NBA Best Player Props Today – April 22, 2025

Author

Lawrence Smelser

Updated: Apr 22, 2025

With three NBA playoff games slated for tonight, we’ve got you covered with player prop picks.

We’re coming off a 2-0 performance a week ago after tipping Zach Edey to record over 10.5 rebounds and Onyeka Okongwu to eclipse 1.5 assists. 

Last night’s playoff action featured the Clippers tying up the series 1-1 and beating the Nuggets 105-102, the Warriors (1-0) defeating the Rockets 95-85, and the Cavs (1-0) routing the Heat 121-100.

Before last night, the NBA world was sent into a frenzy as Mavericks general manager Nico Harrison publicly addressed the media.

Harrison (traded Luka Doncic to the Lakers on Feb. 1) made notable statements that drew plenty of criticism from across the league, including, “I did know Luka was important to the fan base. I didn’t quite know to what level.”

Dallas suffered a key injury to point guard Kyrie Irving, so no one will ever know how they would’ve performed if they were fully healthy. 

Still, Los Angeles and Doncic currently have the last laugh, with the Lakers holding the No. 3 seed and the Mavericks (No. 10) eliminated during the play-in tournament by Memphis. 

We will provide two player props below for Kyle Kuzma (MIL at IND, 7:00 p.m. ET) and Jaren Jackson (MEM at OKC, 7:30 p.m. ET).

Make sure to bet responsibly and keep a watchful eye on your bankroll.

Note: All odds were correct at the time of writing.

Kyle Kuzma Over 9.5 points (-130) at Hard Rock Bet

Kuzma had a nightmare against the Pacers in Game 1, posting a zero in the box score for the following categories: Points, rebounds, assists, blocks and steals.

He’s gone viral for it, and plenty of jokes have floated around social media.

That being said, he’s still a starter for the Bucks and averaged 14.5 points per game with them (33 games) since being acquired from the Washington Wizards.

The small forward has eclipsed 9.5 points in eight of his last 10 (80%) games and is averaging 13.8 points per game during that span.

Kuzma went an abysmal 0-for-5 from the field and clearly showed a lack of confidence during Game 1. He attempted 10 or more shots in 6-of-8 contests during April and should come out aggressive to try and bounce back.

Starting point guard Damian Lillard is listed as questionable and could make his return after suffering from deep vein thrombosis. His lines are listed by certain bookmakers, which means they are expecting him to play.

This could take some of the pressure off Kuzma, with the nine-time All-Star being an excellent facilitator (7.1 assists per game), which ranks him 10th-best in the NBA.

Milwaukee had the NBA’s 11th-best pace rating and will face off against Indiana (sixth-highest), which should provide plenty of scoring opportunities for Kuzma. 

Over the course of their past 10 regular-season games, the Bucks have been on fire, scoring the second-most points in the NBA (123.3) per game.

Sportsbooks list the Pacers as four-point favorites. If the game can remain competitive as predicted, Kuzma should see the floor for plenty of minutes, provided he doesn’t go ice-cold again.

Bookmakers are also assigning an extremely high total of 229.5 points to the outing, which also bodes well for Kuzma.

The Utah product’s odds of -130 and line (9.5) at Hard Rock Bet are better than at other books. Some operators showcased below listed his total at 10.5 and 11.5.

Odds Comparison for Kuzma over 9.5 points

SportsbookPoints Line (Over)Odds
Hard Rock Bet9.5-130
BetMGM9.5-140
bet3659.5-140
DraftKings10.5-105
FanDuel10.5-118
Caesars11.5+108

Jaren Jackson Under 1.5 Blocks (-144) at FanDuel

Jackson has gone under 1.5 blocks in eight of his last 10 games (80%) and is averaging 0.7 blocks per game during that span.

He’s coming off a zero-block performance against the Thunder in Game 1 and also blanked on three other occasions in the last 10. The only two games he went over 1.5, he reached two, so he certainly isn’t a blocking machine. 

In his past five games, the 25-year-old has accumulated three total blocks.

Dating back to March, he averaged 1.2 blocks per game and went under in 6-of-11 games (54.54%).

This season, he’s averaging 1.5 blocks per game against the Thunder and has gone under in five of the last seven when facing them.

The Michigan State product only played 29 minutes in Game 1 due to losing by 51 and Memphis pulling its starters. 

The scoreline likely won’t be as lopsided this time around, but sportsbooks do list the Thunder as 14.5-point favorites, meaning there is always a chance it gets ugly and the starters are benched early once again.

Jackson also faces an OKC squad that allowed the 11th fewest blocks per game (1.06) to opposing power forwards during the regular season. This includes all power forwards on the opponent’s roster.

The -144 odds for Jackson to go below the 1.5-mark provided by FanDuel are an excellent price compared to other bookmakers such as bet365 and BetMGM, offering -190 (65.52% implied odds).

Odds Comparison for Jackson under 1.5 blocks

SportsbookBlocks Line (Under)Odds
FanDuel1.5-144
Hard Rock Bet1.5-185
bet3651.5-190
BetMGM1.5-190

Note: Other sportsbooks weren’t offering “unders” for Jackson at the time of writing.

Author

About the author

Lawrence is a seasoned sports analyst with a combined decade of experience in the journalism, sports betting and iGaming industries. His expertise lie...

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