NFL Parlay Picks Week 4 2024

The NFL schedule has reached Week 4, and there are a number of intriguing storylines leading into the week.

Among the most notable are the Cincinnati Bengals and Jacksonville Jaguars starting at 0-3. Entering the season, bookmakers listed the Bengals win total at 10.5 and the Jaguars at 8.5.

We’ll provide a Week 4 alternate yards parlay featuring the legendary Aaron Rodgers, whose Jets are 2-1, and Kyler Murray, whose Cardinals are sitting at a 1-2 record.

Remember to bet responsibly, always shop around for the best odds and stick to planned unit sizes in order to manage your bankroll carefully.

Note: The parlay odds were correct at the time of writing.

Week 4 Parlay: Alternate Yards Parlay

Aaron Rodgers Under 0.5 Interceptions and Kyler Murray 175+ pass yards (-112 at FanDuel)

Aaron Rodgers’ Outlook (Under 0.5 Interceptions)

The 4-time MVP and Super Bowl winner looked vintage in the Jets’ 24-3 win over the Patriots last Thursday.

Rodgers completed 27-of-35 pass attempts for 281 yards and two touchdowns without throwing an interception.

This season, the 40-year-old has only thrown one interception in three games. The pick came against the 49ers as the Jets trailed 23-7 and were in desperation mode (a passing game script).

The throw could’ve been angled more toward the sideline, but it bounced off Garrett Wilson’s chest and straight into the air, resulting in an easy interception.

Rodgers might be 40 years old and coming off a torn achilles, but his extraordinary talent clearly remains, and he has demonstrated it so far through three games.

According to Pro Football Focus (PFF), Rodgers is just one of three quarterbacks in the league to have committed zero turnover-worthy plays after three weeks.

The California Berkeley product ranks first in the NFL in All-time Pass Interception Percentage Leaders by throwing an interception on just 1.4% of his throws.

According to Covers, Denver has picked off 0.63 throws per game since the beginning of last campaign, which ranks them as the 9th-worst defense in the category.

Shutdown corner Patrick Surtain II will cover Jets WR1, Garrett Wilson. Surtain is widely considered to be among the top two corners in the league, along with the Jets’ Sauce Gardner.

Surtain’s specialty is locking down receivers by limiting their targets and breaking up passes. He isn’t targeted often and isn’t considered a “ball hawk” who makes interceptions.

Aside from his rookie year in 2021, when he recorded four picks, Surtain has made only three interceptions in his last 36 games and just one since the start of last campaign.

Rodgers likely won’t attempt too many passes thanks to Denver’s strong pass defense, which ranks second in the league, surrendering just 133.3 passing yards per game.

Sportsbooks list Rodgers’ pass attempt total at just 30.5. This helps his case to avoid throwing an interception.

The Jets will probably try to exploit the Broncos’ weak run defense, which ranks 21st in the NFL. Its unit also allows an average of 4.4 yards per carry.

Kyler Murray’s Outlook (175+ Pass Yards)

Kyler Murray faces a mouthwatering matchup this Sunday as he takes on the Washington Commanders.

The Commanders rank second-worst in the NFL defending the pass and have allowed an average of 255.7 yards to opposing signal callers.

QB Passing Yards vs. Washington This Season

Week/Opponent	Quarterback	Passing yards
Week 1 at TB (Lost 37-20)	Baker Mayfield	289
Week 2 vs. NYG (Won 21-18)	Daniel Jones	178
Week 3 at CIN (Won 38-33)	Joe Burrow	324

As the table shows, every passer has exceeded the 175 yards needed from Murray.

The former Oklahoma Sooner has thrown for 162, 266 and 207 yards in three outings, which averages out to 211.66.

Since Murray returned last season in Week 10, he’s thrown for more than 175 yards in nine of his last 11 (81.81%) games. Throughout that span, he’s averaged 221.27 passing yards per contest.

The Cardinals opened as two-point favorites against the Commanders, and the line moved to 3.5. If the game is as closely contested as sportsbooks indicate, the game script promotes the 2018 first-overall pick slinging the pigskin.

Both teams will play in a dome, resulting in a lack of wind and calm weather conditions, which is excellent for airing it out.

Since the start of the 2023 season, Washington’s opponents have averaged 35.2 passing attempts, the sixth-most in the NFL.

FanDuel lists Murray’s regular passing yards total at 230.5. He’s as high as 233.5 on other operators, such as PrizePicks.

Many of the top analytical models in the betting and fantasy football industry predict Murray will exceed the 175+ alternate yards required in the parlay.

Model Projections for Murray’s Passing Yards

• FantasyPros: 243.8 yards
• Numberfire: 238.9 yards
• Yahoo: 237 yards
• BettingPros: 234.6 yards
• ESPN: 232 yards
• Action Network: 225 yards

If you’re looking for the weekly odds or more picks, check out our dedicated articles here:

• Week 4 Odds
• Week 4 Props