NFL Parlay Picks Week 14 2024

As the regular season approaches its final quarter, the pressure is mounting on teams to secure playoff spots across the NFL.

Week 14 kicked off with the Lions beating the Packers 34-31 on Thursday Night.

Jake Bates successfully converted a 35-yard field goal as time expired in front of the home fans at Ford Field in Detroit.

The winning field goal came after a bold decision to go for it on 4th-and-inches to prevent the Packers from receiving the ball back.

Detroit (12-1) holds sole possession of the NFC’s top spot, while Green Bay (9-4) is currently the No. 6 seed.

With 11 games scheduled for Sunday, we’ve built a parlay for two quarterbacks below participating in the early slate: Atlanta’s Kirk Cousins and Las Vegas’ Aidan O’Connell.

Remember to bet responsibly and carefully monitor your bankroll.

Read our Week 14 NFL odds and prop picks for more information on the upcoming action.

Note: Odds were correct at the time of writing.

Week 14 Parlay: Alternate Pass Yards

Kirk Cousins and Aidan O’Connell 200+ pass yards each (-125 at DraftKings)

Kirk Cousins’ Outlook (200+ Pass Yards)

The revenge narrative is in full effect for Cousins as he faces the Vikings, where he spent six seasons and made four Pro Bowls.

I’m not saying he will go ballistic and break records as Jerry Jeudy did on Monday against his former team, the Broncos, but Cousins does face a juicy matchup.

Minnesota ranks fifth-worst against the pass, surrendering an average of 243.3 passing yards per game.

This season, 9/12 (75%) quarterbacks have recorded at least 214 or more yards against its defense.

The three quarterbacks that failed to do so were Daniel Jones (Week 1 with 186 yards), Joe Flacco (Week 9 with 179 yards) and Mac Jones (Week 10 with 111 yards).

Those quarterbacks are nowhere near the caliber of Kirk Cousins at the moment. Flacco (Colts) and Jones (Jaguars) are backups, and the Giants released Daniel Jones.

Over the past three contests, quarterbacks have averaged 298.3 passing yards against Minnesota.

Passing Stats vs. Minnesota (Past Three Games)

Week	Team	Quarterback	Passing Yards
Week 11	Titans	Will Levis	295
Week 12	Bears	Caleb Williams	340
Week 13	Cardinals	Kyler Murray	260

The Vikings have also surrendered the most passing attempts on average (38.5) in the league to opposing signal callers, according to Teamrankings.com.

Cousins has averaged 254.33 passing yards per game this season and recorded 222 or more in 83.3% (10/12) of outings.

The game script could also favor Cousins frequently passing, thanks to the Falcons being 5.5-point underdogs playing away to Minnesota.

Minnesota’s U.S. Bank Stadium is a dome, so weather won’t be a factor, which also helps Cousins’ case.

The 36-year-old veteran’s standard passing yards total at most books ranges from 243.5 to 248.5.

Many reputable projection models also predict that he will clear the 200-yard mark.

Model Projections for Cousins’ Pass Yards

• Covers: 266.2
• 4for4.com: 265.2
• FantasyPoints.com: 259
• Pro Football Focus (PFF): 255.6
• ESPN: 251.5
• Action Network: 245
• FantasyPros: 241.2
• Numberfire: 240.06
• BettingPros: 236.4
• RotoWire: 222

Aidan O’Connell’s Outlook (200+ pass yards)

It’s been an ugly season for the Las Vegas Raiders, owning a 2-10 record and having to cycle through various quarterbacks.

Aidan O’Connell has appeared to be the most steady at the position, and since the start of 2023, his rookie season, he’s eclipsed 200 passing yards in 9/12 (75%) of contests in games he started and finished.

This year, he’s 2-for-2 in that category excluding the game he broke his thumb during the first quarter against the Rams.

O’Connell was actually on pace for 200 yards since he had recorded 52 yards on 6-of-10 passing before the injury occurred during the first quarter.

Over the course of his career in games started and completed, he has averaged 225.8 pass yards per game. In this campaign, by the same metrics, he’s averaged 283.5.

The Purdue product is coming off a career-best 340 yards against Kansas City last Friday.

This week, he’ll face a Tampa Bay defense that struggles against the pass. The unit ranks third-worst in the NFL and has surrendered 258.3 yards per game.

The Buccaneers have allowed 9/12 (75%) quarterbacks to record at least 216 yards and seven of them to tally 276 or more.

While most things haven’t clicked for the Raiders, O’Connell’s connection with tight end Brock Bowers and wide receiver Jacobi Meyers has.

This bodes well for the 26-year-old signal caller thanks to the Bucs giving up the third-most receiving yards against tight ends (800) and 11th most against wide receivers (1,947).

According to Derek Brown of FantasyPros, Tampa Bay has surrendered the third-highest success rate per dropback to opposing quarterbacks as well as the 11th-most yards per attempt.

The unit has also given up 37.8 pass attempts per game, which is the second-most in the league.

Las Vegas is a 6.5-point underdog playing away to Tampa Bay, so if the oddsmakers are correct, a pass-heavy game script is likely for O’Connell.

The weather is also forecasted to be warm and sunny, around 70 degrees, which suits a passing attack nicely.

O’Connell’s pass yard total is listed at 229.5 yards by the majority of bookmakers.

Model Projections for O’Connell’s Pass Yards

• ESPN: 268.9
• 4for4.com: 253.4
• FantasyPoints.com: 247
• Covers: 239.4
• FantasyPros: 233.3
• Numberfire: 229.96
• Pro Football Focus (PFF): 229.8
• BettingPros: 229.3
• Action Network: 225
• RotoWire: 201