals.
Even the Jets at +1700 to +1900 are not far off from the Bills and Texans. Temas like the Ravens, Bills, and Bengals may offer some nice value if the Chiefs falter in the effort at a three-peat.
2024 AFC – Division Winner Favorites
The Chiefs, Bills, Ravens, and Texans all won their division in 2023. Three of those are the betting favorites again this year to win their division.
But there should be plenty of competition in some of these division battles.
Team | DraftKings | FanDuel | Caesars |
NY Jets – AFC East | +165 | +160 | +165 |
KC – AFC West | -260 | -270 | -260 |
BAL – AFC North | +145 | +145 | +145 |
HOU – AFC South | +105 | +105 | -105 |
- The AFC East should see quite a battle with the Bills getting about the same betting odds as the Jets. The Dolphins are also checking in at around +200.
- The Ravens and Bengals should be locked in a close race in the North, with Cincinnati seeing odds just a tick above Baltimore.
- Kansas City looks to be the leader in the clubhouse in the West, but perhaps this is the year the Chargers at least challenge the Chiefs.
- Can Houston repeat the division success in the AFC South? That remains to be seen and expect Jacksonville and Indianapolis to once again be tough customers in this division.
2024 AFC – Player Awards
The AFC brings plenty of talent when it comes to quarterbacks who could be battling for the MVP award and high passing totals for the 2024-25 season.
Patrick Mahomes and Lamar Jackson have been named the league’s MVP four of the last six years with two each.
Here’s a quick look at the top AFC players to check out for these two awards.
Betting On AFC Quarterbacks
Player | NFL MVP Odds | Most Passing YDS Odds |
Patrick Mahomes | +450 | +750 |
Josh Allen | +800 | +1700 |
CJ Stroud | +1000 | +750 |
Joe Burow | +1000 | +900 |
Lamar Jackson | +1500 | +3000 |
Tua Tagovailoa | +2000 | +1000 |
Aaron Rodgers | +2500 | +2800 |
Trevor Lawrence | +3000 | +2100 |
Justin Herbert | +3000 | +2900 |
Jalen Hurts and Jordan Love are the only NFC quarterbacks among the top seven in MVP betting odds.
The AFC continues to dominate when it comes to top quarterbacks. CJ Stroud vaulted into the top odds this season including tied as the favorite for most passing yards with Patrick Mahomes.
Interesting AFC East Bets To Consider
Rushing Yards
The AFC also has plenty of interesting running back options with a few new names moving into the favorites for most rushing yards.
Player | Most Rushing YDS | 2023 Rushing YDS |
Jonathan Taylor | +600 | 741 YDS |
Breece Hall | +800 | 994 YDS |
Derrick Henry | +1000 | 1,167 YDS |
De’Von Achane | +2000 | 800 YDS |
Nick Chubb | +2500 | 170 YDS |
There were some major changes among the top AFC rushing prospects this year.
Bettors are looking for a big return from Jonathan Taylor after missing the first four games with a high ankle sprain and three games later in the season with an injury to his thumb.
Bettors are expecting big things from Breece Hall as well after a nice rookie season. The return of Aaron Rodgers may help the offense in New York overall –including more yardage for Hall.
Derrick Henry gets a nice change of scenery with a move to the Baltimore Ravens and is always a player to watch. De’Von Achane returns to the Dolphins after a nice rookie season.
A bet on Nick Chubb now seems highly unlikely to pay off as he is now expected to miss the four games of the season due to recovery from knee surgery.
Receiving Yards
There are also some interesting pass catchers to keep an eye on this season. Betting on individual receiving yards can adobe a nice sweat throughout the season.
Here’s a look at some of the top betting prospects.
Player | Most Receiving YDS | 2023 Receiving Stats |
Tyreek Hill | +600 | 119 Rec, 1,799 YDS |
Ja’Marr Chase | +900 | 100 Rec, 1,216 YDS |
Garrett Wilson | +1400 | 95 Rec, 1,042 YDS |
Nico Collins | +2000 | 80 Rec, 1,297 YDS |
Tyreek Hill is the betting favorite to repeat as the NFL’s leading receiver. The speedy receiver will certainly have the opportunity in the high-octane Dolphins’ offense.
Ja’Marr Chase also continues to impress with the Bengals and improved offenses in Houston and New York could help lift the stats of Nico Collins and Garrett Wilson even more.
Always Shop Around for the Best Odds
Watching your picks and seeing how things play out can be a lot of fun each Sunday (or Monday or Thursday).
Consider key factors when making those selections, such as injuries, weather, quarterback, defensive strength, and other indicators.
When looking at the odds, you can see from above that these may vary by sportsbook.
Doing some “odds shopping” offers the best chance to maximize your chance of winning and also get the best possible returns on any of those player props and futures bets.
Some books may feature small discrepancies on odds depending on the week. That extra half point may mean the difference between winning and losing that week.
It’s important to have reasonable expectations when betting as well. Pick a few games in which you feel good after reviewing some of the key factors that may play out.
Also, thinking you should win every single bet for the week isn’t realistic. Hoping to come out a game or two ahead each week is probably a better plan.
Find some wins here and there and hopefully you’ll be in the black when the season comes to an end.
How To Bet On AFC Betting Odds
To bet on the AFC Champion, follow these steps:
1. Go into your sportsbook and log into your account.
2. Click on the NFL odds tab.
3. Get into the “Team Futures” tab.
4. Click on “Conference Winner”.
5. Go to the AFC and select your team.
6. Place your bet from the bet slip tab appearing on the right side of the screen.
Betting Odds For AFC Divisions
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