Lawrence Smelser
Updated: Oct 8, 2024
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Receiving yards categories are popular markets when betting on the NFL.
Many punters enjoy wagering on which wide receiver will lead the NFL in receiving yards over the course of the regular season.
Most sportsbooks feature this bet before the start of the campaign, but some also accept wagers for it during the year.
The bet is graded after the final week (18) of the NFL regular season.
In this article, we’ll dive into the odds, history, and types of receiving yards markets available to stake.
2023 NFL Receiving Yards Leaders
First, let’s take a look at the NFL receiving yards leaders 2023 in the table below.
Player | Receiving Yards | Team |
Tyreek Hill | 1,799 | MIA Dolphins |
CeeDee Lamb | 1,749 | DAL Cowboys |
Amon-Ra St. Brown | 1,515 | DET Lions |
Puka Nacua | 1,486 | LA Rams |
A.J. Brown | 1,456 | PHI Eagles |
DJ Moore | 1,364 | CHI Bears |
Brandon Aiyuk | 1,342 | SF 49ers |
Nico Collins | 1,297 | HOU Texans |
Mike Evans | 1,255 | TB Buccaneers |
Amari Cooper | 1,250 | CLE Browns |
Tyreek Hill’s 1,799 yards were the fourth-most since the 2000 NFL season.
However, his yardage was lower than the previous two winners: Justin Jefferson (1,809 in 2022) and Cooper Kupp (1,947 in 2021).
Calvin Johnson holds the record for most receiving yards in a season thanks to his 1,964 in 2012.
2024 NFL Receiving Yards Leader Odds
Looking ahead, in the table below, you’ll find the odds for the players to lead the league with the most receiving yards this season.
Player | Team | Odds |
Tyreek Hill | MIA Dolphins | +500 |
CeeDee Lamb | DAL Cowboys | +600 |
Justin Jefferson | MIN Vikings | +700 |
Ja’Marr Chase | CIN Bengals | +800 |
A.J. Brown | PHI Eagles | +900 |
Amon-Ra St. Brown | DET Lions | +1000 |
Garrett Wilson | NY Jets | +1500 |
Puka Nacua | LA Rams | +1500 |
After leading the NFL in receiving last year, oddsmakers view Hill as the favorite. It’s an extremely rare feat to claim the receiving yards title in back-to-back campaigns.
The last player to do so was Calvin Johnson in 2010 and 2011.
Garrett Wilson is tied as the seventh-favorite to lead the league in receiving thanks to Aaron Rodgers returning from his achilles injury.
Wilson’s chances will remain alive throughout the season if Rodgers, a four-time MVP, doesn’t become seriously injured.
Who Will Have the Most Receiving Yards In 2024?
We’ll showcase some of the favorites and contenders to lead the league in receiving.
2024 Favorites
Tyreek Hill (+500)
The athletic speedster can claim the receiving yards title for two consecutive years if Tua Tagovailoa can remain on the field.
Hill might’ve earned a three-peat for the most receiving yards had Tagovailoa not missed time during the 2022 season. Hill finished second that year with 1,710 yards, 99 behind Justin Jefferson.
Ever since joining the Dolphins in 2022, the West Alabama product has seen loads of success in Mike McDaniel’s system.
Hill won a Super Bowl with the Chiefs but never came close in terms of his receiving yardage stats with Miami.
His best year in Kansas City came in 2018 when he recorded 1,479 yards (fourth-most in the NFL).
This was due to Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes spreading the ball around to different options, such as future Hall-of-Fame tight end Travis Kelce.
CeeDee Lamb (+600)
During the preseason, Jerry Jones and the Dallas Cowboys gave their superstar wideout a four-year $136 million deal.
Lamb was holding out of camp because he felt he needed to be fairly compensated after leading the league in receptions (135), and finishing second in receiving yards (1,749).
The Oklahoma product also finished second in the league in touchdown catches (12), just one behind Hill and Mike Evans.
Dallas offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer remained with “America’s Team,” as well as quarterback Dak Prescott. This gives Lamb an excellent chance at fighting for the receiving yards title.
The former Oklahoma Sooner should be fed plenty of targets with questions surrounding the running game.
Last year’s starting running back, Tony Pollard, signed with Tennessee, leaving the Cowboys with a running back room consisting of Ezekiel Elliott, Rico Dowdle, and newly signed Dalvin Cook.
Elliott and Cook have shown signs of decline over the past few years. Dowdle was Pollard’s backup in 2023.
Justin Jefferson (+700)
While Hill is known for his speed and is arguably the best receiver in the league, Jefferson is widely considered the best all-around receiver thanks to his route-running, excellent hands and acrobatic catches.
Since he entered the league in 2020, “JJetas” has been a model for consistency.
Jefferson’s Receiving Yards by Year
Year | Yards |
2020 | 1,400 |
2021 | 1,616 |
2022 | 1,809 |
2023 | 1,074 |
As a rookie, Jefferson finished fourth in receiving yards. In his sophomore season, he ended in second place behind the Rams’ Cooper Kupp, who broke the single-season record (1,947).
The national champion out of LSU, Jefferson, claimed the throne a year later with his 1,809 yards.
Despite it being extremely difficult to repeat the feat, all signs pointed to him doing it in 2023, but injuries hampered his season, and he only played 10 games (missed seven).
An achilles injury to starting quarterback Kirk Cousins also destroyed his chances.
Jefferson isn’t the favorite in 2024 due to Cousins departing for Atlanta and Minnesota’s quarterback room featuring journeyman quarterback Sam Darnold. Minnesota’s 12th overall pick in the NFL Draft, quarterback J.J. McCarthy (Michigan product), will miss the season due to a torn meniscus.
If an above-average signal caller featured as the Vikings’ QB1, Jefferson likely would’ve been the betting favorite this campaign to lead the league in receiving yards.
2024 Contenders
Ja’Marr Chase (+800)
During the 2021 season, another LSU product, Ja’Marr Chase, broke Jefferson’s rookie receiving yards record in the Super Bowl Era by recording 1,455 yards.
This record would later be broken by Puka Nacua in 2023 with 1,486 yards.
Chase is extremely talented and showcased it during the same season (2021) when he recorded 266 yards in a single game against the Chiefs in Week 17.
After his rookie year, things haven’t gone according to plan for Chase. The following season, the former No. 5 overall pick only played in 12 games due to injury and collected 1,046 yards.
Last year, practically all hope to lead the league in receiving was lost when his quarterback, Joe Burrow (also his former college teammate), was ruled out for the season with torn ligaments in his wrist.
This occurred during Week 11, with seven games left on the schedule.
Chase ended up missing one game and finishing with 1,216 yards. If Chase and Burrow can stay healthy in 2024, there’s definitely an opportunity to lead the league in receiving thanks to both talents and their excellent rapport.
Amon-Ra St. Brown
The Lions’ slot receiver broke out in 2023 thanks to his 1,515-yard campaign, which ranked third in the NFL.
The USC product has improved each year in the NFL. As a rookie in 2021, he recorded 912 yards and a year later finished with 1,161.
It will be hard to unseat the four previous names mentioned on this list, but with offensive coordinator Ben Johnson and quarterback Jared Goff returning, St. Brown can never be counted out.
NFL Receiving Leaders – Last 15 Seasons
Looking back at the last 15 seasons, here are the players who have lead the league with the most receiving yards:
Year | Player | Receiving Yards | Team |
2023 | Tyreek Hill | 1,799 | MIA Dolphins |
2022 | Justin Jefferson | 1,809 | MIN Vikings |
2021 | Cooper Kupp | 1,947 | LA Rams |
2020 | Stefon Diggs | 1,535 | BUF Bills |
2019 | Michael Thomas | 1,725 | NO Saints |
2018 | Julio Jones | 1,677 | ATL Falcons |
2017 | Antonio Brown | 1,533 | PIT Steelers |
2016 | T.Y. Hilton | 1,448 | IND Colts |
2015 | Julio Jones | 1,871 | ATL Falcons |
2014 | Antonio Brown | 1,698 | PIT Steelers |
2013 | Josh Gordon | 1,646 | CLE Browns |
2012 | Calvin Johnson | 1,964 | DET Lions |
2011 | Calvin Johnson | 1,681 | DET Lions |
2010 | Brandon Lloyd | 1,448 | DEN Broncos |
2009 | Andre Johnson | 1,569 | HOU Texans |
WR Receiving Yards Over/Under
On top of the futures bet for the most receiving yards in a season, sportsbooks provide betting markets for receiving yards totals each week. This also includes the playoffs and Super Bowl.
You can stake whether you think a player will go over or under a certain yardage assigned by bookmakers.
Before You Bet On Tyreek Hill
Before you look at the odds and place a bet on Tyreek Hill, you should choose your book wisely.
Winning bets isn’t the only important factor when sports betting. Odds shopping, which is finding the best available odds across all bookmakers, is also extremely vital.
You’ll be making a huge mistake by taking the first line you see. For example, if you’re going to bet on a certain receiver to lead the league in receiving yards, odds will vary among different operators.
One bookmaker might have the receiver at +400 while another could feature him at +700. This is a huge discrepancy. A $10 bet on +400 would win you $40. The same $10 wager at +700 would earn you $70.
Shopping around can save you money, make you money and help with your bankroll.
Remember to never bet more than you can afford and be responsible.
What Does Alternate Receiving Yards Mean?
Alternate receiving yards refer to a specific prop offered by a sportsbook. The bookmaker lets you bet on a certain player to record a set number of yards.
While standard receiving totals allow punters to stake over or under a certain yardage, such as 82.5 yards, alternate yards let them choose different yards offered by the sportsbook.
This is also common for receptions and other NFL categories. Other sports markets, such as the NBA, also contain alternate lines for points, three-pointers and assists.
This type of wager allows you to customize the yardage based on how you think the player will perform.
Alternate lines aren’t just limited to prop bets. Main markets, such as alternate spreads, are also included.
How Does Alternate Receiving Yards Betting Work?
If a sportsbook such as FanDuel offers Houston wide receiver Stefon Diggs’ standard receiving total at 52.5 yards and the over is set at -130 while the under is +120, the book will also offer alternate yardages for him but at different prices.
For example, FanDuel will list his alternate yards with different options, including 25+ yards and 40+ yards, but at a steeper price.
These are often thrown into parlays since they’re juiced at -1100 and -450.
They’ll also offer him above his total at 60+ or 70+ yards.
These numbers will be plus-money odds (+100 and +165) since they are higher than his regular total.
Which Sportsbooks Offer It?
Almost all regulated U.S. bookmakers offer alternate yards bets. The following are some of the more notable ones providing the option:
- DraftKings Sportsbook
- FanDuel Sportsbook
- BetMGM
- Caesars Sportsbook
- Bet365
- BetRivers
- ESPN BET
Sportbook Promos
- Claim Now1 per new customer. Min. $5 deposit. Min. $5 bet. Get 1 promo code to redeem 1-month of access to NFL+ Premium and max. $250 issued as non-withdrawable Bonus Bets that expire in 7 days (168 hours). Stake removed from payout. Terms: dkng.co/ftball. NFL+ Premium Terms: Offer only for eligible subscribers & must be redeemed by 11:59PM 9/30/24; After 1-month promo period, subscription automatically renews each month at then-current price (currently $14.99/mth) until cancelled; Addt’l terms: nfl.com/terms. Offer expires 9/19/24 at 11:59 PM ET.Bet $5, Get $150 If Your Bet Wins
- Claim Now21+ to wager. Please Gamble Responsibly. Gambling problem? Call or Text 1-800-GAMBLER, 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY), 800-327-5050 (MA), 800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 800-522-4700 (KS, NV), 800-BETS-OFF (IA), 800-270-7117(MI), 877-718-5543 (NC).Bet $5 Get $150 In Bonus Bets Or First Bet Safety Net $1,000
- Claim NowMust be 21+ and physically present in AZ, NJ, TN or VA to play. Terms and conditions apply. GAMBLING PROBLEM? In AZ call 1-800-NEXT-STEP or text NEXTSTEP to 53342. NJ, TN, VA CALL 1-800-GAMBLER.Get $100 After a $5 Bet