Thomas Snodgrass
Updated: Sep 4, 2024
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After winning back-to-back AFC North titles, the Cincinnati Bengals finished at the bottom of the AFC North in 2023.
Before Bengals’ quarterback Joe Burrow suffered a season-ending wrist injury in Week 11 against the Baltimore Ravens, Cincy was just 5-5 in Burrow’s 10 starts. In the seven appearances from backup QB Jake Browning, the Bengals went 4-3.
The QB situation in Cincinnati will steal the headlines, but their mediocre finish clearly goes deeper than which man stands under center. Further proving that football is a team sport.
Baltimore would finish atop the AFC North for the first time since 2019, winning 10 or more games in four of the five seasons that Lamar Jackson has been the Ravens’ primary quarterback.
Speaking of quarterbacks, the Pittsburgh Steelers saw lackluster play from Kenny Pickett in 2023, and replaced him with not one, but two quarterbacks, in 2024. The dependable veteran Russell Wilson and the young and talented Justin Fields provide the Steelers much more potential from their signal callers this season.
For a Cleveland Browns squad that hasn’t won a playoff game since Baker Mayfield was still in town, it’s now or never for their Mayfield-replacement at QB, Deshaun Watson.
2023 AFC North Results
Team | 2023 Overall | 2023 Divisional |
Baltimore Ravens | 13-4 | 3-3 |
Cleveland Browns | 11-6 | 3-3 |
Pittsburgh Steelers | 10-7 | 5-1 |
Cincinnati Bengals | 9-8 | 1-5 |
The Ravens are the betting favorites to take the AFC North once again, but oddsmakers have the Bengals right on their heels, with Caesars sportsbook even giving Cincinnati and Baltimore identical odds to win the division.
If 2023 was any indication of how difficult the AFC North is, being the only division where all four teams finished the season with a record above .500, this divisional race could come down to the wire.
This article below covers the AFC North with all the NFL Futures Odds and insights you need to know.
- 2024 AFC North Win Totals
- 2024 AFC North Super Bowl Odds
- 2024 AFC North Division Winner
- AFC North Player Awards Betting
Let’s dive into the AFC North!
2024 Win Totals
There is no better way to understand how a division is perceived by the masses than looking at team win totals before the year kicks off.
2024 AFC North – Win Totals
Team | BetMGM | DraftKings | FanDuel | Caesars |
Baltimore Ravens | 10.5 | -140 Over | 8.5 | -400 | 10.5 | -138 | 11 | +105 |
Cincinnati Bengals | 10.5 | -145 Over | 8.5 | -425 | 10.5 | -134 | 10.5 | -135 |
Cleveland Browns | 8.5 | -140 Over | 8.5 | -135 | 8.5 | -138 | 8.5 | -140 |
Pittsburgh Steelers | 8.5 | +135 Over | 8.5 | +135 | 8.5 | +122 | 8.5 | +100 |
- The win totals across the books vary in this division – except for DraftKings setting each club at 8.5 – but Cincinnati and Baltimore are neck-and-neck on every book, and the Bengals are favored over the Ravens on BetMGM and DraftKings.
- Baltimore has the highest set win total, with Caesars currently expecting 11 wins from the Ravens. Baltimore has won 11 or more games in three of the last five seasons.
- Nearly every sportsbook is favoring the Browns to go over 8.5 wins. Cleveland has won nine games just two times in the last 16 seasons. Watson and running back Nick Chubb will need to remain healthy.
- In 17 seasons under head coach Mike Tomlin, the Pittsburgh Steelers have never finished with less than eight wins. With competent quarterback play, this unit looks like a great play at OVER 8.5 wins with high expected values on most sportsbooks.
2024 AFC North – To Win Super Bowl Odds
The AFC North may be the toughest division in the NFL right now, and that difficulty just to make the playoffs has the potential to establish a strong contender for Super 59.
Baltimore enters the season as the consensus favorite in the AFC North to win Super Bowl 59, with odds ranging from +900 to +1000.
AFC North Teams – Super Bowl 59 Odds
Team | BetMGM | DraftKings | FanDuel | Caesars |
Baltimore Ravens | +1000 | +1000 | +950 | +900 |
Cincinnati Bengals | +1400 | +1300 | +1400 | +1300 |
Cleveland Browns | +4000 | +4000 | +4000 | +4000 |
Pittsburgh Steelers | +4000 | +5000 | +5000 | +4500 |
Burrow and the Bengals came close to winning it all in February 2022, losing Super Bowl 56 to the Los Angeles Rams, 23-20.
Eventually, the great state of Ohio – home of the Pro Football Hall of Fame – will be rewarded with a Super Bowl championship, but so far, neither Cincinnati nor Cleveland have ever hoisted the Lombardi Trophy in their history.
The Browns are on a short list of teams that have never even gone to the Super Bowl, including the Detroit Lions, Jacksonville Jaguars, and Houston Texans.
It’s the complete opposite for Pittsburgh, whose six Super Bowl championships are tied with the New England Patriots for the most in NFL history.
2024 AFC North – To Win Division Odds
After their 13-win season from a year ago, the Ravens are the current betting favorite to win the AFC North again.
Considering that Pittsburgh was just 9-8 last year, but 5-1 in divisional games, the Steelers make for an intriguing value.
Team | BetMGM | DraftKings | FanDuel | Caesars |
Baltimore Ravens | +135 | +140 | +140 | +140 |
Cincinnati Bengals | +165 | +145 | +165 | +140 |
Cleveland Browns | +500 | +600 | +480 | +575 |
Pittsburgh Steelers | +700 | +800 | +750 | +600 |
Pittsburgh finished the 2023 season with an average passer rating of 84.3, which was 21st in the NFL. Their QB carousel of Kenny Pickett, Mason Rudolph, and Mitchell Trubisky was a rather uninspiring trio. The addition of Wilson at QB, a nine-time Pro-Bowler and Super Bowl champ, will bring his passer rating of 98.0 with him. The Steelers offense should be more effective in 2024.
Cincinnati is being viewed as a contender simply because Burrow is healthy, but there’s more to it than the return of the Bengals’ QB1. Veteran running back Joe Mix and wide receiver Tyler Boyd are now in different uniforms, as well as defensive tackle D.J. Reader and Chidobe Awuzie. Cincy will need to depend more on younger players to fill those gaps, and that may not lead to immediate success.
The Browns have one of the best defenses in the NFL remaining almost intact from the previous season. Cleveland allowed just 171.1 passing yards per game (2nd in NFL), and 103.8 rushing yards per game (10th in NFL), and just 14.8 first downs per game (1st in NFL). Cleveland needs Watson to step up under center, as the Browns still managed an 11-win season with Watson, Joe Flacco, Dorian Thompson-Robinson, P.J. Walker, and Jeff Driskel all stepping in for at least one start.
2024 AFC North – Player MVP Odds
Based on the odds, Cincinnati’s Burrow is a top-five MVP candidate, currently having the third or fourth-shortest odds on nearly every sportsbook.
Baltimore’s Jackson is the reigning NFL MVP, the second of his career, and by consensus odds, he has the seventh-shortest odds to claim his third MVP Award.
Players | DraftKings | FanDuel | Caesars |
Joe Burrow | +900 | +1000 | +900 |
Lamar Jackson | +1400 | +1400 | +1000 |
Deshaun Watson | +6000 | +7500 | +5000 |
Russell Wilson | +10000 | +15000 | +15000 |
Jackson completed a career-high 67.2% of his passes and 3,678 passing yards in 2023. The fleet-footed QB also tallied 821 rushing yards and five touchdowns on the ground. As long as Jackson remains healthy, his versatility will always make him a strong MVP candidate.
Burrow played just 10 games last season, leading his team to a 5-5 record in that time while averaging 230.9 passing yards per game. Not nearly as impressive as his 2021 and 2022 campaigns when he averaged 4,543 passing yards and 34.5 touchdown passes per season.
Russell Wilson may yield some of his playing time to new teammate Justin Fields in Pittsburgh, but Wilson’s efficiency in leading an offense should give him the opening opportunity to take the job and run with it. Entering his age-36 season, his MVP days may be behind him, but having longer odds than Watson is interesting.
In his first two seasons as a member of the Cleveland Browns, Watson has played just 12 games and is averaging only 184.8 passing yards per game with 14 touchdown passes to nine interceptions. Watson’s completion percentage in that time is 59.8% and he has failed to top a passer rating of 84.3 and a QBR of 42.9. It’s do-or-die time for the Browns’ QB.
Interesting AFC North Prop Bets To Consider
- Baltimore has a new running back in town in 2020 Offensive Player of the Year with the Tennessee Titans, Derrick Henry. In each of the last six seasons, Henry has collected 10 or more rushing touchdowns, and the best odds on Henry’s rushing touchdown total sits at OVER 9.5 (-140) on bet365.
- Burrow tallied over 4,500 passing yards in 2021 and 2022, and if he can suit up for nearly the entire season, he should be a strong option to lead the NFL in passing yards, especially with veteran running back Joe Mixon absent from the backfield. The best odds for Burrow to lead the league in passing yards sits at +1100 on FanDuel.
- In two seasons in Cleveland, wide receiver Amari Cooper recorded 1,160 receiving yards in 2022 and 1,250 receiving yards in 2023. The 1,250 yards from last season is pretty impressive considering the cavalcade of quarterbacks the Browns rolled out there. The best odds for the OVER on Coopers’ receiving yards in 2024 sits at -112 on OVER 925.5 receiving yards on FanDuel.
- Pittsburgh has two new QBs in the mix and that should greatly benefit the Steelers’ receiving corps, including their tight end, Pat Freiermuth. A year after seeing a career-low 47 targets in 12 games, Freiermuth should see a boost in targets this season. Freiermuth’s season total receiving yards is set at 525.5, with best odds on the OVER of -115 at Caesars.
Always Shop Around
If you are a Pittsburgh Steelers fan and believe that they can win the AFC North, why would you bet the Steelers to win the division at +600 on Caesars when you can find them at +800 at DraftKings?
Simply put, if Pittsburgh were to win the AFC North, a $10 bet would payout $60 on Caesars and $80 on DraftKings.
Even when looking at win totals for AFC North teams, does it make sense to bet the Steelers over 8.5 wins at +100 when we can find them over 8.5 wins at +135?
Shopping around for the Best Odds available can often significantly impact your ROI, upwards of 20% or more.
If you aren’t shopping around and playing your BestOdds available, then the reality is you are leaving money on the table and not giving yourself the best chance of being profitable against the sportsbooks.
Step-By-Step To Bet On Divisional Winners
1. Go to your favorite sportsbook and log in.
2. Look for the NFL tab.
3. Click on the Division’s tab from the drop-down menu.
4. Choose the odds and team you will bet on.
5. Place your bet from the bet slip window—usually—on the right side of the screen.
Betting Odds For AFC Divisions
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