NFL Player Prop Bets | Conference Championship 2025

Author

Lawrence Smelser

Updated: Jan 24, 2025

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Four teams will battle it out on NFL Championship Sunday with a trip to Super Bowl LIX on the line.

The Philadelphia Eagles host the Washington Commanders in the NFC Championship (3:30 p.m. ET), and the Kansas City Chiefs host the Buffalo Bills in the AFC Championship (6:30 p.m. ET).

Washington and its rookie quarterback, Jayden Daniels, have been on a historic run after knocking off the No. 1 seed Detroit Lions in the Divisional Round and No. 3 seed Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Wild Card Weekend.

We’re providing two player props below for Philadelphia quarterback Jalen Hurts and Washington wide receiver Jamison Crowder.

Remember to bet responsibly and monitor your bankroll carefully.

Read our Conference Championships odds and parlay picks for more information regarding the upcoming action.

Championship Sunday Player Props

The odds for both picks were correct at the time of writing. They were shopped across legal U.S. sportsbooks.

Jalen Hurts over 29.5 rush yards (-110 at BetRivers)

This number appears a little low for Hurts, who averaged 42 rush yards per game during the regular season.

Including the postseason, the Oklahoma product has eclipsed 29.5 yards in 13-of-17 (76.47%) contests.

Throughout his playoff career, he’s gone over the mark in 6-of-7 (85.71%) outings with an average of 41.85 yards.

Jalen Hurts’ Playoff Rushing Stats

Year (Round)OpponentCarriesRush Yards
2021 Wild CardTampa Bay839
2022 DivisionalNew York Giants934
2022 NFC ChampionshipSan Francisco1139
2022 Super BowlKansas City1570
2023 Wild CardTampa Bay15
2024 Wild CardGreen Bay636
2024 DivisionalLos Angeles Rams770

As showcased in the table above, the only time Hurts failed to hit 30 or more rush yards was during the 2023 Wild Card against Tampa Bay.

The primary reason is because they trailed most of the game and lost 32-9. This forced the Eagles into a pass-heavy game script.

This week, he’ll face a familiar foe in division rival Washington. Hurts has beaten this prop in both meetings.

In Week 11, the 26-year-old recorded 10 carries for 39 yards.

Despite suffering a concussion during the first quarter in Week 16 and being ruled out for the remainder of the game, he rushed for 41 yards on just three carries.

The dual-threat signal caller averaged 10 rush attempts per game during the regular season, which always provides him a nice opportunity to record at least 30 rush yards.

Aside from Hurts (twice), Washington has allowed Daniel Jones (twice), Lamar Jackson and Caleb Williams to rush for 30 yards or more.

The Commanders rank third-worst in opponents yards per carry, allowing an average of 4.8 during the regular season. They also surrendered the third-most rushing yards (2,337).

Philadelphia is a six-point favorite and if oddsmakers are accurate, this helps give Hurts a rush-heavy game script.

The total of 29.5 rush yards (-110 for the over) at BetRivers Sportsbook is lower than other operators that list his total at 31.5 and 32.5 rush yards at similar and worse odds.

Line Comparison

SportsbookRush Yard TotalOdds for the Over
BetRivers29.5-110
ESPN BET29.5-120
BetMGM31.5-110
FanDuel31.5-114
Caesars31.5-120
DraftKings32.5-110
bet36532.5-115

Jamison Crowder under 1.5 receptions (-135 at Caesars)

The 31-year-old veteran wide receiver has been operating as the team’s WR4, along with Luke McCaffrey, since the playoffs began.

Crowder, a former Duke Blue Devil, has been the team’s fifth receiving option behind Terry McLaurin, Dyami Brown, Zach Ertz (tight end), and Olamide Zaccheaus.

Both Crowder and McCaffrey have run just 13 routes each during the playoffs. Crowder caught two passes on two targets last week against Detroit and ran eight routes.

The week before, against Tampa Bay in the Wild Card Round, he earned zero targets. He also recorded zero targets in Week 18 against the Cowboys and ran just 11 routes.

Crowder has averaged 1.37 receptions per game in 11 total contests (regular season and playoffs).

The Eagles gave up the 11th-fewest receptions to opposing wide receivers during the regular season and the eighth-fewest completions per game to quarterbacks.

While the Commanders may be forced to come from behind, which might force them to pass more, Crowder’s lack of volume and play time makes this bet worth it, in my opinion.

Caesars’ line (under 1.5 receptions at -135) holds more value than FanDuel (-140) and DraftKings (-145).

Author

About the author

Lawrence is a seasoned sports analyst with a combined decade of experience in the journalism, sports betting and iGaming industries. His expertise lie...

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