NFL Parlay Picks Week 7 2024

Week 7 of the NFL began with an unintriguing Thursday night matchup for many fans as the Denver Broncos routed the New Orleans Saints 33-10.

Denver’s rookie quarterback Bo Nix (first-round pick) outdueled fellow rookie signal caller Spencer Rattler (fifth-round pick). Rattler was also stifled by the Broncos defense.

It’s been a surprising start to the season for Denver at 4-3 since many pundits predicted they would finish last in the AFC West.

The rest of Week 7 should provide high-quality entertainment and down-to-the-wire finishes.

We’ve crafted up a three-leg alternate yards parlay below featuring Amon-Ra St. Brown, Drake London and Baker Mayfield.

Remember to bet responsibly and manage the bankroll carefully.

Also, check out our week 7 NFL odds and props in our dedicated articles.

Note: Odds were correct at the time of writing.

Week 7 Alternate Yards Parlay

St. Brown 40+ rec yds, London 50+ rec yds and Mayfield 200+ pass yds (-126 at FanDuel)

Amon-Ra St. Brown’s Outlook (40+ Rec Yds)

Amon-Ra St. Brown has endured an extremely slow start to the season by his high standards, recording just 289 receiving yards through five weeks.

Last year, the USC product ended the regular season with 1,515 yards (third-most in the NFL) and racked up 455 yards during his first five outings.

St. Brown is coming off a season-low four targets against the Dallas Cowboys, finishing with just 37 yards.

The primary reason was due to a negative game script that didn’t require much passing to the receiver since Detroit was up 27-6 at halftime and ultimately won 47-9.

This week, Detroit (4-1) is a 1.5-point underdog away to divisional rival Minnesota (5-0).

St. Brown should receive many more targets if the matchup remains competitive, as many division rivalries between top teams tend to.

In 2023, St. Brown torched the Vikings’ secondary in both matchups, collecting a total of 19 receptions for 250 yards on 24 targets.

Both games ended up being close, with Detroit winning by six and ten.

St. Brown vs. Minnesota during the 2023 NFL Season

Week	Result	Receptions	Targets	Yards
Week 16 @ MIN	Win (30-24)	12	14	106
Week 18 vs. MIN	Win (30-20)	7	10	144

So far this campaign, St. Brown has recorded 40 or more yards in 3/5 (60%) of matchups and is averaging 57.8 yards per contest.

Despite the 25-year-old’s slight lack of production, he’s still averaging 8.4 targets per game.

Although the Vikings’ defense ranks fourth in the league in points per game (15.2), it has struggled against the pass and has allowed the third-most yards per outing (263) in that category.

Over the last three games, Minnesota has also given up an average of 238.6 yards to opposing wide receiver rooms.

The contest will be played in a dome (U.S. Bank Stadium), which also helps St. Brown’s case thanks to the lack of wind.

This leg of the parlay for Brown to record 40 or more receiving yards is -590 (85.51% implied odds) at FanDuel compared to -750 (88.24%) at DraftKings.

The top data models in the fantasy football and betting industries also project St. Brown to enjoy a nice day through the air against Minnesota.

Model Projections for St. Brown’s Receiving Yards

• Covers: 83.4 yards
• RotoWire: 76.6 yards
• FantasyPros: 75.9 yards
• Numberfire: 74.63 yards
• BettingPros: 70.5 yards
• Action Network: 70 yards
• ESPN: 69 yards

Drake London’s Outlook (50+ Rec Yds)

Drake London is enjoying a breakout season thus far, with 428 receiving yards (eighth-most in the league) through six weeks.

He’s clearly loving life with four-time Pro Bowler Kirk Cousins under center.

The USC product, London, has eclipsed 50 or more receiving yards in five straight contests and has done so five out of six times (83.33%) in 2024.

He’s also averaging 71.33 yards per game.

London’s best two games of the season in terms of receiving yards have come during the last two weeks.

In Week 5 against Tampa Bay, he recorded 12 receptions for 154 receiving yards (a career-high) on 13 targets.

In Week 6, he logged 74 yards on six receptions and 10 targets. London’s 54 targets (nine per game) are the fifth-most among all wideouts.

He faces a mouthwatering matchup in Week 7 against the Seahawks, who have allowed the second-most yards to wide receivers (H/T Cody Brown).

Over the course of the past three weeks, they’ve surrendered at least 80 or more yards to an opposing wideout.

Wide Receivers against Seattle (Past Three Weeks)

Week/Opponent	Wide Receiver	Receptions	Yards
Week 4 (DET)	Jameson Williams	2	80
Week 5 (NYG)	Darius Slayton	8	122
Week 6 (SF)	Deebo Samuel	3	102

The Falcons are three-point favorites over the Seahawks which leads to a positive game script for London if the game remains close.

What also helps is the contest being held in a dome (Mercedes-Benz Stadium).

This leg of the parlay is -320 (76.19%) on FanDuel compared to -370 (78.72%) on DraftKings and -540 (84.38%) on Caesars.

Model Projections for London’s Receiving Yards

• ESPN: 86 yards
• Covers: 85.3 yards
• RotoWire: 80 yards
• FantasyPros: 77.9 yards
• Numberfire: 76.2 yards
• BettingPros: 72.5 yards
• Action Network: 70 yards

Baker Mayfield’s Outlook (200+ Pass Yards)

The former Heisman Trophy winner continues to impress in Tampa Bay after leading the team to an NFC South title and playoff win last season.

Mayfield has led the Buccaneers to a 4-2 record and leads the NFL in touchdown passes with 15.

The Austin, Texas native also has thrown for 1,489 yards which is the eighth-most in the league and is averaging 248.16 passing yards per game.

This week, Mayfield faces a Baltimore defense that ranks second-worst in the NFL in terms of net passing yards allowed (275.7).

The last time the 29-year-old faced a bottom five passing defense (New Orleans in Week 6), he threw for 325 yards despite the Bucs winning heavily 51-27.

Quarterback Pass Yards vs. Ravens

Week/Opponent	Wide Receiver	Pass Yards
Week 1 (KC)	Patrick Mahomes	291
Week 2 (LV)	Gardner Minshew	276
Week 3 (DAL)	Dak Prescott	379
Week 4 (BUF)	Josh Allen	180
Week 5 (CIN)	Joe Burrow	392
Week 6 (WAS)	Jayden Daniels	269

As the table showcases, five of the six (83.33%) signal callers have thrown for 200 or more yards against the Ravens. Much more than 200.

The Ravens are 3.5-point favorites over the Bucs this Sunday in Tampa Bay. This could favor a game script in which Mayfield might be forced to throw frequently.

This leg of the parlay (-590, 85.51%) is similar at DraftKings (-600, 85.71%) and much more juiced (-900, 90%) at Caesars.

Model Projections for Mayfield’s Pass Yards

• ESPN: 284 yards
• Numberfire: 267.6 yards
• BettingPros: 265.4 yards
• FantasyPros: 265.4 yards
• RotoWire: 249 yards
• Action Network: 248 yards
• Covers: 237 yards