Week 12 of the NFL began Thursday Night with the Browns upsetting the Steelers 24-19 in a snow-filled Huntington Bank Field in Cleveland.

Browns’ quarterback Jameis Winston orchestrated a nine-play, 45-yard drive that ended with tailback Nick Chubb punching in a two-yard touchdown with 57 seconds remaining.

It sealed the victory for Cleveland (3-8) over Pittsburgh (8-3).

There are 13 games scheduled for the Sunday slate, and we’ve put together a three-player alternate yards parlay below.

Read our Week 12 NFL odds and prop picks for more information on the upcoming action.

Note: Odds were correct at the time of writing.

Week 12 Alternate Yards Parlay

Achane 40+ rush yds, Collins 40+ receiving yds and Stafford 200+ pass yds (-105 at DraftKings)

De’Von Achane’s Outlook vs. NE (40+ Rush Yards)

Achane has thrived alongside quarterback Tua Tagovailoa (who returned in Week 8) thanks to the running lanes being much more open.

During the time Tagovailoa missed (Weeks 3-7), Miami had loads of trouble establishing the run due to opposing teams easily limiting their two struggling quarterbacks (Skylar Thompson and Tyler Huntley).

Since Tagovailoa’s return, Achane has averaged 67.5 rush yards per contest over the last four weeks.

The Texas A&M product has recorded at least 63 or more rushing yards in four of the past five games since the Week 6 bye.

The Dolphins are listed as seven-point favorites against the Patriots, which could promote a run-heavy game script and lead to more carries for Achane.

He’ll face a New England defense that has allowed running backs to eclipse 40 yards rushing on 13 occasions in just 11 games.

The Patriots’ defense has surrendered an average of 128.4 rush yards per game (ranked 20th in the NFL).

The unit also ranks 28th in DVOA (Defense-adjusted Value Over Average) against the run, according to Mick Ciallela of Fantrax.

Most bookmakers list the standard rushing total for Achane at 66.5 and 67.5 yards.

Many of the industry’s highly renowned NFL betting and fantasy football models also predict Achane will succeed on the ground against the Patriots.

Model Projections for Achane’s Rush Yards

• Numberfire: 79.54
• Action Network: 75.0
• 4for4.com: 74.8
• FantasyPros: 68.6
• ESPN: 66.7
• BettingPros: 65.2
• Covers: 64.6
• RotoWire: 57.77

Nico Collins’ Outlook at TEN (40+ Receiving Yards)

The Michigan product has eclipsed this number in all six contests this campaign and is averaging 103.5 yards per game.

Houston’s WR1 returned to action last week after missing the previous five games with a hamstring injury.

Collins finished the evening with four catches and 54 yards on seven targets. It was his lowest yardage total of the season.

He nearly erupted for what would’ve been his fourth 100-yard game after scoring a 77-yard touchdown that was nullified because of holding.

The 25-year-old only ran 21 routes (his second-fewest routes all year), likely due to the Texans maintaining a lead for most of the night and because of load management.

Despite Tennessee ranking No. 1 in the NFL in defending the pass (allowing just 164.6 yards per game), its unit has still enabled 11 wide receivers to record 40 or more yards in 10 games.

Last week, Minnesota’s Justin Jefferson posted 81 yards, and Jordan Addison recorded 61.

In five full games played this year, Collins is averaging 10 targets per game, providing him plenty of opportunities to record 40+ yards.

He’s also the No. 1 ranked receiver in the NFL for yards per route run (3.55).

Model Projections for Collins’ Receiving Yards

• RotoWire: 83.32
• Covers: 82.2
• Numberfire: 79.22
• FantasyPros: 77.8
• 4for4.com: 75.9
• Action Network: 74.0
• ESPN: 73.5
• BettingPros: 72.5

Matthew Stafford’s Outlook vs. PHI (200+ Pass Yards)

Los Angeles’ veteran gunslinger has recorded 200 or more passing yards in 90% of games (9/10) this season and is averaging 255.7 yards per game.

The Super Bowl LVI champion has an arsenal of weapons surrounding him, including wideouts such as 2021 Triple Crown Winner Cooper Kupp, 2023 Rookie of the Year Puka Nacua and Pro Bowl running back Kyren Williams.

Since Nacua returned from injury in Week 8 after missing five games, Stafford has averaged 291.5 yards per game and hasn’t thrown for less than 279 yards.

The 2009 No. 1 overall pick faces a tough matchup on paper against an Eagles secondary that has allowed just 192.3 yards on average to opposing quarterbacks, according to CBS.

However, they would’ve probably surrendered more yardage if not for facing mediocre quarterbacks DeShaun Watson (168 yards), Daniel Jones (99), Cooper Rush (45) and a struggling Trevor Lawrence (168).

The higher-rated and more experienced quarterbacks they’ve played include Joe Burrow (234 yards), Baker Mayfield (347), Jordan Love (260) and Kirk Cousins (241).

This bodes well for Stafford to record the 200 or more yards required by DraftKings.

The Rams are 2.5-point underdogs against the Eagles, and the weather forecast calls for nice weather in Los Angeles with extremely low wind. Both factors promote a high frequency of passing.

Model Projections for Stafford’s Pass Yards

• RotoWire: 83.32
• Covers: 82.2
• Numberfire: 79.22
• FantasyPros: 77.8
• 4for4.com: 75.9
• Action Network: 74.0
• ESPN: 73.5
• BettingPros: 72.5

Note: The odds (-105) for this alternate yards parlay on DraftKings were much better than competitors such as FanDuel (-117), bet365 (-118) and Caesars (-241).