2025 NFL Super Bowl LIX Parlay

Author

Lawrence Smelser

Updated: Feb 7, 2025

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Super Bowl LIX is here. The Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles will battle for the Lombardi Trophy at 6:30 p.m. (ET) in New Orleans on Sunday.

It’s a mouthwatering rematch from Super Bowl LVII (2023) when the Chiefs narrowly beat the Eagles 38-35.

Kansas City is attempting a three-peat, while the Eagles are looking for revenge and their first Super Bowl victory since 2017.

According to the American Gaming Association, the most popular sporting event in the U.S. will produce around $1.39 billion in bets from Americans.

We’ve crafted up a same-game parlay consisting of three player props below. 

Remember to bet responsibly and carefully monitor your bankroll.

Read our Super Bowl LIX NFL odds and prop picks for more information regarding this Sunday’s action.

Note: Odds were correct at the time of writing.

Super Bowl LIX Alternate Yards Parlay

Worthy 25+ rec yds, Goedert 25+ rec yds and Hurts 25+ rush yds (-120 at FanDuel)

Xavier Worthy’s Outlook (25+ Receiving Yards)

The rookie wide receiver out of Texas endured a bumpy start during the first half of the season but established himself as the team’s WR1 beginning in Week 11. 

From Week 11 leading up to the Super Bowl, Worthy has averaged the following statistics per game: 58 yards, 5.55 receptions and 7.4 targets.

During that span, he earned a 20.7% target share, 25% first-read share and owns a 74.6% catch rate. 

The team needed a receiver to step up after Rashee Rice went down early in the season with an ACL injury, and Worthy did precisely that.

Even with Hollywood Brown returning from injury, it hasn’t affected Worthy’s work load.

Since Week 11, the 28th overall pick has recorded at least 41 yards in his last nine outings. He’s coming off a six-reception performance for 85 yards against the Bills in the AFC Championship.

In 18 games this season, which include his early season struggles, he’s recorded 25 or more yards in 13 contests (72.2%).

Philadelphia boasted the No. 3 ranked defense in terms of receiving yards allowed to wide receivers during the regular season but has allowed 12 wideouts to accrue at least 25 yards in its past five contests.

Worthy’s standard receiving yards total is set between 52.5 and 57.5 by sportsbooks.

The close spread (1.5 points in favor of Kansas City) and total of 48.5 points set by oddsmakers indicate both teams will move the sticks up and down the field, making a strong case for not only Worthy but all three players in this parlay to hit their marks.

Dallas Goedert’s Outlook (25+ Receiving Yards)

Philadelphia’s starting tight end missed seven games this season due to hamstring and knee injuries but has been one of quarterback Jalen Hurts’ favorite targets when healthy.

Excluding Week 6, when he left after the first series and was subsequently ruled out, the South Dakota State product has recorded 25 or more yards in 11/12 (91.66%) outings.

Over his past four contests since returning in Week 18, the 30-year-old has averaged 60.8 yards, 4.75 receptions and 6.8 targets per game.

He’s also earned a 25.7% first-read share, 21.8% target share and a 79.2% catch rate.

The former second-round pick (selected 49th overall in 2018) is coming off his second-best game of the season after recording seven catches for 85 yards in the NFC Championship against Washington.

Goedert faces a delicious matchup this week against a Kansas City defense that allowed the most yards in the league to opposing tight ends.

Slot receiver Devonta Smith is nursing a hamstring and has been a limited participant in practice during Super Bowl week. This also makes me bullish on Goedert this Sunday.

Jalen Hurts’ Outlook (25+ Rush Yards)

Philadelphia’s signal caller has recorded 25 or more rushing yards in 15/18 (83.33%) games this season and averaged 41.8 rush yards per contest (both stats include the playoffs).

The Oklahoma product was on a streak of 11 straight weeks of hitting the 25-yard mark before failing to reach it in the NFC Championship against Washington.

He ended with 10 carries for 16 yards. The volume was definitely there for him to reach 25 yards, but it was the first time this season that he failed to reach the number when recording nine or more rush attempts.

Hurts’ rush attempts total is set at 9.5 by sportsbooks for the Super Bowl.

He faces a nice matchup against Kansas City’s defense that has let quarterbacks run efficiently this season.

QB Rushing Stats vs. KC (Last five games)

WeekQuarterback (Team)Rush AttemptsRush Yards
AFC ChampionshipJosh Allen (BUF)1139
Divisional RoundC.J. Stroud (HOU)642
Week 18Bo Nix (DEN)747
Week 17Russell Wilson (PIT)655
Week 16C.J. Stroud (HOU)223

As the table shows, the Chiefs have struggled over the past five weeks, allowing 6.43 yards per rush attempt and 41.2 rush yards per game to opposing starting signal callers. 

Over the course of the entire season, including the playoffs, Kansas City has surrendered 27.11 rush yards and 5.53 yards per carry to the position.  

Hurts has run for 25 or more yards in 6/8 (75%) career postseason games and averaged 38.62 yards during them.

Teams drastically change from year to year, but Hurts has beaten the 25-yard mark in all three career meetings against the Chiefs and their defensive coordinator, Steve Spagnuolo. He’s averaged 48.66 yards per game during that span.

Hurts’ Career Rush Stats vs. Kansas City

Season (Week)Rush AttemptsYards
2023 (Week 11)1229
2022 (Super Bowl)1570
2021 (Week 4)847

Odds Comparison

The odds (-120) at FanDuel hold the best value compared to other sportsbooks, as displayed in the following table.

Sportsbook Odds
FanDuel-120
DraftKings-155
BetMGM-160

Note: The parlay selections were unavailable at other bookmakers.

Author

About the author

Lawrence is a seasoned sports analyst with a combined decade of experience in the journalism, sports betting and iGaming industries. His expertise lie...

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