Sean Chaffin
Updated: Nov 26, 2024
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The NFL is past the halfway point and bettors may be eyeing those quarterbacks for possible MVP futures wagering.
There’s been a bit of upheaval in the league this year and some QBs who may have been in the running, such as Dak Prescott (out for the season),will be left out of the voting this season.
Other favorites when the season began, such as Lamar Jacksoon, Patrick Mahomes, and Jared Goff, remain alive and will be considered by bettors in the coming weeks.
Keep reading for some insight on this year’s MVP race.
The Contenders
Ready to book those MVP bets? There are some familiar names among the frontrunners as well as some new faces having nice seasons.
Here are some of the favorites, according to FanDuel.
Lamar Jackson (+110)
After a bumpy start to the season, the Ravens (7-3) have righted the ship and Jackson has been a big part of that. He sits second in the league with 2,668 passing yards and 24 TDs with only 2 interceptions.
Those are some impressive numbers, but Jackson is always a threat on the ground as well. So far this season, he has another 538 yards on the ground and another two TDs.
He’s not only rewarded fantasy football players, but may also pay off for MVP prognosticators. An MVP win would make it three in the last six years.
Josh Allen (+400)
It’s been a nice first half of the season again for Allen. The Bills (8-2) are rolling this season and perhaps this could be that breakthrough year in the playoffs.
Allen has been solid this season with 2,281 yards and 17 touchdowns.
A shortcoming in the past has been his interception totals, but that has been dialed back this year and he’s only thrown it to the other team four times this year.
He’s also added another 261 yards rushing and four TDs on the ground.
Patrick Mahomes (+600)
Always a top prospect for this award, Mahomes has not only won three of the last five Super Bowls (appearing in four), but also has grabbed two MVP awards since 2018.
A nice second half could shore up this year’s prospects at doing it again.
But while Mahomes has been a comeback specialist and led the Chiefs to a 9-0 record so far, the numbers may not be there compared to others on this list – 2,208 passing yards and 12 touchdowns.
He’s also thrown 9 interceptions, a bit out of character for one of the league’s best.
However, Mahmes leads in the intangibles compared to others and may be poised for an even bigger season down the stretch.
Jalen Hurts (+1200)
After a bumpy start to the season, the Eagles (7-2) have recovered and have one of the best records in the NFC. Hurts has been steady and has thrown for 1,976 yards, 12 TDS, and 5 interceptions.
He’s chipped another 378 yards rushing and 10 touchdowns on the ground – the “tush push” a big part of those particular scoring numbers.
Jayden Daniels (+1400)
It seems unlikely a rookie could earn the MVP, but Daniels has certainly been impressive and helped lead the Commanders (7-3) into playoff contention and a possible NFC East title.
He’s put up 2,147 yards through the air with 9 touchdowns to just 2 interceptions. He’s also a threat running the ball and has contributed 464 rushing yards with another 4 TDs.
Others to Watch
While the above may be the favorites, there is still a lot of football left to be played and a few other names could rise up in the coming weeks.
Brock Purdy (+1700) has 2,454 yards with 12 TD passes and 7 interceptions. The 49ers have been inconsistent, however, and a late charge might help Purdy’s cause.
A few other names should be considered. Despite the Bengals (4-6) showing some inconsistency this season, Joe Burrow (+3000) has posted 2,672 yards, 24 TDS, and 4 interceptions.
While he may have thrown 5 INTs in Week 10, Jared Goff has played well this season as the Lions (8-1) continue to cut down opponents.
So far, he’s put up 2,672 yards and 24 TDs with just 4 interceptions.
Previous QB Winners of the MVP
Three players have dominated the MVP race over the last decade – Aaron Rodgers, Patrick Mahomesm, and Lamar Jackson.
Here’s a look at the players who have earned this honor over the last 10 years.
Year | Player | Passing yardage | Passing TDs |
2023 | Lamar Jackson | 3,678 | 24 |
2022 | Patrick Mahomes | 4,183 | 27 |
2021 | Aaron Rodgers | 4,115 | 37 |
2020 | Aaron Rodgers | 4,299 | 46 |
2019 | Lamar Jackson | 3,126 | 36 |
2018 | Patrick Mahomes | 5,097 | 50 |
2017 | Tom Brady | 4,577 | 32 |
2016 | Matt Ryan | 4,944 | 38 |
2015 | Cam Newton | 3,837 | 35 |
2014 | Aaron Rodgers | 4,381 | 38 |
Passing Yardage Leaders
Here’s a quick look at last year’s passing yardage leaders (2023-24).
Player | Team | Passing Yards | Interceptions |
Tua Tagovailoa | Miami Dolphins | 4,624 | 14 |
Jared Goff | Detroit Lions | 4,575 | 12 |
Dak Prescott | Dallas Cowboys | 4,516 | 9 |
Josh Allen | Buffalo Bills | 4,306 | 18 |
Brock Purdy | San Francisco 49ers | 4,280 | 11 |
Total Passing Touchdown Leaders
Here’s a quick look at last year’s passing touchdown leaders (2023-24).
Player | Team | TD Passes | Interceptions |
Dak Prescott | Dallas Cowboys | 36 | 9 |
Jordan Love | Green Bay Packers | 32 | 11 |
Brock Purdy | San Francisco 49ers | 31 | 11 |
Jared Goff | Detroit Lions | 30 | 12 |
Tua Tagovailoa | Miami Dolphins | 29 | 14 |
What to Watch For
So who makes the most sense for betting on the MVP? Allen has yet to win the award and his solid season might sway voters if the Bills continue with a nice run the rest of the season.
Jackson is always a threat in the air and on the ground, and may receive plenty of consideration again.
If Mahomes continues with a huge – and possibly undefeated – season then many will say his run over the last few years can’t be denied and hand him this year’s award.
It’s important to remember that voters tend to favor players on top teams, meaning Burrow and Purdy’s teams will have to be more consistent down the stretch.
Goff’s Lions team is also one of the best in the league and a big finish could mean the MVP heading to Motown. It should be an interesting few weeks as the playoffs approach.
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- Claim Now21+ to wager. Please Gamble Responsibly. Gambling problem? Call or Text 1-800-GAMBLER, 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY), 800-327-5050 (MA), 800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 800-522-4700 (KS, NV), 800-BETS-OFF (IA), 800-270-7117(MI), 877-718-5543 (NC).Bet $5 Get $150 In Bonus Bets Or First Bet Safety Net $1,000
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