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In Week 14, 10 underdogs covered the spread in 15 games, including seven being straight up victories by underdogs.

Even the Tennessee Titans managed to pull off a huge upset win over the Miami Dolphins on Monday Night Football. The Titans were set as 14-point underdogs against Miami with a moneyline of +625 on DraftKings.

You can still hear the hooting and hollering coming from the Great Smoky Mountains.

Picking an underdog on the moneyline is always a tricky endeavor, but as per usual, it is the first leg of the weekly NFL Parlay.

The Week 15 NFL Parlay will be constructed just like the parlays that preceded it; one underdog moneyline, two spreads, one over, and one under.

This parlay slip will be placed on FanDuel.

Moneyline – New York Giants (+215) vs. New Orleans Saints

The New Orleans Saints had very little competition last week when the Carolina Panthers came to the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans and did their best impression of a High School football team.

Even though the Saints allowed 204 rushing yards, they still won 28-6 over Carolina.

New Orleans will have to get ready for “Tommy Cutlets” and the New York Giants in Week 15.

Quarterback Tommy DeVito brings spice to the Giants that is nearly impossible to quantify.

TOMMY DEVITO TO ISAIAH HODGINS 🤌

Hodgins anytime TD was +1100 🤯💰

📽️: @NFL | #NYGiants pic.twitter.com/SCK2xhWxiM

— FanDuel Sportsbook (@FDSportsbook) December 12, 2023

DeVito has led New York to three consecutive wins, and there are some things behind the success that can be quantified.

DeVito has a passer rating of 96.5 since taking over the starting QB role, and he’s scored nine total touchdowns (one rushing) and has only turned the ball over four times.

Against the Green Bay Packers last week, DeVito ran for 71 yards, showing he can scoot from the pocket and pick up some ground yards.

New Orleans could allow the rookie QB to duplicate that effort this week, considering that the Saints rushing defense is 26th in the NFL (allowing 131.5 rush ypg).

DeVito has brought an efficiency to the Giants’ offense that even $40 million quarterback Daniel Jones failed to do.

For New Orleans, their quarterback, Derek Carr, has been playing with rib fractures and a shoulder injury, but is still cleared to play.

Carr is playing at less than 100%, and even when Carr is 100%, this offense is still a bit shaky.

If New York’s defense can keep a banged up Derek Carr in check, then this should be a close contest.

I believe DeVito can keep the good vibes rolling for New York

Pick: Giants Moneyline (+215)

Spread – Baltimore Ravens (-3 | -112) vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

Jacksonville has lost two games in a row, both to AFC North teams, the Cincinnati Bengals and Cleveland Browns.

While the Jags are in a snag, the Baltimore Ravens can make it three in a row for AFC North teams over Jacksonville.

Lamar Jackson continues to impress in the Ravens passing attack, showing continued development with new offensive coordinator Todd Monken.

Jackson threw for over 300 yards and three touchdowns last week against the Los Angeles Rams, and he could make it two big performances in a row against the Jaguars.

LOOK AT ZACH WILSON
pic.twitter.com/JBYJ3Gx9n8

— PFF (@PFF) December 10, 2023

Jacksonville’s defense is allowing 278.5 passing yards per game, which is 30th in the NFL, and they have allowed 11 touchdown passes in their last five games.

Whenever the Jags play at home, there is no advantage.

Jacksonville is 2-4 in Jacksonville this season, and although their defense has allowed 22.3 points per game, they have allowed 26 points per game at home.

Jackson and the Ravens should take care of business on Sunday Night Football.

Pick: Ravens (-3)

Spread – Atlanta Falcons (-3 | -112) vs. Carolina Panthers

After what I saw from the Carolina Panthers last week, of course I’m backing the Atlanta Falcons to cover the spread against them this week.

The Falcons’ defense is much more balanced than New Orleans’, so I don’t expect the Panthers to run for 200 yards this week.

That means that Carolina will need to depend on quarterback Bryce Young to move this offense down the field, and there are no guarantees there.

In his last five games, Young has gone 83-for-165 passing for a concerning 50.3% passing.

This graph from BestOdds EDGE shows how inept the Panthers’ offense has been over the last five games.

While Atlanta’s young offense is also a work in progress, they’re miles ahead of where their NFC South rival is.

Winning the NFC South division is still within reach for the Falcons, so this game is a must win for Atlanta. Three points shouldn’t be an issue to cover.

Pick: Falcons (-3)

Over – New York Jets vs. Miami Dolphins (o37.5 | -108)

The New York Jets put 30 points on the board against the Houston Texans last week, and quarterback Zach Wilson was a big reason for that offensive success.

Wilson completed 27-of-26 passes for 301 yards and two touchdowns, and this week, he could have another solid outing against Miami’s beatable passing defense.

The Dolphins just allowed Will Levis of the Tennessee Titans to throw for 327 yards and a touchdown last week, so look out for Zach Wilson.

LOOK AT ZACH WILSON
pic.twitter.com/JBYJ3Gx9n8

— PFF (@PFF) December 10, 2023

Miami’s offense is not much of a concern, as they have scored 31.6 points per game (2nd in NFL), and even in all four of their losses, they are averaging 19.5 points per game.

The Dolphins average total in losses is still more than half of this week’s total.

We don’t even need Miami’s offense to be at its best here, just tally enough points.

Against the Jets’ 28th-ranked rushing defense, this could be a big week for the Dolphins running back tandem of Raheem Mostert and De’Von Achane.

As long as New York keeps getting run over by opposing backs and Miami keeps letting passing attacks spoil their defensive secondary, this could be a surprisingly high-scoring game.

The last time these two division rivals met in Week 12, Tim Boyle was under center for the Jets, and the final score was 34-13, Dolphins. It shouldn’t be as easy a defensive matchup this time for Miami.

This tidbit of info from BestOdds EDGE tells me the Dolphins play higher-scoring games against division rivals later in the season.

The one in the under column can be largely attributed to Tim Boyle.

I’ll say the final score will be 34-31, Dolphins.

Pick: Over 37.5

Under – Minnesota Vikings vs. Cincinnati Bengals (u40.5)

I love what I’ve seen so far from Jake Browning of the Cincinnati Bengals.

Browning has won two of his three NFL starts, and in each of the last two weeks, both wins, the Bengals have scored exactly 34 points.

In Browning’s three starts, he’s faced the Steelers’ 20th-ranked passing defense (244.5 pass ypg), the Jaguars’ 30th-ranked passing defense (278.5 pass ypg), and the Colts’ 22nd-ranked passing defense (245.6 pass ypg).

In a way, Minnesota’s 15th-ranked passing defense (238 pass ypg) will be the toughest matchup that Browning has faced.

Cincy may not have to score 34 points to win this week against a Minnesota Vikings team that is starting Nick Mullens at quarterback.

Also, Justin Jefferson and Alexander Mattison could potentially be ‘out’ due to lingering injuries.

Wednesday's #Vikings injury report pic.twitter.com/EncdikZuNK

— Minnesota Vikings (@Vikings) December 13, 2023

The entire Vikings’ offense is one gigantic question mark heading into Week 15.

With Minnesota playing on Saturday instead of Sunday, they have one less day than a typical week to answer some of these questions.

I’m expecting less offense for the Bengals this week, and a lot less for the Vikings.

I’ll say the final score will be 24-9, Bengals

Pick: Under 40.5

Week 15 Parlay Legs – FanDuel	Odds
New York (N) ML vs. NO	+215
Baltimore (-3) vs. JAX	-112
Atlanta (-3) vs. CAR	-112
OVER 37.5 (NYJ vs. MIA)	-108
UNDER 40.5 (MIN vs. CIN)	-110
Week 14 Parlay Odds	+4049

A $10 wager on this Week 14 parlay would payout $414.96!

How To Bet NFL Parlays

A parlay bet is a sports wager that combines several bets on one ticket alone.

Usually, you would go with moneyline bets but can use spreads, totals, and futures.

You can include props in many cases, and bettors can choose to link together just two sides, or up to 15 or more depending on the sportsbook.

Parlays are wholly customizable meaning bettors get to choose how big they want the odds to go.

How many sides will be included, and how difficult is it to make each leg of the parlay or do the same game parlays.

The way to establish consistency is to have just two or three sides and avoid chasing astronomical odds.

It’s fine to take your shot at a massive payout as well, but be sure to only risk the money you’re prepared to lose.

If you fancy regular bets, we got the NFL Week 15 Odds analysis worth checking out.