Sean Chaffin
Updated: Sep 26, 2024
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The underdogs keep rising up in the NFL, punishing not just weekly bettors but also season-long handicappers competing in major contests like the Circa Survivor in Las Vegas.
After three weeks of action, the contest has seen the field whittled down from 14,266 entries to only 642 remaining.
The contest has lost 96% of the entries already after some major upsets by the Commanders, Giants, Broncos, and Panthers all scoring upsets in Week 3.
No doubt many bettors around the country were disappointed with some of those results as well. Will that trend of upsets continue in Week 4?
Looking to this week, the Bills continue battering opponents and the Chiefs are also off to a 3-0 start as well.
The Cowboys are in disarray and have a chance to right the ship a bit with a Thursday night battle against the Giants.
But can they against a New York team that came to life against the Browns?
Here’s a look at this week’s action.
Matchups to Watch
These Thursday night games have been pretty decent so far this year and the Cowboys-Giants matchup is critical for a Dallas squad with a tough schedule on the horizon.
The Cowboys run the gauntlet over the next five games against the Steelers, Lions, 49ers, Falcons, Eagles, and Texans.
An important AFC West showdown also plays out on the west coast with the Chiefs heading to L.A. for a showdown with the Chargers, who are also off to a nice start at 2-1.
Here are a few other matchups to watch this week:
- Steelers at Colts – Indianapolis has shown some fight and will looking to move to .500 at home against the Steelers. Pittsburgh brings the top defense in the league, but has one of the most anemic offenses.
- Vikings at Packers – The Vikings have surprised a bit and bring an undefeated record into this key NFC North battle against Green Bay. Sam Darnold has been solid for the Vikings so far and the team is 3-0 against the spread.
- Eagles at Buccaneers – Philadelphia has run hot and cold and there are rumblings that coach Nick Sirianni may be on the hot seat. The Bucs hope to bounce back after a devastating loss to the Broncos last week.
- Bills at Ravens – The Bills continue to gallop through opponents, but face a dangerous 1-2 Ravens team that has the league’s top offense by yardage and also finished last season with the NFL’s best regular season record.
- Seahawks at Lions – Seattle may have surprised a bit at 3-0 and squares off against a 2-1 Lions squad that continues to impress.
Week 4 NFL Odds
Ready to make those selections for this week? Here’s a look at this week’s odds, courtesy of FanDuel.
Matchup | Betting Line | Moneyline | Total |
Cowboys at Giants | Cowboys -5.5 | Cowboys -250 Giants +205 | 45.5 |
Bengals at Panthers | Bengals -4.5 | Bengals -220 Panthers + 184 | 48.5 |
Broncos at Jets | Hets -7.5 | Broncos +280 Jets -350 | 38.5 |
Saints at Falcons | Falcons -1.5 | Saints +100 Falcons -118 | 42.5 |
Vikings at Packers | Packers -2.5 | Vikings +120 Packers -142 | 43.5 |
Jaguars at Texans | Texans -2.5 | Jaguars +245 Texans -300 | 45.5 |
Steelers at Colts | Steelers -1.5 | Steelers -130 Colts +110 | 39.5 |
Rams at Bears | Bears -2.5 | Rams +132 Bears -156 | 40.5 |
Eagles at Buccaneers | Eagles-2.5 | Eagles -138 Buccaneers +118 | 44.5 |
Patriots at 49ers | 49ers -10 | Patriots +420 49ers -560 | 39.5 |
Commanders at Cardinals | Cardinals -3.5 | Commanders _150 Cardinals -178 | 50.5 |
Browns at Raiders | Raiders -1.5 | Browns +108 Raiders -126 | 37.5 |
Chiefs at Chargers | Chiefs -8.5 | Chiefs -420 Chargers +330 | 39.5 |
Bills at Ravens | Ravens -2.5 | Bills +118 Ravens -136 | 46.5 |
Titans at Dolphins | Dolphins -1.5 | Titans +100 Dolphins -118 | 36.5 |
Seahawks at Lions | Lions -3.5 | Seahawks +162 Lions -194 | 46.5 |
Interesting Prop Bets
The Cowboys have the worst rushing defense in the league, giving up a total of 464 yards on the ground over the last two weeks against the Saints and the Ravens.
Look for Giants running back Devin Singletary to get in the end zone in this one and also hit the over of 60.5 yards for -113.
Picks for the People
Last week was an ugly 1-5 after some brutal upsets, but our prop bet recommendation at least paid off with Derrick Henry delivering a TD for the Ravens against the Cowboys.
Here are my picks for this week:
- Seahawks at Lions – Look for the Lions to win this one at home and cover the 3.5.
- Titans at Dolphins – Will the Miami offense finally really get going? If so, this is the week and look for this one to hit the over of 36.5.
- Bills at Ravens – These two teams can move the ball and look for the over of 46.5 to hit. The Bills also look like a nice bet as a road underdog of just 2.5 after starting the season 2-1 against the spread.
- Steelers at Colts – The Steelers just keep finding ways to win and are 3-0 against the spread this season, despite an offense that has struggled. Take Pittsburgh to top the 1.5.
If you want to read more or find our player props and parlay picks for this week, see our latest articles:
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- Claim Now21+ to wager. Please Gamble Responsibly. Gambling problem? Call or Text 1-800-GAMBLER, 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY), 800-327-5050 (MA), 800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 800-522-4700 (KS, NV), 800-BETS-OFF (IA), 800-270-7117(MI), 877-718-5543 (NC).Bet $5 Get $150 In Bonus Bets Or First Bet Safety Net $1,000
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