NFL Player Prop Bets Week 7 2024

Week 6 of the NFL season ended with the Buffalo Bills narrowly beating the New York Jets 23-20 on Monday Night Football.

A few days later, both teams made NFL headlines and sent fans into a frenzy.

The Jets traded a 2025 conditional third-round draft pick to the Las Vegas Raiders for six-time Pro Bowl wide receiver Davante Adams.

This move reunites Adams and his former quarterback, Aaron Rodgers. They spent eight years (2014-2021) together with the Green Bay Packers.

The Bills traded a 2025 third-round pick and a 2026 seventh-round pick to the Cleveland Browns for five-time Pro Bowl wide receiver Amari Cooper.

The deal also includes a 2025 sixth-round pick for Buffalo from Detroit. 

Now that Week 7 is upon us, we’ll provide two player prop picks.

The first tip is for Thursday night’s game between Denver vs. New Orleans, while the second is for Kansas City vs. San Francisco (a rematch of last season’s Super Bowl).

Make sure you also check out our week 7 NFL odds and parlay picks at our expert articles.

Week 7 Player Props

The odds for both picks were correct at the time of writing. They were also shopped across all legal U.S. sportsbooks.

Bo Nix over 185.5 pass yards (-113 at FanDuel)

Denver’s rookie quarterback, Bo Nix, faces a nice matchup against a New Orleans defense that has been struggling against the pass.

The Saints rank fourth-worst in the NFL and allow an average of 262.2 net pass yards per game (data from ESPN).

Opponent’s Pass Yards against New Orleans

Week	Quarterback/Team	Passing Yards
Week 1	Bryce Young (CAR)	161
Week 2	Dak Prescott (DAL)	293
Week 3	Jalen Hurts (PHI)	311
Week 4	Kirk Cousins (ATL)	238
Week 5	Patrick Mahomes (KC)	331
Week 6	Baker Mayfield (TB)	325

Aside from Carolina’s Bryce Young, who was benched after two games, every quarterback in the game log above has easily surpassed 185.5 passing yards. It equates to 83.33% of them.

Nix, who was selected No. 12 overall in the 2024 NFL draft, hasn’t enjoyed a perfect season thus far, but leading his team to a 3-3 record is impressive for a rookie.

The Oregon product has averaged 180.33 yards per game, but this number is a little skewed due to a Week 4 matchup against the Jets when Nix threw for 60 yards.

This matchup ended 10-9 in favor of the Broncos and was played in putrid weather conditions that prevented both teams from being able to pass the ball.

Opposing quarterback Aaron Rodgers was only able to muster up 72 yards passing.

If we don’t count that contest, Nix would have an average of 204.4 passing yards per contest.

The 24-year-old has eclipsed 185.5 passing yards in four of six (66.67%) contests, including his last start (216 yards) against a stingy Chargers secondary ranked eighth in the league against the pass (surrendering 192 yards per game).

The only two outings in which he hasn’t beaten the mark required by FanDuel were in his NFL debut against Seattle (138 yards) and against the Jets.

In his past two games, Nix’s yards per attempt (YPA) have been his best of the season. Against Las Vegas in Week 5, he averaged 7.6 YPA and in Week 6 (6.5).

Weather won’t be a factor this week since the game is being played inside a dome (Caesars Superdome in New Orleans), which makes it easier to toss the pigskin.

The Broncos are listed as 2.5-point favorites by many bookmakers, which indicates that the game script will involve plenty of passing if it remains competitive as predicted.

The Saints’ defense ranks fifth-worst in opponents pass attempts per game (36.83), which also bodes well for Nix to enjoy a good day through the air.

According to Covers.com, the Broncos’ offensive line ranks sixth in the NFL through six weeks protecting the quarterback, giving their rookie more time to find his weapons downfield.

Fantasy football and betting data models from many of the top sources across the industry also project Nix to eclipse 185.5 yards.

Model Projections for Nix’s Passing Yards

• ESPN: 241
• DraftSharks: 227
• BettingPros: 212.1
• FantasyPros: 211.5
• RotoWire: 200
• Numberfire: 197.1
• Action Network: 185

Kareem Hunt over 13.5 rush attempts (+100 at ESPNBet)

After rejoining the Kansas City Chiefs (previously played with them in 2017 and 2018), Kareem Hunt has played well in his first two outings.

Hunt is coming off a 27-carry performance in which he ran for 102 yards and scored a touchdown during a 26-13 win over the Saints in Week 5.

Before that, he recorded 14 carries for 69 yards (4.8 yards per carry) in his debut during a 17-10 victory over the Chargers.

That means he’s surpassed 13.5 rush attempts in his two starts this season.

He likely would’ve received more against the Chargers but was being reintegrated into the offense and learning the playbook.

Regardless, through two games, the 29-year-old is averaging 20.5 carries per contest.

He likely won’t come anywhere close to 27 carries against the 49ers, who are much better on paper than the Saints, but should once again be the lead back.

Chiefs running back Clyde-Edwards Helaire has returned from injury and might take away a few carries from Hunt, but it isn’t expected to be a lot since he is listed second on the depth chart behind Hunt.

Hunt appears to have carved himself out the RB1 role after his performances.

He isn’t Isaiah Pacheco (injured RB1 for Kansas City), but after last year’s Week 10 bye, in the five games that both Pacheco and Edwards-Helaire were active, Edwards-Helaire averaged a paltry 2.6 carries per game.

In those five outings, Edwards-Helaire received 2,3,2,4 and 2 carries.

RB1 Rush Attempts against San Francisco

Week	Running back/Team	Rush Attempts
Week 1	Breece Hall (NYJ)	16
Week 2	Ty Chandler/Aaron Jones (MIN)	10 and 9
Week 3	Kyren Williams (LAR)	24
Week 4	Rhamondre Stevenson (NE)	13
Week 5	James Conner (ARI)	19
Week 6	Kenneth Walker (SEA)	14

Note: Aaron Jones and Ty Chandler split carries against the 49ers in Week 2.

Excluding Week 2, four out of five (80%) running backs have exceeded 13.5 carries against the 49ers. RB1s are also averaging 17.2 rushes per game (aside from Week 2).

San Francisco is allowing 4.4 yards per carry this season, which is slightly better than the league average, so the Chiefs will try and exploit them.

Kansas City is also without its top receiver Rashee Rice (out for the season) and will likely try and slow down the 49ers offense (filled with a ton of weapons) by establishing the run.

The Chiefs (5-0) are 1.5-point underdogs away to the 49ers (3-3). If the game is as close as bookmakers predict, it promotes plenty of carries for Hunt.

The +100 odds at ESPNBet are an excellent price compared to other operators currently offering the prop, such as DraftKings (-110), FanDuel (-114) and BetMGM (-115).

Model Projections for Hunt’s Rush Attempts

• FantasyPros: 16.3
• Numberfire: 15.9
• BettingPros:15.8
• ESPN: 15
• RotoWire: 14.1
• Action Network: 13.8