The Houston Texans entered the 2023 with odds of +20000 to win Super Bowl 58. Although the Texans didn’t win the Super Bowl last year, they certainly made some serious progress.

As a sign of that quick leap, entering the 2024 season, Houston’s best Super Bowl odds sit at just +1600 at DraftKings.

That’ll happen when a club goes from a three-win club to a 10-win squad – with an added playoff victory – after just one season.

The first year of the rookie QB and head coach combo of CJ Stroud and DeMeco Ryans was a smashing success, and now, the rest of the AFC South has the tall task of unseating the defending divisional champion Texans. 

2023 AFC South Results

Team	2023 Overall	2023 Divisional
Houston Texans	10-7	4-2
Jacksonville Jaguars	9-8	4-2
Indianapolis Colts	9-8	3-3
Tennessee Titans	6-11	1-5

The Jacksonville Jaguars started the season 8-4, but they crumbled down the stretch, losing four of their final five games.

Similarly, the Indianapolis Colts also fell to 9-8 by going 2-3 in their final five games, handing the division over to the surging Texans.

In 2023, the Tennessee Titans finished at the bottom of the AFC South for the first time since 2015. That divisional tumble led to the firing of head coach Mike Vrabel. Former Cincinnati Bengals offensive coordinator Brian Callahan will take over head coaching duties in Tennessee.

This article below covers the AFC South with all the NFL Futures Odds and insights you need to know.

• 2024 AFC South Win Totals
• 2024 AFC South Super Bowl Odds
• 2024 AFC South Division Odds
• AFC South Player MVP Odds

Let’s dive into the AFC South!

2024 AFC South Win Totals

Houston won seven more games last year than they did the year prior, and if they were to do it again, they would be undefeated. That’s highly unlikely, but they are still the team with the highest set win total entering 2024.

2024 AFC South Win Totals

Team	DraftKings	FanDuel	Caesars	BetMGM
Houston Texans	9.5 | -140 OVER	9.5 | -150	9.5 | -130	9.5 | -145
Jacksonville Jaguars	8.5 | -110 OVER	8.5 | -115	8.5 | -130	8.5 | -115
Indianapolis Colts	8.5 | -105 OVER	8.5 | -104	8.5 | +100	8.5 | -105
Tennessee Titans	4.5 | -290 OVER	6.5 | +104	6.5 | +118	6.5 | +115

• The Indianapolis Colts’ win total is set at 8.5 across nearly every sportsbook, with at or near even-money value. There seems to be a lack of confidence in Indy collecting nine or more wins based on those odds, and rightfully so, considering that their starting quarterback, Anthony Richardson, only appeared in four games last season. The health of their speedy No. 1 signal caller may be a constant concern.
• Jacksonville won nine games last season, but their late season stumble has thrown cold water on their 2024 outlook. The Jaguars were near the middle of the pack in both offense and defense last season, so their near .500 record is justifiable based on the numbers. They’ll need quarterback Trevor Lawrence and their defensive veterans to vault this team forward in 2024.
• The Titans welcome a new head coach in 2024, but they have also lost longtime running back Derrick Henry. DraftKings has set Tennessee’s win total at only 4.5 this season, compared to 6.5 on most books, but with a new man in charge, they shouldn’t be throwing in the towel early. The growth of quarterback Will Levis will be paramount.

2024 AFC South – To Win Super Bowl Odds

Houston was the only club in the division to find their way to the NFL playoffs in 2023, and with the 2024 season rapidly approaching, they appear to be the only club to have a realistic shot at Super Bowl LIX, based on the odds.

AFC South Teams – Super Bowl 59 Odds

Team	BetMGM	DraftKings	FanDuel	Caesars
Houston Texans	+1500	+1600	+1500	+1300
Jacksonville Jaguars	+5000	+5000	+4500	+4500
Indianapolis Colts	+6600	+6500	+5500	+6000
Tennessee Titans	+15000	+15000	+15000	+15000

Jacksonville and Indianapolis have the 19th and 20th-shortest odds to win Super Bowl 59, respectively.

By consensus, the Texans hold the shortest odds in the division to win Super Bowl 59, typically ranking eighth across the books.

With wildly distant odds, the Tennessee Titans have almost the same odds to win the Super Bowl as the Tennessee Volunteers. It would appear that the Titans will just volunteer to be an NFL participant in 2024.

2024 AFC South – To Win Division Odds

Houston entered the 2023 season with odds of +900 or +1000 to win the AFC South, and now, they are the leader of the pack. 

Team	BetMGM	DraftKings	FanDuel	Caesars
Houston Texans	+100	+105	+105	+100
Jacksonville Jaguars	+275	+275	+270	+285
Indianapolis Colts	+325	+310	+310	+320
Tennessee Titans	+900	+1000	+950	+1000

The Texans and Jags each finished at 4-2 in divisional play last year. That number could look different in 2024.

Now that Stroud has a year under his belt, and may be more comfortable with the highest level of the game, the familiarity against divisional foes could have Houston rolling through the AFC South.

The Colts and Texans both appear to be a work in progress, and a rebuild in Jacksonville is not imminent, unless they stumble once again. It’s hard not to imagine Houston making quick work of most of their AFC South contests this season.

2024 AFC South – Player MVP Odds

Stroud won the offensive Rookie of the Year Award last season, and his teammate, defensive end Will Anderson won the defensive Rookie of the Year Award.

Interestingly, that makes two years in a row that teammates won the offensive and defensive Rookie of the Year Awards (WR Garrett Wilson and DB Sauce Gardner – NYJ, 2022).

Now, Stroud’s name is being thrown around in conversation of the 2024 NFL MVP.

Currently, Stroud has the consensus fourth-shortest odds to win the MVP Award, behind only Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen, and Joe Burrow.

Players	BetMGM	DraftKings	FanDuel	Caesars
C.J. Stroud	+1000	+850	+1000	+800
Trevor Lawrence	+3000	+3000	+3000	+3000
Anthony Richardson	+3500	+3000	+4000	+2500
Will Levis	+10000	+15000	+10000	+15000

Interesting AFC South Bet to Consider

• Texans’ QB C.J. Stroud averaged a league-high 273.9 passing yards per game last season, and he finished with 4,108 yards in 15 games. The best odds for Stroud to go over his regular season passing prop can be found at FanDuel for OVER 4,175 yards at -112.
• Jaguars’ wide tight end Evan Engram led the team in targets in 2023, while lining up alongside receivers Calvin Ridley and Christian Kirk, but it was Kirk that led the receiving corps in yards per game (65.6). With Ridley now in Tennessee and Engram almost certain to see less than the 143 targets he saw last year, Kirk could be in for a steady workload. The best odds for Kirk to go over his receiving yards total are OVER 875.5 yards for -110 at bet365.
• Colts’ running back Jonathan Taylor has had injury-shortened seasons for back-to-back years. It’s been an unfortunate turn since Taylor led the NFL in rushing yards in 2021 (1,811). Now healthy, Taylor’s best odds to lead the NFL in rushing is +800 at FanDuel.
• The Titans are going to need quarterback Will Levis to step up in 2024, and in his rookie campaign in 2023, Levis tallied a touchdown to interception ratio of 8 to 4 in nine starts. Levis’ passing touchdown total has been set at 18.5, with the best odds on the OVER and UNDER at -110 each on bet365.  

Always Shop Around

If you are an Indianapolis fan and believe Anthony Richardson is the next big thing, why would you bet him at +2500 on Caesars to win the MVP when you can find him at +4000 at FanDuel?

Simply put, if Richardson were to win MVP, a $10 bet would payout $250 on Caesars and $400 on FanDuel. That’s a 60% difference on payout!

Even when looking at win totals for AFC East teams, does it make sense to bet the Texans over 9.5 wins at -150 when we can find them over 9.5 wins at -130?

Shopping around for the BestOdds available can often significantly impact your ROI, upwards of 20% or more.

If you aren’t shopping around and playing your BestOdds available, then the reality is you are leaving money on the table and not giving yourself the best chance of being profitable against the sportsbooks.

Step-By-Step To Bet On Divisional Winners

1. Go to your favorite sportsbook and log in.

2. Look for the NFL tab.

3. Click on the Division’s tab from the drop-down menu.

4. Choose the odds and team you will bet on.

5. Place your bet from the bet slip window—usually—on the right side of the screen.

Betting Odds For AFC Divisions

2024 AFC West Division Odds

2024 AFC North Division Odds

2024 AFC East Division Odds