MLB Best Player Props Today – April 11th, 2025

We’ve got several good spots on the slate for MLB player props today, where we’re targeting two pitchers and one hitter in favorable matchups.

Tanner Bibee should be able to get back on track vs an ice-cold Royals lineup. Eduardo Rodriguez looks to build off a 12-strikeout performance. Marcell Ozuna is heating up, set for a good matchup vs Taj Bradley.

We’ll look to bounce back from a 1-2 (-0.91 units) result from last week with my best MLB player props for April 11th, 2025.

Note: Odds were correct at the time of writing.

Tanner Bibee Over 17.5 Outs (-140) at DraftKings

Bibee put up a 3.47 ERA and 1.12 WHIP with 44 walks and 187 strikeouts in 173.2 innings last season. This was backed by the peripherals, including a 3.58 SIERA and 20.1 K-BB%.

While the results haven’t been there so far, this feels like a get-right spot for Bibee.

The Guardians righty is set to take on an ice-cold Royals lineup that has combined for only 14 runs in their last six games.

This includes strong outings from Bailey Ober and Joe Ryan in the last two matchups, each of whom was able to get to 18 outs (six innings).

Additionally, we’re getting favorable weather conditions at Progressive Field tonight. According to RotoGrinders, we’ve got 40-degree temperatures with the wind blowing in at 10 MPH.

Cold weather with the wind blowing in creates a pitcher-friendly environment.

This is reflected in the game total, which is currently at 7 at most sportsbooks, including DraftKings, bet365, and FanDuel.

While we have to pay some juice at -140 on this prop, you have to like the chances of Bibee getting six or more innings given the circumstances.

Odds Comparison for Tanner Bibee Over 17.5 Outs

Sportsbook	Odds
DraftKings	-140
FanDuel	-140
bet365	-140
BetMGM	-145
Hard Rock Bet	-145

Eduardo Rodriguez Over 16.5 Outs (-125) at BetMGM

Rodriguez is coming off an impressive outing vs the Nationals, where he struck out 12 in only five innings. While he gave up four earned runs, you have to be intrigued with the double-digit punchouts.

Let’s remember that this is a veteran pitcher who is only one year removed from putting up a 3.30 ERA and 1.15 WHIP in 152.2 innings with the Tigers. This production earned E-Rod a four-year, $80 million deal with the Diamondbacks. 

While the first season was a disappointment, that was because Rodriguez dealt with injuries, which limited him to only 50 innings. Now healthy, E-Rod should be able to rediscover his previous form. The 12-strikeout performance is an indication that he’s trending in the right direction.

The matchup is a good one vs the Brewers, who are fresh off a series at Coors Field. We often see teams struggle in their first couple of games after playing in high altitude. Not only that, but Milwaukee has struggled vs lefties so far, putting up a 72 wRC+ and 26.5% hard-hit rate.

That bodes well for E-Rod’s chances of getting to 5.2 innings.

We’re getting a nice price at BetMGM -125, as this line is as short as -135 in other spots, such as Hard Rock Bet.

Odds Comparison for Eduardo Rodriguez Over 16.5 Outs

Sportsbook	Odds
BetMGM	-125
bet365	-130
DraftKings	-130
Hard Rock Bet	-135
Fliff	-135

Marcell Ozuna Over 1.5 Total Bases (+145) at bet365

Ozuna is one of the top sluggers in baseball, putting up 39+ home runs in each of the last two seasons. While the veteran only has two big flies this season, the signs are there that a power binge is coming soon.

We just saw Ozuna hit a walk-off homer to give the Braves a big win over the Phillies last night. This puts him at 5-for-9 with nine total bases in his last two games. 

There’s a good chance that Ozuna can keep it rolling against Bradley, who has given up double-digit barrel rates in each season so far. 

Additionally, the weather helps us here, as the forecast calls for 10 MPH winds blowing out, which could help turn a fly ball into a home run.

Remember, the Rays are playing at George Steinbrenner Field this year, which is a much more hitter-friendly environment than Tropicana Field. With the favorable wind conditions, that means this game could turn into a slugfest.

We’re getting a great deal at bet365 +145, as this prop is as short as +115 odds at FanDuel. Take the value with Ozuna here.

Odds Comparison for Marcell Ozuna Over 1.5 Total Bases

Sportsbook	Odds
bet365	+145
BetMGM	+135
Hard Rock Bet	+135
Caesars	+133
DraftKings	+130