2024 AFC East Betting Odds

The Buffalo Bills and Miami Dolphins each finished with the same record in 2023, but by way of a tiebreaker, Buffalo claimed their fourth-consecutive AFC East title.

In two meetings in 2023, the Bills defeated the Dolphins both times by a combined score of 69-34.

2023 also marked the end of an era in New England, as the Patriots finished the season with a record of just 4-13 and parted ways with future Hall-of-Fame head coach, Bill Belichick.

The New York Jets entered the season with Aaron Rodgers at quarterback – and massive hype – but that hype came to a screeching halt just four plays into the season, when Rodgers went down with an ankle injury.

When the season came to a close, the Jets would miss the playoffs once again.

2023 AFC East Results

Team	2023 Overall	2023 Divisional
Buffalo Bills	11-6	4-2
Miami Dolphins	11-6	4-2
New York Jets	7-10	2-4
New England Patriots	4-13	2-4

Entering the 2024 season, oddsmakers have set Buffalo as the AFC East favorites, but with subtractions in their receiving corps in Stefon Diggs and Gabe Davis, and in their defensive secondary, with cornerback Tre’Davious White and safeties Micah Hyde and Jordan Poyer all departing, a fifth-consecutive division title may not come easy.

This article below covers the AFC East with all the NFL Futures Odds and insights you need to know.

• 2024 AFC East Win Totals
• 2024 AFC East Super Bowl Odds
• 2024 AFC East Division Winner
• AFC East Player MVP Odds

Let’s dive into the AFC East!

2024 Win Totals

There is no better way to understand how a division is perceived by the masses than looking at team win totals before the year kicks off.

2024 AFC East – Win Totals

AFC East	BetMGM	DraftKings	FanDuel	Caesars
Buffalo Bills	10.5 | +125 Over	10.5 | +130	10.5 | +122	10.5 | +126
Miami Dolphins	9.5 | -135 Over	9.5 | -135	9.5 | -122	9.5 | -120
New York Jets	9.5 | -150 Over	9.5 | -150	9.5 | -162	10 | +100
New England Patriots	4.5 | 160 Over	4.5 | -160	4.5 | -150	4.5 | -145

• The Bills are looking to win their fifth straight AFC East title, and oddsmakers are backing them to finish with the most wins in the division once again.
• If the New York Jets can keep Rodgers off the turf long enough, they may be able to be legitimate contenders for a division title for the first time in nearly a decade. Caesars currently has New York’s win total set at 10.
• Miami won 11 games in 2023, their most since winning 11 games in the 2008 season, which was also their last AFC East crown. Oddsmakers are expecting the Dolphins around another 10-win campaign. 
• The Patriots went from an eight-win team to a four win team in 2023. Could New England sink lower in 2024 under a new head coach?

2024 AFC East – To Win Super Bowl Odds

On most sportsbooks, the Bills have the shortest odds of any franchise in the AFC East to hoist the Lombardi Trophy in February.

The general consensus has Buffalo with the fifth-shortest odds among all NFL teams to win Super Bowl 59, with odds ranging from +1400 to +1700.

AFC East Teams – Super Bowl 59 Odds

AFC East	BetMGM	DraftKings	FanDuel	Caesars
Buffalo Bills	+1400	+1500	+1500	+1700
New York Jets	+2200	+2000	+2000	+1700
Miami Dolphins	+2500	+2200	+2400	+2500
New England Patriots	+15000	+18000	+25000	+27500

The Jets haven’t won a Super Bowl since defeating the Baltimore Colts in Super Bowl III, back on January 12th, 1969.

That New York Super Bowl victory was before the NFL and AFL merger in 1970, or about six months before a man landed on the moon.

Jets fans are hoping Rodgers’ ankle can hold up for the entire season so that he can take one small step for New York and one giant leap for Jets’ fankind.

2024 AFC East – To Win Division Odds

Oddsmakers have the Bills as the most likely winner of the AFC East, and considering their division title streak of four straight seasons, it may be the safest play on paper.

How Buffalo responds to the subtractions of Diggs, Davis, White, Hyde, and Poyer will ultimately determine their path to a fifth-consecutive AFC East title.

AFC East	BetMGM	DraftKings	FanDuel	Caesars
Buffalo Bills	+165	+170	+165	+180
New York Jets	+190	+190	+185	+180
Miami Dolphins	+200	+200	+210	+190
New England Patriots	+2500	+2500	+2700	+2800

The Jets finished the 2023 season with an average passer rating of 70.5, which was dead-last in the NFL. One full season of Aaron Rodgers under center could make a world of difference for New York’s offense.

On the other end of the passing spectrum, Miami finished the season with an average passer rating of 98.8 (5th in NFL), and the Dolphins will need another MVP-caliber season from Tua Tagovailoa if they wish to contend for the division, or any other postseason success.

While Buffalo’s roster has undergone plenty of departures, the big subtraction in New England was that of the legendary Bill Belichick, and if the Patriots only won four games with him on the sidelines in 2023, it’s hard to believe they’ll win much more without him in 2024.

2024 AFC East – Player MVP Odds

Across nearly every sportsbook, Bills’ QB Josh Allen has the second-shortest odds to win the MVP Award, behind only Kansas City Chiefs’ QB Patrick Mahomes.

Cincinnati Bengals’ QB Joe Burrow and the up-and-coming Houston Texans’ QB C.J. Stroud are nipping at Allen’s heels.

AFC East – MVP Odds	DraftKings	FanDuel	Caesars
Josh Allen	+850	+800	+800
Aaron Rodgers	+1600	+2500	+2500
Tua Tagovailoa	+2500	+3000	+2200
Drake Maye	+18000	+30000	+18000

Rodgers has won four MVP Awards in his career. If Rodgers were to win one more, he would tie Peyton Manning for the most in NFL history.

Tagovailoa finished the season with the most passing yards in the NFL in 2023 (4,624 yards) and he has produced a passer rating north of 100 for back-to-back seasons. As long as he remains healthy, he’ll be an MVP contender.

Last year, while playing for the North Carolina Tar Heels, Pats’ QB Drake Maye completed 63.3% of his passes, for 3,608 yards, 24 touchdown passes and nine interceptions – those are the numbers of a third-overall pick in the 2024 NFL draft.

If Maye wins the NFL MVP Award this season, I will eat my hat.

Interesting AFC East Prop Bets To Consider

• DraftKings offered Tua Tagovailoa at +2200 to lead the NFL in passing yards in 2023, and he did just that. The best odds for Tagovailoa to lead the NFL in passing yards in 2024 can be found on FanDuel at +1000.
• Bills’ QB Josh Allen has a strong arm, but he has moved his offense effectively when using his legs, rushing for at least 500 yards in five of his six seasons, topping out at 763 yards in 2021. The best odds on Allen to go over his season rushing total is OVER 480.5 yards at -105 on DraftKings.
• The QB situation should be better for New York in 2024, and that should be beneficial for the Jets’ top wide receiver, Garrett Wilson. Wilson is averaging 1,072.5 receiving yards in each of his first two seasons — predominantly with Zach Wilson — and the best odds on the wideout to go over his season receiving yards total can be found at OVER 1,075.5 yards for -115 on Caesars.
• Prior to the preseason, it’s possible that the well-traveled veteran Jacoby Brissett will be the starting QB for New England in Week 1. Considering that Drake Maye could be holding a clipboard on the sideline when the season kicks off, the best odds for the under on Maye’s total passing yards are +100 for UNDER 2425.5 yards on bet365.

Always Shop Around

If you are an Aaron Rodgers fan and believe he is due for a big 2024 season, why would you bet him at +1600 on DraftKings to win the MVP when you can find him at +2500 at Caesars?

Simply put, if Rodgers were to win MVP, a $10 bet would payout $160 on DraftKings and $250 on Caesars. That $90 difference on payout would be 43.75% more at Caesars.

Even when looking at win totals for AFC East teams, does it make sense to bet the Dolphins over 9.5 wins at -135 when we can find them over 10.5 wins at -120?

Shopping around for the BestOdds available can often significantly impact your ROI, upwards of 20% or more.

If you aren’t shopping around and playing your BestOdds available, then the reality is you are leaving money on the table and not giving yourself the best chance of being profitable against the sportsbooks.

Step-By-Step To Bet On Divisional Winners

1. Go to your favorite sportsbook and log in.

2. Look for the NFL tab.

3. Click on the Division’s tab from the drop-down menu.

4. Choose the odds and team you will bet on.

5. Place your bet from the bet slip window—usually—on the right side of the screen.

Betting Odds For AFC Divisions

2024 AFC West Division Odds

2024 AFC South Division Odds

2024 AFC North Division Odds