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Thomas Snodgrass
Updated: Mar 26, 2024
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In 2023, the Los Angeles Angels’ Shohei Ohtani won the American League MVP Award for the second time in his career after batting .304 with an AL-leading 44 home runs and collecting 95 RBI.
Ohtani also led the AL in on-base percentage (.412), slugging percentage (.654), and of course, OPS (1.066).
Although Ohtani would be shut down from pitching later in the season, he was still effective on the mound, going 10-5 with a 3.14 ERA in 23 starts and striking out 167 batters in 132 innings pitched.
The two-way success from Ohtani is still wildly impressive, even after three straight years of success on the mound and in the batters’ box, it just never gets old. Truly remarkable and shouldn’t be taken for granted from baseball fans.
The bad news is that Ohtani won’t pitch in 2024.
The great news for any AL MVP hopeful in 2024 is that Ohtani is now in the National League, signing a long term contract with the crosstown Los Angeles Dodgers in December.
Finishing second to Ohtani in AL MVP voting last season was Texas Rangers’ shortstop and World Series Champion Corey Seager.
Seager produced a .327/.390/.623 slashline and hit 33 home runs, 96 RBI, and an AL-leading 42 doubles in only 119 games.
Seager has always been injury prone, playing in only 145 or more games three times in nine seasons.
The best ability is availability, and that should certainly be taken into account by MVP futures bettors.
Let’s take a look at the AL MVP Award odds and highlight a few favorites, contenders, and longshots that could bring home the hardware in 2024.
Here are how the AL MVP odds currently sit among the top 10 players with their corresponding best odds:
AL Players | AL MVP Odds |
Juan Soto – New York Yankees | +600 BetMGM |
Aaron Judge – New York Yankees | +700 FanDuel |
Corey Seager – Texas Rangers | +1000 DraftKings |
Yordan Alvarez – Houston Astros | +1100 BetMGM |
Julio Rodriguez – Seattle Mariners | +1200 FanDuel |
Kyle Tucker – Houston Astros | +1800 BetMGM |
Gunnar Henderson – Baltimore Orioles | +1800 FanDuel |
Bobby Witt Jr. – Kansas City Royals | +1800 FanDuel |
Mike Trout – Los Angeles Angels | +2200 BetMGM |
Adley Rutschman – Baltimore Orioles | +2500 FanDuel |
There is a wide gap in odds across sportsbooks for some players, specifically Adley Rutschman of the Orioles.
Rutschman’s best odds are 25-1 on FanDuel, but his odds are as low as 15-1 on DraftKings.
In the futures markets, it’s always best to shop around for the best odds!
AL MVP Favorites
Aaron Judge – OF, New York Yankees
After bashing an American League record 62 home runs in 2022, Judge had a somewhat forgettable 2023.
In only 106 games, Judge batted .267 with 37 home runs and 75 RBI, and while those numbers would be great for many, those are bland numbers for Judge’s lofty standard.
What was lost in Judge’s injury-shortened season was some intriguing analytics.
In 2023, Judge had an average exit velocity of 97.6 and a hard hit% of 64.4%, both numbers being the highest of his career.
That’s saying a lot for a man that holds the AL home run record.
As long as Judge keeps tearing the cover off the ball, he’ll always be an MVP favorite.
All rise in 2024!
Best Odds: (+700) FanDuel
Juan Soto – OF, New York Yankees
Still just 25-years-old, Juan Soto still has room for growth.
That’s a scary prospect for any pitcher in the AL East.
Even scarier considering that Soto will be in the same lineup as the aforementioned Aaron Judge.
Last season, Soto batted .275 with 35 home runs and 109 RBI in his lone full season with the San Diego Padres, playing a majority of his games at the historically pitcher-friendly PetCo Park.
Now in the hitter friendly Yankees Stadium, Soto should assist the Bronx Bombers in living up to their name.
Soto’s skill of taking walks has strengthened his peripheral stats, leading the MLB in walks three years running and never posting an OBP lower than .406.
Also, Soto played in all 162 games last season, and he has played in 150 or more games in each of the last four full seasons (discounting the truncated 2020).
All of the tools and health are there for Soto.
Best Odds: (+600) BetMGM
Corey Seager – SS, Texas Rangers
Entering his age-30 season, Seager already has a pretty full trophy case, including a Rookie-of-the-Year Award, three Silver Sluggers, two World Series Championships with two World Series MVPs.
The man is a winner, but as I previously mentioned, Seager tends to miss some games.
Seager plays shortstop, which is a physically demanding position, and MVP voters would certainly look kindly upon Seager if he could just play a full campaign.
If the Rangers can duplicate last season’s success and find their way into the Fall Classic once again, that would surely boost Seager’s candidacy.
Best Odds: (+1000) DraftKings
AL MVP Contenders
Rafael Devers – 3B, Boston Red Sox
The Boston Red Sox may have fallen down the pecking order in the AL East over the last few seasons, but Devers continues to swing a hot bat, year after year.
Devers has produced three seasons of 30+ home runs and 100+ RBI already in his young career, and entering his age-27 season, he could reach a new stratosphere.
Devers’ BAbip (batting average on balls in play) was a career low .292 last season, lower than the Major League average of .295, so his bat may have been slightly unlucky in 2023.
It’s a year of transition for the BoSox in 2024, with their lineup featuring names such as Vaughn Grissom, Wilyer Abreu, and Tyler O’Neill, so Devers will need to lead the way.
Would any baseball viewer be surprised to see Devers’ name atop the AL home run and RBI leaderboards at season’s end?
Playing a premium position in the infield won’t hurt his MVP case either.
Best Odds: (+3000) Caesars
Jose Ramirez – 3B, Cleveland Guardians
Cleveland’s switch-hitting third baseman has finished in the top 10 in AL MVP voting six times in the last seven seasons, finishing top three in voting three times.
Ramirez has gotten close, but has failed to bring it home.
Last season, Ramirez finished 10th in voting after hitting .282, swatting 24 home runs and stealing 28 bases.
The potential for more is definitely there, and that statement rings true for the entirety of the Guardians’ offense, finishing 27th in runs scored in 2023.
A bump up in offense for Cleveland could result in a nice bump up in MVP votes for Jose Ramirez this season.
Best Odds: (+2500) DraftKings
Bo Bichette – SS, Toronto Blue Jays
The Toronto Blue Jays have been a strong contender over the last couple seasons, but have failed to get over the hump, losing in the AL Wild Card Series to the Minnesota Twins in 2023.
Although the competitive Blue Jays have yet to make a World Series with their solid core of players, as long as Bo Bichette and Vlad Guerrero Jr. are healthy, Toronto will be a headache to opposing pitchers.
Last season, Bichette batted .306 with 20 home runs and 73 RBI and 175 hits in only 135 games.
Entering his age-26 season, Bichette could smash those numbers in 2024.
In his first 90 games, Bichette hit .317 with 15 home runs and 52 RBI, but over his last 45 games he batted just .285 with five home runs and 21 RBI.
If not for an injury-riddled second half, Bichette would probably be among the players with the shortest odds to win the AL MVP.
30-1 for Bichette could look like a steal in August.
Best Odds: (+4000) DraftKings
AL MVP Longshots
Jose Altuve – 2B, Houston Astros
The Houston Astros are a strong contender in the American League once again this season, and a solid win-loss record should assist any of their MVP candidates in their lineup.
And there are plenty of MVP candidates in this Houston lineup, including Jose Altuve, Yordan Alvarez, Kyle Tucker, and Alex Bregman.
The lineup is loaded, but so are the MVP odds for Altuve.
Best odds for Altuve to win the AL MVP currently sit at +5000 on Caesars, and the 2017 AL MVP winner is coming off a strong season and continues to play well into early-to-mid thirties.
In 2023, Altuve only played 90 games, but he posted a .311 average, a .915 OPS, belted 17 home runs, picked up 51 RBI, and stole 14 bags.
Over a full 162-game season, Altuve would have produced a .311 average with 31 home runs, 91 RBI and 25 stolen bases.
In a fully healthy campaign, those numbers could be even better.
Best Odds: (+6000) DraftKings
Randy Arozarena – OF, Tampa Bay Rays
The Tampa Bay Rays could look a little different this season, losing Tyler Glasnow in a deal with the Los Angeles Dodgers and possibly losing shortstop Wander Franco forever for off-field issues.
Remaining a constant in the Rays’ lineup over the last four years is Randy Arozarena.
Arozarena’s 2023 was not MVP-worthy, but he was still effective, batting .254 with 23 home runs, 83 RBI, 83 RBI, and 22 stolen bases.
The main issue with Arozarena is the swing-and-miss, striking out in 23.9% of his at-bats, although his career-high 12.2% walk rate shows some improvements on patience at the plate.
If Tampa Bay is to remain relevant in the AL East, they’ll need Arozarena to build on his power-speed skill and be a nightly threat in the middle of the lineup.
Best Odds: (+10000) DraftKings
Spencer Torkelson – 1B, Detroit Tigers
The Detroit Tigers have been slowly building their franchise back up over the last half decade, and 2024 may be the year the Tigers make some noise in the American League.
One of the cornerstones of the future of this Detroit offense is first baseman Spencer Torkelson.
Torkelson broke out in a big way, specifically in the power department last season, belting 31 home runs and driving in 94 runs while playing 159 of 162 games.
In 2022, Torkelson only hit eight home runs in 110 games. The 30-homer season certainly washes away any concern over his power capability in the middle of the lineup.
From Sept 1st through the end of the season, Torkelson launched nine home runs and collected 25 RBI in the final 27 games, and the Tigers will need him to pick up where he left off.
Best Odds: (+20000) BetMGM
AL MVP Betting
Those who are successful at betting on AL MVPs are those who are able to recognize player potential and odds value before the betting public catches on.
With hundreds of player betting options available, AL MVP futures bets can be difficult to predict.
However, many bettors don’t judge themselves on cashing a winning ticket, but rather try to bet on potential MVP candidates before their odds are corrected by the general public.
Recognizing players who are about to break out and whose odds are about to drop is the biggest skill set required when placing MVP futures bets.
Where Can You Bet AL MVP
As the sports betting industry continues to open up and legalize all across North America, betting on the AL MVP award winner has never been easier.
The first thing that is required for sports bettors is to always do their homework. Study player performance from previous years and have a list of player names who you think have a chance to contend.
A great resource that is often overlooked is looking at past odds on eventual award winners. This will give you an idea of how often preseason longshots win the award, in comparison to the suggested favorites and contenders.
Once you have a good idea of players who interest you, then a bettor should be looking at the odds offered by numerous sportsbooks. A bettor will also want to consider the welcome bonus and different promotions being offered by those different books.
There is a wide range of bonuses and promotions available and there will also be a wide range of odds on some of the players you want to target.
Picking the operator who provides you with the best odds available on the players you want to bet on is your first great strategy move when placing a futures bet.
Once you have selected the sportsbooks that make the most sense for you, then create your accounts and go ahead and place your bets.
As usual, we definitely recommend you track all your bets either with a spreadsheet or software designed to help you keep a record of your wagers.
Tracking your bets is the best way to stay within your money management plan and of course to learn from your past results.
Recent AL MVP Award Winners
Year | Player | Team |
2023 | Shohei Ohtani | Angels |
2022 | Aaron Judge | Yankees |
2021 | Shohei Ohtani | Angels |
2020 | Jose Abreu | White Sox |
2019 | Mike Trout | Angels |
2018 | Mookie Betts | Red Sox |
2017 | Jose Altuve | Astros |
2016 | Mike Trout | Angels |
2015 | Josh Donaldson | Blue Jays |
2014 | Mike Trout | Angels |
Most AL MVP Awards All Time
Player | Total AL MVPs | Years |
Mike Trout | 3 | 2014, ‘16, ‘19 |
Alex Rodriguez | 3 | 2003, ‘05, ‘07 |
Mickey Mantle | 3 | 1956, ‘57, ‘62 |
Yogi Berra | 3 | 1951, ‘54, ‘55 |
Joe DiMaggio | 3 | 1939, ‘41, ‘47 |
Jimmie Foxx | 3 | 1932, ‘33, ‘38 |
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