NFL Parlay Picks Week 9 2024

Week 9 of the NFL started off with the Jets defeating the Texans 21-13 on Thursday at Metlife Stadium.

It was an eventful night, with Garrett Wilson making arguably the best touchdown catch of the season and Davante Adams scoring his first touchdown with New York.

Last week, 10 games ended within one score, making it a super exciting slate to watch. Hopefully, Week 9 can replicate the fireworks.

We’ve crafted up a three-leg alternate receiving yards parlay below featuring two former LSU receivers and a USC product.

Remember to wager in a responsible manner and carefully keep an eye on your bankroll.

Also, read our week 9 NFL odds and props in our expert articles.

Note: Odds were correct at the time of writing.

Week 9 Alternate Receiving Yards Parlay

Nabers 40+ yds, London 40+ yds and Jefferson 50+ yds (-121 at FanDuel)

Malik Nabers’ Outlook vs. WAS (40+ yds)

Malik Nabers has erupted during his rookie season and has showcased elite talent.

Even with having a below-average quarterback like Daniel Jones, Nabers has commanded a ton of volume.

The LSU product has recorded 12 or more targets in his past five games and is averaging 12.16 per outing this year.

He also ranks first in the entire NFL with a whopping target share of 36.5%.

Nabers has a 100% hit rate with 40+ receiving yards in all six games and is averaging 83 yards per week.

The 21-year-old is averaging 10.8 yards per reception, so based on sheer volume, he should be able to surpass 39 yards receiving against the Commanders.

Washington’s defense has been stingier during the past few weeks, but the last time Nabers faced the Commanders in Week 2, he made 10 catches for 127 yards on 18 targets.

This week, New York (2-6) is a four-point underdog against Washington (6-2).

If New York falls into a trailing game script, which has been the common theme of this campaign, it will promote frequent passing, giving Nabers even more yardage opportunities.

The odds for this leg of the parlay at FanDuel are -490 compared to -575 (DraftKings) and -850 at Caesars.

Nabers’ regular receiving total is set between 69.5 and 71.5 yards on most books.

Some of the best models in the fantasy football and betting industry also predict that he will enjoy a good day through the air against Washington.

Model Projections for Nabers’ Receiving Yards

• ESPN: 86
• FantasyPros: 77.2
• Covers: 76.8
• RotoWire: 75.9
• 4for4: 74.1
• Action Network: 71
• Numberfire: 70.7
• BettingPros: 60.6

Drake London’s Outlook vs. DAL (40+ yds)

The Falcons’ wide receiver has enjoyed the best year of his short NFL career (drafted No. 8 overall in 2022) with Pro Bowl quarterback Kirk Cousins under center.

London has recorded 40 or more yards in 75% of contests this year (6/8).

He had a rare, quiet day in Week 8 against the Bucs, finishing with just 34 yards on four receptions and six targets.

The six targets were the second-fewest he’s received in 2024. London, a former USC product, has averaged 65.6 yards per outing.

He has a nice opportunity for a bounce-back performance against a struggling Dallas defense.

The Cowboys are allowing the most rushing yards per game in the NFL (154.6) and will now take on Bijan Robinson and Tyler Allgeier.

If they try to prevent the run, London will have plenty of opportunities to exploit a secondary that ranks 20th in defending the pass (218 yards per game).

The Cowboys have already allowed 10 receivers to eclipse 40+ yards on them in eight games and have struggled against opposing WR1s.

Seven wideouts have recorded 71 or more yards on them as well.

London’s standard receiving total on most bookmakers is listed between 64.5 and 67.5 yards.

Model Projections for London’s Receiving Yards

• Covers: 80.8
• ESPN: 80
• 4for4: 73.2
• Numberfire: 70.6
• FantasyPros: 76.1
• RotoWire: 77.6
• BettingPros: 71.1
• Action Network: 67

Justin Jefferson’s Outlook vs. IND (50+ yds)

Entering Week 9, Justin Jefferson ranked second in receiving yards (646) behind his former LSU teammate Ja’Marr Chase (674).

Jefferson, widely regarded as the best all-around receiver in the league, has recorded at least 81 yards during his past six outings.

He’s recorded 50+ yards in 100% of games (7/7) for the season.

His lowest yardage total (59) came in Week 1 against the Giants during his first start alongside first-year Minnesota quarterback Sam Darnold.

The game script also got out of hand, with Minnesota winning 28-6, which led to a run-first game script.

The Vikings are five-point favorites against the Colts, but regardless of the game script, Jefferson has still gotten the job done.

Joe Flacco (2-1 record) will be the starter for Indianapolis, and all three of the contests he played in came down to three points.

Indianapolis ranks 9th-worst against the pass (227.8 yards per game allowed), and according to Mick Ciallela (Fantrax), its defense is 26th in DVOA vs. the pass.

The Colts have allowed an average of 150.8 yards to opposing wide receiver rooms and have also let four wideouts drop over 100 yards on them.

Most bookmakers list Jefferson’s regular yardage between 84.5 and 87.5.

Model Projections for Jefferson’s Receiving Yards

• Covers: 100.2
• ESPN: 97
• 4for4: 100.7
• Numberfire: 93.5
• FantasyPros: 93.2
• RotoWire: 88.6