Week 6 of the NFL season has arrived. While most punters will focus on moneylines, spreads, and totals, we will examine the most passing yards market.

While this bet is usually placed before the season, sportsbooks, including FanDuel, DraftKings, BetMGM, BetRivers, and Caesars, offer it to be wagered on during the season.

QB Prop Betting – Most Passing Yards

This market is very straightforward. You are betting on which quarterback will record the most passing yards for the regular season.

After Week 18, sportsbooks will grade bet slips.

2024 NFL QBs – Most Passing Yards After Five Weeks

Player	Team	Yards
Geno Smith	SEA Seahawks	1,466
Dak Prescott	DAL Cowboys	1,424
C.J. Stroud	HOU Texans	1,385
Brock Purdy	SF 49ers	1,374
Kirk Cousins	ATL Falcons	1,373
Joe Burrow	CIN Bengals	1,370
Matthew Stafford	LA Rams	1,238
Patrick Mahomes	KC Chiefs	1,235
Lamar Jackson	BAL Ravens	1,206
Baker Mayfield	TB Buccaneers	1,164

2024 NFL QBs – Most Passing Yards Odds

The odds for each player are the best available across all books and were correct at the time of writing.

Player	Team	Odds	Yards and Rank
Dak Prescott	DAL Cowboys	+450 (DraftKings and BetMGM)	1,424 (2nd)
C.J. Stroud	HOU Texans	+450 (DraftKings and BetRivers)	1,385 (3rd)
Brock Purdy	SF 49ers	+550 (Line at most books)	1,374 (4th)
Geno Smith	SEA Seahawks	+550 (DraftKings and BetRivers)	1,466 (1st)
Joe Burrow	CIN Bengals	+750 (FanDuel and BetMGM)	1,370 (6th)
Kirk Cousins	ATL Falcons	+1100 (Caesars)	1,373 (5th)
Jared Goff	DET Lions	+1400 (BetMGM)	1,015 (17th)
Patrick Mahomes	KC Chiefs	+3100 (FanDuel)	1,235 (8th)
Matthew Stafford	LA Rams	+3100 (FanDuel)	1,238 (7th)
Sam Darnold	MIN Vikings	+3900 (FanDuel)	1,111 (13th)

Note: The lines are accurate ahead of Week 6.

Favorites

Dak Prescott (+450)

Prescott has thrown for 1,424 yards (ranked second) through five weeks and trails Geno Smith by 42 yards.

Last year, the Dallas quarterback, Prescott, finished third in the league in passing after throwing for 4,516 yards.

The Mississippi State product has a stacked offense led by Pro Bowl wide receiver CeeDee Lamb, who led the league in receptions in 2023.

Brandin Cooks, Jalen Tolbert and tight end Jake Ferguson are also formidable weapons.

Cooks is expected to be out until about Week 10, but Tolbert has emerged as one of Prescott’s new favorite weapons.

The South Alabama receiver had seven receptions (10 targets) for 87 yards and a touchdown in Dallas’ Week 5 win over Pittsburgh.

Tolbert caught the winning touchdown with just 20 seconds on the clock to seal the 20-17 victory.

Prescott remains one of the favorites to record the most passing yards since the team leans on the passing game to move the sticks.

The run game has been putrid with Rico Dowdle and Ezekiel Elliott. Dallas is second-worst in the league, with an average of just 82 rushing yards per game.

C.J. Stroud (+450)

The Houston Texans quarterback ranks third in the NFL in passing with 1,385 yards.

Stroud finished eighth in 2023 as a rookie after throwing for 4,108 yards despite missing two games.

Houston bolstered its offense during the offseason by providing Stroud with four-time Pro Bowler Stefon Diggs.

Stroud also has Nico Collins (leads the league in receiving yards), Tank Dell and Dalton Schultz at his disposal.

The franchise also signed running back Joe Mixon ahead of the 2024 campaign, who helps open up the passing lanes.

Mixon is injured but expected to return within a week or two.

Geno Smith (+550)

It’s been a surprising start for Smith as he leads the NFL in passing with 1,466 yards. The 33-year-old has only cracked the 4,000-yard mark once during his career in 2022 (4,282).

Smith is surrounded by an arsenal of weapons, including Pro Bowl wide receivers DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett.

Wideout Jaxon-Smith Njigba, the 2023 No. 20 overall pick, has also looked impressive in his second season.

It will be hard for Smith to maintain his lead, but sportsbooks list him as one of the favorites thanks to his efforts after the first five weeks.

Contenders

Joe Burrow (+750)

The former Heisman Trophy winner and National Champion is sixth in the NFL in passing with 1,370 yards.

Burrow appears to be healthy after his 2023 season was cut short in Week 11 after tearing ligaments in his wrist.
The LSU product finished fifth in 2022 with 4,475 yards and sixth in 2021 with 4,611 yards.

It has been a weird season for the Bengals so after their 1-4 start to the year.

Most sportsbooks featured Cincinnati’s win total at 10.5 and many pundits expected the team to reach the postseason.

The playoffs aren’t out of reach yet, but are certainly a tall task.

Burrow always has an opportunity to fight for the passing yards title thanks to an offense that features Pro Bowl wide receiver Ja’Marr Chase (former teammate of Burrow’s at LSU) and Tee Higgins (has two 1,000-yard seasons with the Bengals).

Longshots

Patrick Mahomes (+3100)

The three-time Super Bowl champion led the league in passing in 2022, when he threw for 5,250 yards.

It was the most since Peyton Manning recorded 5,477 (all-time single season record) in 2013 with the Broncos.

Mahomes definitely would’ve been one of the favorites to achieve the feat once again, but his WR1 Rashee Rice has been ruled out for the season.

The Chiefs bolstered their wide receiver room in the offseason by signing Marquis “Hollywood” Brown, but is out for the campaign due to a shoulder injury.

The former Texas Tech Red Raider, Mahomes, is currently eighth in the league in passing with 1,235 yards.

He’s still surrounded by 35-year-old nine-time Pro Bowler Travis Kelce, but his wide receiver room is weak since it consists of rookie Xavier Worthy, Juju Smith-Schuster, Justin Watson and Mecole Hardman.

The injuries to Rice and Brown are why he’s considered a longshot, although he can never be counted out.

Matthew Stafford (+3100)

The veteran quarterback sits in seventh place with 1,238 pass yards which is very impressive since he’s played the majority of the season without his two star receivers: Cooper Kupp and Puca Nacua.

Kupp is expected to return to action in Week 7 due to an ankle injury. Nacua suffered a PCL strain in Week 1 and was initially scheduled to return in five to seven weeks.

It could be a few more weeks until he’s back if head coach Sean McVay decides to be cautious.

Stafford is a gunslinger and has previously thrown for 5,038 yards in 2011 and 4,967 yards in 2012. He was beaten both times by Drew Brees.

Being surrounded by the talented Kupp and Nacua, who broke the rookie record for receiving yards in 2023 with 1,486 yards, always gives Stafford a chance to top the leaderboard for passing yards.

Kupp won the “Triple Crown” in 2021 thanks to leading the NFL in receptions (145), yards (1,947) and receiving touchdowns (16).

2023 NFL Passing Yards Leaders

Miami’s Tua Tagovailoa led the league in passing last season. He has been out since Week 2 due to a concussion.

Rank	Player	Total Passing Yards	Team
1	Tua Tagovailoa	4,624	Dolphins
2	Jared Goff	4,575	Lions
3	Dak Prescott	4,516	Cowboys
4	Josh Allen	4,306	Bills
5	Brock Purdy	4,280	49ers

Most Passing Yards – Last 10 Seasons

Year	Player	Total Passing Yards	Team
2023	Tua Tagovailoa	4,624	Dolphins
2022	Patrick Mahomes	5,250	Chiefs
2021	Tom Brady	5,316	Buccaneers
2020	Deshaun Watson	4,823	Texans
2019	Jameis Winston	5,109	Buccaneers
2018	Ben Roethlisberger	5,129	Steelers
2017	Tom Brady	4,577	Patriots
2016	Drew Brees	5,208	Saints
2015	Drew Brees	4,870	Saints
2014	Ben Roethlisberger/Drew Brees	4,952	Steelers & Saints

Always Shop Around For Your Best Odds

Odds shopping is imperative when sports betting and helps the bankroll. Make sure you always shop across every bookmaker for the best available odds.

For example, if you were to bet on C.J. Stroud to lead the NFL in passing yards at +450 on DraftKings, a $100 bet would win you $450.

The same bet is available on BetMGM for +300, where a $100 wager would win $300. That is a huge discrepancy.

BestOdds has an odds shopping tool that allows readers to see the best available lines and payouts for moneylines, spreads and totals.

How to Bet on Most Passing Yards

To bet in this department, follow this step-by-step guide:

1. Go to your preferred sportsbook and log into your account.

2. Select the ‘NFL Odds’ tab option amongst the menu of sports available.

3. Go to the ‘Player Futures’ submenu.

4. Click on ‘Most Passing Yards.’

5. Pick your wager, review it and place it in the bet-slip window.