2024 AFC West Betting Odds

The Kansas City Chiefs enter the 2024 NFL season as the top team in the AFC West, and rightfully so after winning back-to-back Super Bowls in the last two years.

It’s safe to say that Kansas City has cemented their dynasty, winning three of the last five Super Bowls.

The core of the Chiefs’ dominant clubs of recent years largely remains, with quarterback Patrick Mahomes, tight end Travis Kelce, and head coach Andy Reid all strolling the Kansas City sidelines.

Reid enters his 12th season as the Chiefs’ head coach, but it’s a different story for the rest of the AFC West.

Las Vegas Raiders’ head coach Antonio Pierce enters his first full-season in charge. The Raiders went 5-4 in nine games under Pierce’s tutelage in 2023.

The Los Angeles Chargers failed miserably under Brandon Staley last season, and Staley’s replacement in 2024 will be Jim Harbaugh. Harbaugh is coming off a national championship-winning campaign with the Michigan Wolverines in the NCAA, but brings plenty of NFL experience. 

In four seasons as head coach of the San Francisco 49ers (2011-2014), Harbaugh carried his club to a regular season record of 44-19-1 in 64 games. Harbaugh’s 49ers also won the NFC Championship in 2012.

For the Denver Broncos, their head coach will be Sean Payton once again. The Broncos finished at 8-9 in their first season under the helm of Payton, and the growing pains from 2023 could carry over into 2024 with Denver’s large number of on-field personnel changes.

2023 AFC West Results

Team	2023 Overall	2023 Divisional
Kansas City Chiefs	11-6	4-2
Las Vegas Raiders	8-9	4-2
Denver Broncos	8-9	3-3
Los Angeles Chargers	5-12	1-5

The Broncos were just 1-5 in the first six games in 2023, then followed that with a five-game winning streak between Week 7 and Week 12. Denver fell back to reality, losing four of their final six games to fall out of the playoff picture.

Las Vegas did play their final nine games with a winning record under a then-interim head coach in Pierce, which included a Christmas Day victory over the Chiefs. That came one week after a 63-21 beatdown of the Chargers in Week 15.

The Los Angeles Chargers had a very forgettable season in 2023, but with a new head coach and some offensive changes, there is a slow and simmering optimism that comes with the lack of familiarity in LA. Getting the most out of quarterback Justin Herbert will be paramount.

This article below covers the AFC South with all the NFL Futures Odds and insights you need to know.

• 2024 AFC West Win Totals
• 2024 AFC West Super Bowl Odds
• 2024 AFC West Division Odds
• AFC West Player MVP Odds

Let’s dive into the AFC West!

2024 AFC West Win Totals

Kansas City won just 11 games in 2023, which was the lowest season total since Mahomes became the Chiefs’ primary quarterback in 2018.

In 11 seasons under coach Reid, Kansas City has won 10 or more games 10 times, and in that time, they are averaging 11.6 wins per season.

2024 AFC West Win Totals

Team	DraftKings	FanDuel	Caesars	BetMGM
Denver Broncos	6.5 | +190 OVER	5.5 | -102	5.5 | +100	5.5 | +105
Kansas City Chiefs	11.5 | -115 OVER	11.5 | -118	11.5 | -120	11.5 | -120
Las Vegas Raiders	6.5 | -130 OVER	6.5 | -138	6.5 | -150	6.5 | -145
Los Angeles Chargers	8.5 | -155 OVER	8.5 | -154	9 | -120	8.5 | -160

• Most sportsbooks have set Denver’s season win total at 5.5 with near even value, but DraftKings has set their total at over/under 6.5, with odds of +190 for all of the Bronco-backing thrill seekers out there.
• Las Vegas appeared to play with more intensity and confidence after Pierce took over, and their win total of 6.5 across the board is looking like a safe play. The Raiders final five games against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Atlanta Falcons, Jacksonville Jaguars, New Orleans Saints, and Chargers could yield a few crucial wins for over-bettors.
• Los Angeles’ win total has bettors choosing whether or not Harbaugh and Herbert can lead this squad to a record above .500. Considering that the Chargers’ finished 21st in the NFL in points per game (20.4) and 23rd in points allowed per game (23.4) in 2023, this season may be more of a rebuild focus instead of a playoff focus.

2024 AFC West – To Win Super Bowl Odds

Kansas City was the only club in the division to find their way to the NFL playoffs in 2023, and won the Super Bowl once again. Entering 2024, the Chiefs appear to be the only club to have a realistic shot at Super Bowl LIX, based on the odds – which are the shortest consensus odds to win it all.

AFC West Teams – Super Bowl 59 Odds

Team	BetMGM	DraftKings	FanDuel	Caesars
Denver Broncos	+15000	+30000	+25000	+25000
Kansas City Chiefs	+550	+500	+600	+550
Las Vegas Raiders	+10000	+10000	+10000	+6000
Los Angeles Chargers	+4000	+4500	+4000	+3500

The Chargers currently hold the 17th-shortest odds to win Super Bowl 59, which is not a bad position from the oddsmakers for a team that won just five games in 2023.

Las Vegas is ranked 26th by oddsmakers to win the Super Bowl, with their best odds of 100-1 being found across multiple books.

Only one team has longer odds to win the Super Bowl than the Broncos, and that’s the Carolina Panthers. Sitting in the same tier as the Panthers is not a position that any team wants to be in, but it explains Denver’s lofty odds to hoist the Lombardi Trophy.

2024 AFC West – To Win Division Odds

The Chiefs are heavy favorites to win the AFC West, but that will happen when a team wins the Super Bowl three times in five years, and wins their division for eight-consecutive seasons. 

Team	BetMGM	DraftKings	FanDuel	Caesars
Kansas City Chiefs	-250	-230	-230	-250
Los Angeles Chargers	+350	+320	+350	+350
Las Vegas Raiders	+900	+900	+900	+1000
Denver Broncos	+1800	+1800	+2000	+1600

When looking at the current state of the Raiders, Chargers, and Broncos, it’s difficult to imagine the Chiefs failing to run away with this division.

Even in the event that Mahomes is injured, Kansas City could still win the division with 10 wins or so.

Justin Herbert may be the only man that could push Mahomes and the Chiefs, but football is a team sport, and Los Angeles may not have a full team right now.

The AFC West is the Chiefs’ territory.

2024 AFC West – Player MVP Odds

Much like the odds to win the division or the Super Bowl, Mahomes appears to be the only viable candidate in the AFC West to win the NFL MVP Award.

Mahomes has already won two MVP awards in his career, and with his age-29 season rapidly approaching, it wouldn’t be a surprise to see Mahomes win a few more.

Herbert and the Chargers may have too much to overcome if they want to get their young signal caller into the MVP conversation.

Currently with the ninth-shortest odds to win MVP, Herbert is really the only other player in the AFC West that is even on the MVP voters’ and oddsmakers’ radar at the moment.

Players	BetMGM	DraftKings	FanDuel	Caesars
Patrick Mahomes	+500	+475	+500	+450
Justin Herbert	+1400	+2200	+2000	+2200
Gardner Minshew	N/A	N/A	+20000	+50000
Bo Nix	N/A	+15000	+30000	+25000

Interesting AFC West Bets to Consider

• The Broncos drafted quarterback Bo Nix with the 12th-overall pick in the NFL Draft, and all signs point to Nix holding off Jarrett Stidham and Zach Wilson on the depth chart. If Nix can get in enough playing time, he could usurp his passing yards total of 2850.5 yards at DraftKings, with odds of -110.
• Speaking of first round draft picks, Kansas City selected Texas Longhorns’ speedy wide receiver Xavier Worthy with the 28th-overall pick. Worthy’s 4.21 40-yard dash could add even more explosiveness to the Chiefs’ offense. The best odds for Worthy to go over his regular season receiving yards total can be found at OVER 725.5 yards for -124 on BetRivers.
• Raiders’ running back Zamir White should see a massive boost in his workload with Las Vegas’ former top running back Josh Jacobs now in Green Bay. The best odds for White over his season rushing yards total can be found at Caesars, with odds of -115 on OVER 755.5 rushing yards.
• Los Angeles’ Justin Herbert threw for 241.1 yards per game in 2023, but only played in 13 games. Had he played in all 17 games, he would have finished the season with 4,098 passing yards, instead of only 3,134. It was also a career-low in passing yards per game for Herbert. Bettors that believe Herbert will bounce back in 2024 can find the best odds on Herbert to go over his passing yards total on BetRivers at OVER 3500.5 yards, with odds of -112.

Always Shop Around

If you are a Chargers fan and believe Justin Herbert is going to get Los Angeles back to being a competitive team while producing eye-popping numbers, why would you bet him at +1400 on BetMGM to win the MVP when you can find him at +2200 on Caesars?

Simply put, if Herbert were to win MVP, a $10 bet would payout $140 on BetMGM and $220 on Caesars. That’s a 57.14% difference on payout!

Even when looking at win totals for AFC West teams, does it make sense to bet the Raiders over 6.5 wins at -150 when we can find them over 9.5 wins at -130?

Shopping around for the BestOdds available can often significantly impact your ROI, upwards of 20% or more.

If you aren’t shopping around and playing your BestOdds available, then you are leaving money on the table and not giving yourself the best chance of being profitable against the sportsbooks.

Step-By-Step To Bet On Divisional Winners

1. Go to your favorite sportsbook and log in.

2. Look for the NFL tab.

3. Click on the Division’s tab from the drop-down menu.

4. Choose the odds and team you will bet on.

5. Place your bet from the bet slip window—usually—on the right side of the screen.

Betting Odds For AFC Divisions

2024 AFC South Division Odds

2024 AFC North Division Odds

2024 AFC East Division Odds