Lawrence Smelser
Updated: Nov 26, 2024
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Entering Week 13, the race for the NFL’s Offensive Player of the Year award has heated up, with Baltimore’s Derrick Henry (-140) separating himself as the favorite, followed by Philadelphia’s Saquon Barkley (+325).
NFL awards betting is a popular market both before and during the season.
While the MVP award is almost always given to quarterbacks, the OPOY caters more so to skill position players, such as wide receivers and running backs.
Three wideouts and two running backs have won the past five awards.
We’ll highlight the 2024 OPOY odds and dive into the favorites, contenders and underdogs who could win the award.
Note: Odds were correct at the time of writing.
How Is The Winner Decided?
Every year, the Associated Press (AP) gives the NFL Offensive Player of the Year award to the player they believe has performed the best throughout the regular season.
A national panel of sportswriters who frequently follow the NFL cast ballots to determine the winner.
2024 NFL Offensive Player of the Year Odds
The odds featured below reflect 12 weeks into the campaign. These odds have been shopped and are the best available. They are subject to change.
Player/Position | Team | Odds | Sportsbook |
Derrick Henry (RB) | BAL Ravens | -140 | DraftKings |
Saquon Barkley (RB) | PHI Eagles | +325 | ESPN BET |
Ja’Marr Chase (WR) | CIN Bengals | +700 | BetMGM |
Justin Jefferson (WR) | MIN Vikings | +1400 | ESPN BET |
Lamar Jackson (QB) | BAL Ravens | +2200 | BetMGM |
Josh Allen (QB) | BUF Bills | +5000 | FanDuel |
Bijan Robinson (RB) | ATL Falcons | +6600 | BetMGM |
Kyren Williams (RB) | LA Rams | +6600 | BetMGM |
2024 OPOY Candidates
The five candidates below present a strong case to win the 2024 award.
The Favorites
Derrick Henry – BAL Ravens (-140)
Running backs typically endure shorter NFL careers due to being hit so many times at their position.
While other skill players aren’t considered old, around 30 years old, many running backs are.
Over the past few years leading up to the season, many pundits have predicted Henry to start his decline.
The 30-year-old has proven them completely wrong and, through 10 weeks, is clearly the best running back in the NFL.
“King” Henry, who is 6-foot-3 and weighs 247 pounds, leads the NFL in rushing yards (1,120), touchdowns (12) and carries (184).
The former Alabama Crimson Tide product also averages a ridiculous 6.1 yards per carry, the highest among starting running backs.
The 2015 Heisman Trophy winner is averaging a whopping 112 rush yards per game and has eclipsed 100 yards rushing in five of 10 games.
It’s evident that the 2020 Offensive Player of the Year is loving life as a Baltimore Raven in a run-first offense.
The Ravens are a championship-caliber team (lost in the 2024 AFC Championship), whereas Henry’s previous team, the Tennessee Titans, hasn’t made the playoffs since 2021.
Saquon Barkley – PHI Eagles (+325)
Similar to Henry, Barkley is thriving in his new home. After the Giants let him test free agency, Barkley signed with their divisional rival Eagles.
The Penn State product has carried the offense for Philadelphia throughout the season as A.J. Brown and Devonta Smith have missed time with various injuries.
Barkley, the second overall pick in 2018, has rushed for 991 yards (second) on 171 carries (third) and recorded eight total touchdowns (six rushing and two receiving). He’s also tallied 158 receiving yards.
If it weren’t for Henry’s fantastic season, Barkley would be the clear favorite on the odds board.
The Contenders
Ja’Marr Chase – CIN Bengals (+700)
The former LSU Tiger continues to thrive alongside his college teammate, Joe Burrow, who won the 2019 Heisman Trophy.
Chase leads all wide receivers in receptions (66), receiving yards (981) and touchdowns (10).
The 2021 No. 5 overall pick erupted in Week 10’s 35-34 loss to Baltimore with 11 receptions for 264 yards and three touchdowns.
He also went off in Week 5 against the Ravens with 10 receptions for 193 yards.
While he’s having a fantastic campaign, it’ll be difficult for Chase to catch Henry and Barkley.
Justin Jefferson – MIN Vikings (+1400)
Jefferson, who won the 2019 National Championship alongside Burrow and Chase, is second in receiving yards with 831, tied for eighth in TDs (five) and 10th in receptions (53).
He’s played one game less than Chase and could easily lead the league in receiving yards come Week 18.
The 25-year-old is no stranger to the OPOY award, having previously won the title in 2022.
Longshots
Amon-Ra St. Brown – DET Lions (+30000)
This line holds a ton of value at +30000 on FanDuel since he’s listed at +3500 on DraftKings and +4000 at Caesars.
The former USC product might not be exploding in terms of yardage (524) this season since he ended last campaign with 1,515 (third-most), but he’s had a nose for the end zone.
St. Brown has scored a touchdown in seven straight games and in seven of nine (77.77%). The slot receiver ranks second in the league in touchdowns (seven) and ninth for most receptions (54).
He’ll have to pick up the pace in terms of yards, but at +30000, he’s an excellent longshot candidate.
Previous NFL OPOY Winners
Year | Player/Position | Team |
2023 | Christian McCaffrey (RB) | SF 49ers |
2022 | Justin Jefferson (WR) | MIN Vikings |
2021 | Cooper Kupp (WR) | LA Rams |
2020 | Derrick Henry (RB) | TEN Titans |
2019 | Michael Thomas (WR) | NO Saints |
2018 | Patrick Mahomes (QB) | KC Chiefs |
2017 | Todd Gurley (RB) | LA Rams |
2016 | Matt Ryan (QB) | ATL Falcons |
2015 | Cam Newton (QB) | CAR Panthers |
2014 | DeMarco Murray (RB) | DAL Cowboys |
How To Bet On The NFL Offensive Player Of The Year
To bet on the OPOY award, you must:
- Log into your sportsbook.
- Look for the NFL betting odds tab.
- Click on the ‘Players Futures’ category.
- Select the OPOY award to display the odds.
- Choose the player you want to wager on.
- Submit it from the bet slip window on the right-hand side of the screen.
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- Claim Now1 per new customer. Min. $5 deposit. Min. $5 bet. Get 1 promo code to redeem 1-month of access to NFL+ Premium and max. $250 issued as non-withdrawable Bonus Bets that expire in 7 days (168 hours). Stake removed from payout. Terms: dkng.co/ftball. NFL+ Premium Terms: Offer only for eligible subscribers & must be redeemed by 11:59PM 9/30/24; After 1-month promo period, subscription automatically renews each month at then-current price (currently $14.99/mth) until cancelled; Addt’l terms: nfl.com/terms. Offer expires 9/19/24 at 11:59 PM ET.Bet $5, Get $150 If Your Bet Wins
- Claim Now21+ to wager. Please Gamble Responsibly. Gambling problem? Call or Text 1-800-GAMBLER, 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY), 800-327-5050 (MA), 800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 800-522-4700 (KS, NV), 800-BETS-OFF (IA), 800-270-7117(MI), 877-718-5543 (NC).Bet $5 Get $150 In Bonus Bets Or First Bet Safety Net $1,000
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