NBA Best Player Props Today – April 7, 2025

Less than a week remains in the NBA regular season (it ends on Sunday), and teams are jockeying for playoff positions.

All 10 play-in and playoff teams are set in the Eastern Conference, with each team fighting for seeding.

The Western Conference is extremely tightly contested, with the three seed (Lakers) and eight seed separated by just two games. The No. 5-8 seeds all have identical records at 46-32, and no one wants to participate in the play-in.

It appears the Dallas Mavericks (38-41) will be able to sneak into the play-in tournament despite trading Luka Doncic, unless the improbable happens with the No. 11 seed Phoenix Suns (35-43) trailing them by 2.5 games.

Last week, our player prop picks went 1-1 with Spencer Dinwiddie successfully recording under 8.5 assists (he had eight) and Malik Monk handing us a loss by failing to go over 17.5 points and assists.

The volume (14 field goal attempts and recorded seven rebounds) was there, but he went cold, converting just two baskets.

We’ve provided one player prop for each contest in tonight’s two-game slate. The players featured are Tobias Harris (DET vs. SAC at 7:00 p.m. ET) and Adem Bona (PHI at MIA at 7:30 p.m. ET).

Remember to wager responsibly and keep a careful eye on your bankroll.

Note: Odds were correct at the time of writing.

Tobias Harris over 12.5 points (-125) at DraftKings

It has been a historic turnaround for the Detroit Pistons this season (43-35, No. 6 seed in the East) after finishing with the worst record in the NBA last year at 14-68.

Forward Tobias Harris has definitely played a role in helping Detroit lock in a playoff spot. 

The 32-year-old veteran has stayed relatively healthy and has participated in 70 games, averaging 13.8 points, six rebounds and 2.2 assists per game. He’s also shot an impressive 47.4% from the field.

Harris is listed as questionable for tonight with right heel soreness, but if he’s good to go, his 12.5 points total is a bargain at DraftKings (-125), with most books listing him at 13.5 points.

Dating back to March 13, Harris’ points total has been listed four times at 14.5 and even as high as 17.5, so 12.5 is an eye-catching line.

Harris will be playing at home (Little Caesars Arena), where he’s passed this line in 19/23 (82.60%) contests since the start of 2025. 

In his last 10 games (excluding when he was forced to leave early and played 22 minutes due to injury on April 4), the former Tennessee Volunteer has exceeded 12.5 points on eight occasions (80%).

The Kings rank second-worst (29th) in the NBA in points allowed to power forwards, and the Pistons rank fourth in pace (101.7), which gives Harris more opportunities to score.

If the 6-foot-8, 226-pounder is healthy, he should play close to his average of 32 minutes, especially with the Pistons one game back of the Milwaukee Bucks for the fifth seed.

Detroit opened as 6.5-point favorites and are currently up to 7.5 on most sportsbooks, so if this contest remains competitive (Kings are fighting for a play-in spot), Harris should see plenty of the floor if he feels good enough.

Odds Comparison for Harris over 12.5 points

Sportsbook	Points (Over)	Odds
DraftKings	12.5	-125
Hard Rock Bet	12.5	-130
BetMGM	13.5	+100
Caesars	13.5	+100
ESPN BET	13.5	+100

Adem Bona over 17.5 points and rebounds (-120) at bet365

With Embiid out for the season, Adem Bona has been the 76ers’ starting center. He’s shown signs of improvement quickly after posting a career-high 28 points in 35 minutes against the Bucks on April 3.

The rookie second-round pick out of UCLA has beaten the 17.5 points and rebounds mark in three of his past five outings, averaging 22.6 during that span. He’s averaged 29.6 minutes per game in those five contests.

Excluding his explosion against Milwaukee, he’s averaged 19.75 points and rebounds in his past four outings.

Bona should see plenty of opportunities against the Heat, thanks to Guerschon Yabusele (power forward and third-string center) being ruled out against the Heat.

Yabusele is averaging 27.1 minutes, 11 points and 5.6 rebounds per game. 

Miami has allowed the past three centers it has faced to average 21 points and rebounds per game.

Past Three Centers vs. Miami

• Brook Lopez (MIL): 17 points and 5 rebounds (22 P/R) in 30 minutes
• Zach Edey (MEM): 8 points and 13 rebounds (21 P/R) in 28 minutes
• Luke Kornet (BOS): 14 points and 6 rebounds (20 P/R) in 21 minutes

With more minutes on the court, Bona has also averaged 7.9 rebounds per game and 17 rebound chances per contest throughout his past 10 outings. During that span, he’s averaged 12.4 points per game (20.3 points and rebounds).

While the line features Miami as 14.5-point favorites, even if this is a huge blowout, the 76ers do have injuries, and Bona is a role player, so he should still see plenty of minutes.

The 17.5 points and rebounds total holds excellent value compared to other operators featuring him at 18.5.

Odds Comparison for Bona over 17.5 points and rebounds

Sportsbook	Points and Rebounds (Over)	Odds
bet365	17.5	-120
ESPN BET	17.5	-125
DraftKings	18.5	-110
FanDuel	18.5	-108
Caesars	18.5	-106