Lawrence Smelser
Updated: Nov 19, 2024
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Week 8 of the NFL season featured plenty of exciting games, with 10 contests coming down to one score.
The highlight of Sunday’s slate was Washington’s rookie quarterback, No. 2 overall pick Jayden Daniels, throwing a 52-yard Hail Mary touchdown to Noah Brown as time expired to defeat Chicago and 2024 No. 1 pick Caleb Williams 18-15.
The week finished with the Steelers defeating the Giants 26-18 on Monday Night.
After struggling with the Broncos during the past two seasons, quarterback Russell Wilson seems rejuvenated as a Steeler and is now 2-0 as a starter with his new ball club.
We’ve provided a pair of Week 9 tips for anytime touchdown scorers, featuring a Miami Dolphin and Seattle Seahawk.
Remember to wager responsibly and adhere to a well-thought bankroll plan.
Also, make sure you read our week 9 NFL odds and parlay picks in our expert articles.
Week 9 Player Props
The odds for both picks were correct at the time of writing. They were also shopped across all legal U.S. sportsbooks.
Tyreek Hill Anytime TD Scorer at BUF (+155 at DraftKings)
It’s surprising to see these extremely valuable odds at +155 on DraftKings, given that Tua Tagovailoa is once again healthy and has a massive impact on Tyreek Hill regularly scoring touchdowns.
Other bookmakers such as bet365 (+130), Caesars (+135) and ESPN BET (+140) are listing Hill at significantly steeper prices.
Last year, Hill ended the regular season tied for the league lead in receiving touchdowns (13) with Mike Evans.
Hill’s 13 scores came in 16 total contests (81.25%), and if we count the Week 14 contest against Tennessee when he failed to score and left during the first quarter, he practically scored 13 times in 15 outings.
The absence of Tagovailoa from Weeks 3-7 has destroyed Hill’s game from an all-around perspective, with backup signal callers Skylar Thompson and Tyler Huntley failing to move the needle.
What is even more surprising is that Hill only has one touchdown this season, back in Week 1 against Jacksonville, one of two full games Tagovailoa played.
Entering Week 9 a year ago, the uber-talented wide receiver had recorded eight touchdowns, including in all eight contests barring one.
Against the Cardinals last Sunday, Hill reaped the benefits of playing alongside a talented quarterback again, finishing with six receptions for 72 yards.
He was also targeted twice inside the red zone and has rushed for touchdowns in the past, thanks to being a dynamic speedster.
While Buffalo started the season on fire defensively, it has cooled down and surrendered four touchdowns to opposing wide receivers over the past month.
The total for this contest is the second-highest in Week 9, with oddsmakers setting it at 49.5. The Dolphins are also six-point underdogs.
If the game remains around a score for most of the afternoon or Buffalo gains a large advantage, it will promote a passing game script in favor of Hill.
The 30-year-old West Alabama product has recorded two touchdowns against Buffalo in four full starts alongside Tagovailoa.
Model Projections For Hill’s Receiving TDs at BUF
- Action Network: 0.52
- 4for4.com: 0.5
- RotoWire: 0.5
- FantasyPros: 0.5
- BettingPros: 0.49
- Numberfire: 0.49
Kenneth Walker anytime TD vs. LAR (-125 at DraftKings)
Seattle’s RB1 has been a versatile machine this season and has already broken the plane on 7 occasions in just six games. He missed Weeks 2 and 3 due to injury.
The 24-year-old has found the end zone at least one time in 4-of-6 (66.66%) contests. Two of those contests were multi-score games.
Against Detroit in Week 4, Walker scored a hattrick of rushing touchdowns, and against Atlanta in Week 7, recorded one rushing and one receiving touchdown.
Walker has received 12 carries and seven receptions inside the red zone during his six outings (3.16 red zone touches per game average), making him an attractive wager to score against a Rams team that has allowed six rushing touchdowns in eight games.
Los Angeles is also ninth-worst in rushing yards per game (surrendering an average of 139.1) and allows 4.6 yards per carry.
Both these metrics give Walker a chance to find success and potentially break loose.
Sean McVay’s LA squad is a 1.5-point favorite over Seattle, and if the game script can stay close, Walker should receive his usual heavy workload, giving himself opportunities to score.
The total for this game is set at 48.5, the third-highest in Week 9, implying plenty of potential touchdowns.
DraftKings’ odds of -125 are the best available thanks to other bookmakers such as bet365 (-150) and ESPN BET (-140) laying much more juice on the former Michigan State product as an anytime touchdown scorer.
Many of the top analytical models from some of the top sources in the betting and fantasy football industries also like Walker’s chances.
Model Projections For Walker’s Rushing/Receiving TDs vs. LAR
- 4for4.com: 0.8/0.2
- Numberfire: 0.60/0.14
- RotoWire: 0.5/0.1
- FantasyPros: 0.6/0.1
- BettingPros: 0.72 (total)
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