NFL Week 12 Odds

Bettors have been winning big in 2024.

That was the news from the Wall Street Journal last week as DraftKings and FanDuel parent company Flutter Entertainment recently revised financial projections thanks to favorites coming out on top in October.

Flutter reduced revenue estimates for the rest of the year by $50 million and DraftKings dropped annual revenue projections by $250 million.

October’s games wreaked havoc on the books, with 11 of the 13 favorites winning during the second Sunday of October.

DraftKings CEO Jason Robins noted that the company “experienced the most customer friendly stretch of NFL sport outcomes we have ever seen.”

Will that trend continue?

That remains to be seen, but most bettors have probably picked up on a real dichotomy between great teams that tend to cover (Lions, Bills, Steelers) and those that don’t (Cowboys, Panthers, Giants, Jets, Titans, Browns).

And some of these teams aren’t just losing, but losing big. Knowing that, here’s a look at what to watch for when betting Week 12.

Also, check out our week 12 props and parlay picks to get you even more expert analysis.

Matchups to Watch

Week 12 brings six teams on byes, the largest number of the season. All teams will be back on the field in Week 13 and then another six are off in Week 14 for the last bye week.

Despite fewer teams in action, there are a few nice matchups that really stand out.

The Ravens (7-4) at Chargers (7-3) matchup stands out among those.

The Chargers and new head coach Jim Harbaugh have quietly built a nice team and quarterback Justin Herbert is playing well, throwing for 2,186 yards and 13 TDs.

The key for Herbert has been limiting interceptions to just one all season. The defense has also been solid, giving up an average of only 14.5 points per game.

The Ravens remain solid but the defense has struggles lately. The team is looking to rebound after a tough loss against the rival Steelers.

This should be an explosive game Monday night. Here’s a look at some other matchups to watch this week.

• Eagles (8-2) at Rams (5-5) – The Eagles have a top defense in the league along with a top-five offense. Saquon Barkley has been a great pickup for Philly and put up 146 yards and two TDs last week against the Commanders. The Rams are looking for a win to keep pace in the NFC West.
• 49ers (5-5) at Packers (7-3) – After a Super Bowl appearance last season, most handicappers wouldn’t have thought the 49ers would be .500 through 10 games. Can San Francisco get things moving in the right direction against a solid Packers team? The Pack survived in Week 10 by blocking a last second field goal by the Bears.
• Cardinals (6-4) at Seahawks (5-5) – The Cardinals have been a real surprise and stand atop the NFC West standings. The Seahawks, Rams, and 49ers are all 5-5 in a highly competitive division. 
• Lions (9-1) at Colts (5-6) – This may not be a great matchup on paper, but it will be interesting to see if the Colts can keep it close. Indy is actually 8-3 against the spread and needs to string together a few wins to stay in the playoff hunt.

Week 12 NFL Odds

Ready to make those selections for this week? Here’s a look at this week’s odds, courtesy of FanDuel.

Matchup	Betting Line	Moneyline	Total
Steelers at Browns	Steelers -3.5	Steelers -196 Browns +164	36.5
Vikings at Bears	Vikings -3.5	Vikings -180 Bears +152	39.5
Buccaneers at Giants	Buccaneers -5.5	Buccaneers -245 Giants +200	41.5
Patriots at Dolphins	Dolphins -7	Patriots +275 Dolphins -335	45.5
Titans at Texans	Texans -8.5	Titans +350 Texans -450	41.5
Cowboys at Commanders	Commanders -10.5	Cowboys +410 Commanders -550	44.5
Chiefs at Panthers	Chiefs -10.5	Chiefs -650 Panthers +480	43.5
Lions at Colts	Lions -7.5	Lions -340 Colts +275	50.5
Broncos at Raiders	Broncos -5.5	Broncos -240 Raiders +198	41.5
49ers at Packers	Packers -2.5	49ers +120 Packers -142	47.5
Cardinals at Seahawks	Seahawks -1.5	Cardinals -106 Seahawks -110	47.5
Eagles at Rams	Eagles -2.5	Eagles -148 Rams +126	48.5
Ravens at Chargers	Ravens -3	Ravens -154 Chargers +130	49.5

*The Atlanta Falcons, Buffalo Bills, Cincinnati Bengals, Jacksonville Jaguars, New Orleans Saints, and New York Jets are on byes this week.

Interesting Prop Bets

Brock Purdy let us down last week and didn’t quite get to two TDs. This week, let’s look at a kicker.

The Cowboys may be bad but have the best kicker in the league in Brandon Aubrey. So far he’s made 23 of 26 this season including 10 of 11 from 50 yards or more.

That record includes three from more than 60 yards. The Dallas offense is anemic – look for a field goal to come from more than 47.5 yards at -110 as the ‘Boys utilize Aubrey to scrape some points together from long range.

Picks for the People

It was nice to get back on the winning side last week, with a 6-2 record thanks to some great performances from the Lions, Bills, and Vikings. Here are some picks for this week’s games.

• Steelers at Browns – Pittsburgh (8-2 against the spread) just keeps finding ways to win and has ramped up the offense a bit in recent weeks. The Browns are a complete disaster and are just 1-4 at home. Pittsburgh should top the 3.5.
• Lions at Colts – The Lions (8-2) have paid off for bettors all season and Jared Goff bounced back last week with 412 passing yards and four TDs after throwing five interceptions a week earlier. Dan Campbell has his team hitting the accelerator and that should continue by topping the Colts by more than 7.5.
• Vikings at Bears – Minnesota is a solid 7-3 against the spread and the Bears really struggle at scoring. Look for the Vikings to cover the 3.5.
• Buccaneers at Giants – The Bucs may be only 4-6, but are averaging almost 27 points a game. The lowly Giants have now moved quarterback Daniel Jones to third string with Tommy DeVito named the starter and Drew Luck as the backup. The Giants defense is giving up 22 points a game, but the Bucs will score more than that and win by more than 5.5.
• Cowboys at Commanders – Jerry Jones has a real disaster on his hands in Dallas. 10.5 is a huge betting line, but once again not enough. Look for the Commanders to roll.
• Ravens at Chargers – Look for plenty of scoring, topping the 49.5 total.

Good luck with our own picks this week!